{"id":28970,"date":"2022-10-07T20:22:48","date_gmt":"2022-10-07T20:22:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/cameroun\/politique\/lutte-contre-linflation-les-limites-des-decisions-de-la-beac"},"modified":"2022-10-07T21:27:26","modified_gmt":"2022-10-07T21:27:26","slug":"lutte-contre-linflation-les-limites-des-decisions-de-la-beac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/cameroun\/economie\/lutte-contre-linflation-les-limites-des-decisions-de-la-beac","title":{"rendered":"Lutte contre l\u2019inflation\u00a0: les limites des d\u00e9cisions de la Beac"},"content":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Cameroun. <\/strong><\/span>Investir au Cameroun) – Pour lutter contre l\u2019inflation, la Banque des E\u0301tats de l\u2019Afrique centrale (Beac), l\u2019institut d\u2019e\u0301mission commun aux six E\u0301tats de la Cemac (Cameroun, Congo, Gabon, Tchad, RCA et Guine\u0301e e\u0301quatoriale), a pris l\u2019option de limiter le financement de l\u2019e\u0301conomie. C\u2019est ce qui ressort notamment des de\u0301cisions prises au cours de la 3e session de son Comite\u0301 de politique mone\u0301taire (CPM) de l\u2019anne\u0301e 2022, tenue ce 26 septembre 2022 a\u0300 Yaounde\u0301 au Cameroun. La banque centrale a une nouvelle fois revu a\u0300 la hausse deux de ses principaux taux directeurs. Ainsi, le Tiao, son principal taux de refinancement est passe\u0301 de 4% a\u0300 4,5% et son taux de la facilite\u0301 de pre\u0302t marginal qui est pre\u0301vu pour des emprunts bancaires de moins de 24 heures est passe\u0301 de 6,25% a\u0300 6,75%.<\/p>\n

Cette orientation re\u0301siste tre\u0300s peu a\u0300 la critique au regard des propres donne\u0301es la Beac et d\u2019autres analyses consulte\u0301es par Investir au Cameroun. L\u2019institution que dirige Abbas Mahamat Tolly (photo) part d\u2019une hypothe\u0300se inchange\u0301e depuis des de\u0301cennies : l\u2019inflation (hausse ge\u0301ne\u0301ralise\u0301e des prix sur le marche\u0301) entraine une hausse des besoins financiers pouvant entrainer plus de cre\u0301ation mone\u0301taire (via notamment le cre\u0301dit) et donc plus d\u2019argent en circulation que de contrepartie disponible en termes de re\u0301serves de change.<\/p>\n

Cette logique est propre aux accords de coope\u0301ration mone\u0301taire signe\u0301s avec la zone euro (a\u0300 travers la France) depuis le traite\u0301 de Maastricht. Mais elle ne tient pas au regard des ressorts de l\u2019inflation actuelle. D\u2019ailleurs, interroge\u0301 sur la pertinence de l\u2019augmentation des taux directeurs pour contrer l\u2019inflation, Abbas Mahamat Tolly a laisse\u0301 entendre que la Beac actionnait les seuls outils en sa possession.<\/p>\n

En fait, comme c\u2019est le cas actuellement dans beaucoup de pays africains, la hausse des prix n\u2019est pas le fait d\u2019une plus grande circulation de la monnaie. Elle est le fait de facteurs exoge\u0300nes comme les conse\u0301quences de l\u2019apre\u0300s-Covid-19 et la crise russo-ukrainienne, qui sur le court terme, a conduit a\u0300 une hausse des prix de l\u2019e\u0301nergie au niveau mondial et a\u0300 une baisse des stocks de ce\u0301re\u0301ales et des engrais. Cette re\u0301alite\u0301, couple\u0301e a\u0300 l\u2019explosion des prix des matie\u0300res premie\u0300res et du fret maritime, a re\u0301duit les quantite\u0301s d\u2019aliments disponibles.<\/p>\n

De ce point de vue, limiter la capacite\u0301 des banques commerciales a\u0300 injecter de la monnaie au sein des e\u0301conomies est contreproductive. Car, il y a actuellement un besoin impe\u0301rieux de financer les investissements sur le patrimoine de production, qui aidera la Cemac a\u0300 ne plus de\u0301pendre des marche\u0301s inte\u0301rieurs.<\/p>\n

Une de\u0301cision plus se\u0301ve\u0300re que dans l\u2019Uemoa, ou\u0300 le risque est plus e\u0301leve\u0301<\/b><\/p>\n

Par ailleurs, l\u2019augmentation des prix de l\u2019e\u0301nergie (les pays e\u0301tant principalement producteurs de gaz et de pe\u0301trole) et les appuis divers des institutions multilate\u0301rales ont eu un effet be\u0301ne\u0301fique sur les re\u0301serves de change de la sous-re\u0301gion. A\u0300 fin aou\u0302t 2022, les devises de la Cemac ont augmente\u0301 de 1 367 milliards de FCFA, selon la Beac. Elles e\u0301taient a\u0300 5 980 milliards de FCFA a\u0300 la me\u0302me pe\u0301riode en 2021.<\/p>\n

La banque centrale note aussi que ces re\u0301serves ont progresse\u0301 plus rapidement (+78%) que la masse mone\u0301taire interne (+15%), et que le taux de couverture de la monnaie se rapproche des 83% (contre environ 64% pre\u0301ce\u0301demment), tandis que la couverture des importations par les re\u0301serves de change se rapproche des 4 mois. De ce point de vue, on comprend le risque de de\u0301se\u0301quilibre qui existerait sur la monnaie.<\/p>\n

Enfin, dans la sous-re\u0301gion jumelle de l\u2019Uemoa, ou\u0300 le niveau d\u2019inflation a atteint les 8,5%, largement au-dessus du pic envisage\u0301 par la Beac en 2023 (5,7%), et ou\u0300 le risque d\u2019un besoin plus grand de la masse mone\u0301taire existe en raison d\u2019une population trois fois plus grande, la banque centrale (Bceao) maintient ses principaux taux directeurs a\u0300 2,5% pour le Tiao et a\u0300 4,5% pour le guichet de pre\u0302t marginal.<\/p>\n

Idriss Linge<\/b><\/p>\n

Pour plus d’informations et d’analyses sur la Cameroun<\/a>, suivez Africa-Press<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Cameroun. Investir au Cameroun) – Pour lutter contre l\u2019inflation, la Banque des E\u0301tats de l\u2019Afrique centrale (Beac), l\u2019institut d\u2019e\u0301mission commun aux six E\u0301tats de la Cemac (Cameroun, Congo, Gabon, Tchad, RCA et Guine\u0301e e\u0301quatoriale), a pris l\u2019option de limiter le financement de l\u2019e\u0301conomie. C\u2019est ce qui ressort notamment des de\u0301cisions prises au cours […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":82,"featured_media":28969,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,10],"tags":[36,50,49],"class_list":["post-28970","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economie","category-toutes-les-actualites","tag-africa-press","tag-africa-press-cameroun","tag-cameroun"],"yoast_head":"\nLutte contre l\u2019inflation\u00a0: les limites des d\u00e9cisions de la Beac - Cameroun<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Investir au Cameroun) - Pour lutter contre l\u2019inflation, la Banque des E\u0301tats de l\u2019Afrique centrale (Beac), l\u2019institut d\u2019 ...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/cameroun\/economie\/lutte-contre-linflation-les-limites-des-decisions-de-la-beac\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Lutte contre l\u2019inflation\u00a0: les limites des d\u00e9cisions de la Beac\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Investir au Cameroun) - 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