{"id":4164,"date":"2026-01-29T23:31:05","date_gmt":"2026-01-29T23:31:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/en\/home\/african-economies-brace-for-interest-rate-cuts"},"modified":"2026-01-30T00:34:38","modified_gmt":"2026-01-30T00:34:38","slug":"african-economies-brace-for-interest-rate-cuts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/en\/economy\/african-economies-brace-for-interest-rate-cuts","title":{"rendered":"African Economies Brace for Interest Rate Cuts"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span class=\"ap-article-header-tag\"> <strong>Africa-Press. <\/strong> <\/span>Attention is focused on the South African central bank\u2019s interest-rate decision, amid a sharp split among economists over the next move. While the country\u2019s main banking institution is expected to cut its 2026 inflation forecast to 3.3% from 3.5%\u2014close to its new 3% target\u2014analysts are divided over the outcomes of this policy, according to Bloomberg.<\/p>\n<p>Thirteen analysts surveyed by Bloomberg expect rates to be kept unchanged at 6.75%, while eleven others predict a 25-basis-point cut.<\/p>\n<p>The disagreement centers on whether policymakers will wait for clearer signals from the rand (the local currency) and oil prices, or move now, buoyed by the currency\u2019s recent rise.<\/p>\n<p>The decision by Africa\u2019s largest economy will affect its neighbors Eswatini, Namibia, and Lesotho, whose currencies are pegged to the rand and are set to announce their own interest-rate decisions in the coming days.<\/p>\n<p>Major African economies, including Egypt, Nigeria, and Kenya, are preparing to cut rates at their first policy meetings of the year, as price pressures continue to ease.<\/p>\n<p>Bloomberg quoted Angelika Goliger, Ernst &amp; Young\u2019s chief economist for Africa, as saying: \u201cWith global growth expected to slow to around 3.1% this year, and with monetary stances diverging across advanced markets, African policymakers will need to balance the opportunity for monetary easing against persistent external vulnerabilities.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>According to Bloomberg, Socie\u0301te\u0301 Ge\u0301ne\u0301rale emerging-markets strategist Gergely Ormosi said: \u201cWe see scope for a 100-basis-point rate cut in Egypt, 25 basis points in Kenya, and 200 basis points in Nigeria.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Ormosi added: \u201cDomestic inflation dynamics and inflation expectations allow for rate cuts, but the timing and size of these cuts are unclear, mainly due to potential shifts in global investor sentiment.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>He continued: \u201cWe expect that during 2026, rate cuts amounting to several hundred basis points will take place in Egypt, Ghana, and Nigeria, while we expect Kenya\u2019s terminal rate to reach 8.5%, with downside risks.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><b>Mauritius and Uganda<\/b><\/p>\n<p>As for other countries making decisions during the month, including Mauritius and Uganda, they are likely to remain cautious and keep interest rates unchanged to further assess the inflation path.<\/p>\n<p><b>Ghana and Mozambique<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Ghana\u2019s central bank cut its policy rate\u2014on Wednesday\u2014by 250 basis points to 15.50%, while Mozambique\u2019s central bank reduced its rate from 9.50% to 9.25%.<\/p>\n<p>Inflation in Ghana\u2014the West African country\u2014fell to 5.4% in December, dropping below the central bank\u2019s lower target bound of 6% for the first time since 2019.<\/p>\n<p>In Mozambique, inflation is easing, while the real interest rate stands at 6.3%.<\/p>\n<p>The U.S. Federal Reserve\u2014on Wednesday\u2014kept interest rates unchanged at a range of 3.5% to 3.75% at the first meeting this year of the Open Market Committee responsible for monetary policy at the U.S. central bank.<\/p>\n<p>Fed Chair Jerome Powell said in a press conference following the decision that the U.S. federal budget deficit is \u201con an unsustainable path,\u201d urging that it be \u201caddressed quickly.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"ap-article-footer-note\">Find more news and analyses on <span class=\"ap-highlight-country\">Africa<\/span> on the <span class=\"ap-highlight-brand\">Africa Press<\/span> website<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Africa-Press. Attention is focused on the South African central bank\u2019s interest-rate decision, amid a sharp split among economists over the next move. While the country\u2019s main banking institution is expected to cut its 2026 inflation forecast to 3.3% from 3.5%\u2014close to its new 3% target\u2014analysts are divided over the outcomes of this policy, according to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":84,"featured_media":4162,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[45],"tags":[120],"class_list":{"0":"post-4164","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-africa"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.1 (Yoast SEO v27.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>African Economies Brace for Interest Rate Cuts - Africa Press English<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"-article-header-tag&quot;&gt; Africa-Press. 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