{"id":46099,"date":"2023-06-27T12:14:05","date_gmt":"2023-06-27T12:14:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/cameroun\/politique\/cemac-la-beac-pourrait-accentuer-lassechement-des-banques-malgre-des-previsions-dinflation-en-legere-baisse"},"modified":"2023-06-27T12:33:33","modified_gmt":"2023-06-27T12:33:33","slug":"cemac-la-beac-pourrait-accentuer-lassechement-des-banques-malgre-des-previsions-dinflation-en-legere-baisse","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/cameroun\/economie\/cemac-la-beac-pourrait-accentuer-lassechement-des-banques-malgre-des-previsions-dinflation-en-legere-baisse","title":{"rendered":"Cemac\u00a0: la Beac pourrait accentuer l\u2019ass\u00e8chement des banques, malgr\u00e9 des pr\u00e9visions d\u2019inflation en l\u00e9g\u00e8re baisse"},"content":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Cameroun. <\/strong><\/span>Investir au Cameroun) – Selon le Comite\u0301 de politique mone\u0301taire (CPM) de la Banque des E\u0301tats de l\u2019Afrique centrale (Beac), qui a tenu sa 2e session ordinaire de l\u2019anne\u0301e 2023 ce 26 juin, le taux d\u2019inflation dans la zone Cemac (Cameroun, Congo, Gabon, Tchad, RCA et Guine\u0301e e\u0301quatoriale) est de\u0301sormais projete\u0301 a\u0300 6,1% en 2023. Cette pre\u0301vision est en le\u0301ger recul par rapport a\u0300 la projection de 6,4% faite lors de la session du CPM de mars 2023. Mais, en de\u0301pit du le\u0301ger ralentissement des tensions inflationnistes projete\u0301 par le CPM, cet indicateur demeure largement au-dessus du seuil de 3% tole\u0301re\u0301 dans la zone Cemac.<\/p>\n

Aussi, dans le cadre du pilotage de la politique mone\u0301taire, la banque centrale des pays de la Cemac envisage-t-elle la possibilite\u0301 d\u2019accentuer les ponctions hebdomadaires de liquidite\u0301 ope\u0301re\u0301es chaque semaine dans les coffres-forts des banques, afin de continuer a\u0300 combattre l\u2019inflation, laisse entendre le gouverneur de la Beac. Abbas Mahamat Tolli s\u2019exprimait ainsi au cours de la confe\u0301rence de presse ayant sanctionne\u0301 la session du CPM de ce 26 juin 2023.<\/p>\n

En effet, confie le gouverneur de la Beac, malgre\u0301 le durcissement de la politique mone\u0301taire ces derniers mois, a\u0300 travers notamment des rele\u0300vements re\u0301pe\u0301te\u0301s des taux directeurs de la banque centrale et la suspension des ope\u0301rations d\u2019injection de liquidite\u0301 dans le syste\u0300me bancaire, les transactions interbancaires dans la zone Cemac ont augmente\u0301. En d\u2019autres termes, face aux difficulte\u0301s a\u0300 se refinancer aupre\u0300s de la banque centrale, les banques ont densifie\u0301 les pre\u0302ts interbancaires pour pouvoir se financer entre elles. Ce qui leur permet de continuer a\u0300 financer les agents e\u0301conomiques, dans un contexte ou\u0300 la banque centrale, a\u0300 travers sa politique mone\u0301taire restrictive, man\u0153uvre pluto\u0302t pour un durcissement des conditions d\u2019acce\u0300s aux cre\u0301dits bancaires, a\u0300 l\u2019effet de lutter contre l\u2019inflation.<\/p>\n

Taux directeurs<\/b><\/p>\n

Pour freiner cet e\u0301lan des banques, la Beac n\u2019exclut donc pas la possibilite\u0301 d\u2019accroi\u0302tre le volume ou alors le rythme des ponctions hebdomadaires de liquidite\u0301 dans les coffres des e\u0301tablissements de cre\u0301dit en activite\u0301 dans la zone Cemac. Par ce me\u0301canisme, peut-on analyser, la banque centrale des pays de la Cemac entend pouvoir influencer la proportion de 20% de l\u2019inflation, qui selon le gouverneur de la Beac est d\u2019origine mone\u0301taire.<\/p>\n

En revanche, apre\u0300s quatre augmentations de ses principaux taux directeurs depuis 2021, a\u0300 l\u2019effet de contenir l\u2019inflation conse\u0301cutive a\u0300 la pe\u0301riode post-Covid, puis la crise russo-ukrainienne ; la Beac a de\u0301cide\u0301 cette fois-ci de maintenir inchange\u0301s lesdits taux. \u00ab L\u2019analyse que nous avons de la conjoncture aussi bien internationale qu\u2019au sein de la Cemac nous ame\u0300ne a\u0300 les maintenir. (…) Les diffe\u0301rentes augmentations des taux directeurs effectue\u0301es jusqu\u2019ici nous ont conduits a\u0300 une tendance baissie\u0300re de l\u2019inflation. Nous sommes dans une posture d\u2019observation (…) La situation actuelle de l\u2019inflation n\u2019est pas terrible au point de ne\u0301cessiter une augmentation des taux ni particulie\u0300rement optimiste pour les baisser \u00bb, explique le gouverneur de la Beac.<\/p>\n

A\u0300 en croire Abbas Mahamat Tolli, cette posture de la banque centrale tient d\u2019un certain nombre de parame\u0300tres qui sous-tendent la le\u0301ge\u0300re embellie observe\u0301e autour du taux d\u2019inflation. Il s\u2019agit principalement de la baisse des cours mondiaux des matie\u0300res premie\u0300res importe\u0301es par la Cemac, suite a\u0300 la normalisation de la chai\u0302ne logistique mondiale reste\u0301e perturbe\u0301e pendant la pe\u0301riode post-Covid. Cette situation a eu pour conse\u0301quence le renche\u0301rissement des cou\u0302ts des matie\u0300res premie\u0300res et du fret maritime, avec pour corollaire l\u2019explosion des cou\u0302ts de production des entreprises et l\u2019inflation dans les marche\u0301s, que la Beac s\u2019emploie depuis des mois a\u0300 contenir.<\/p>\n

Brice R. Mbodiam<\/b><\/p>\n

Pour plus d’informations et d’analyses sur la Cameroun<\/a>, suivez Africa-Press<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Cameroun. 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