{"id":3981,"date":"2026-01-29T23:31:03","date_gmt":"2026-01-29T23:31:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/fr\/home\/les-economies-africaines-se-preparent-a-baisser-les-taux-dinteret"},"modified":"2026-01-30T00:30:50","modified_gmt":"2026-01-30T00:30:50","slug":"les-economies-africaines-se-preparent-a-baisser-les-taux-dinteret","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/fr\/economie\/les-economies-africaines-se-preparent-a-baisser-les-taux-dinteret","title":{"rendered":"Les \u00c9conomies Africaines se Pr\u00e9parent \u00e0 Baisser les Taux D\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat"},"content":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press. <\/strong> <\/span>Les regards se tournent vers la de\u0301cision de la banque centrale d\u2019Afrique du Sud concernant les taux, alors qu\u2019un profond de\u0301saccord oppose les e\u0301conomistes sur la prochaine e\u0301tape. Tandis que l\u2019institution devrait abaisser ses pre\u0301visions d\u2019inflation pour 2026 a\u0300 3,3% contre 3,5% \u2014 soit pre\u0300s de son nouvel objectif fixe\u0301 a\u0300 3% \u2014 les analystes divergent sur les implications de cette politique, selon Bloomberg.<\/p>\n

Treize analystes interroge\u0301s par Bloomberg s\u2019attendent au maintien du taux a\u0300 6,75%, tandis que onze autres anticipent une baisse de 25 points de base.<\/p>\n

Le de\u0301saccord porte sur le point de savoir si les de\u0301cideurs attendront des signaux plus clairs provenant du rand (la monnaie locale) et des prix du pe\u0301trole, ou s\u2019ils agiront de\u0300s maintenant, porte\u0301s par la re\u0301cente appre\u0301ciation de la devise.<\/p>\n

La de\u0301cision de la plus grande e\u0301conomie d\u2019Afrique aura un impact sur ses voisins \u2014 l\u2019Eswatini, la Namibie et le Lesotho \u2014 dont les monnaies sont arrime\u0301es au rand, et qui doivent annoncer leurs propres de\u0301cisions de taux dans les prochains jours.<\/p>\n

De grandes e\u0301conomies africaines, dont l\u2019E\u0301gypte, le Nigeria et le Kenya, se pre\u0301parent a\u0300 re\u0301duire les taux lors de leurs premie\u0300res re\u0301unions de politique mone\u0301taire de l\u2019anne\u0301e, alors que les pressions sur les prix continuent de ralentir.<\/p>\n

Bloomberg cite Angelika Goliger, cheffe e\u0301conomiste d\u2019Ernst & Young en Afrique, de\u0301clarant: \u00ab Avec un ralentissement attendu de la croissance mondiale a\u0300 environ 3,1% cette anne\u0301e, et des orientations mone\u0301taires divergentes dans les marche\u0301s avance\u0301s, les de\u0301cideurs africains devront trouver l\u2019e\u0301quilibre entre l\u2019opportunite\u0301 d\u2019un assouplissement mone\u0301taire et la persistance des vulne\u0301rabilite\u0301s exte\u0301rieures. \u00bb<\/p>\n

Selon Bloomberg, l\u2019analyste des marche\u0301s e\u0301mergents chez Socie\u0301te\u0301 Ge\u0301ne\u0301rale, Gergely Ormosi, a de\u0301clare\u0301: \u00ab Nous voyons une marge pour une baisse de 100 points de base en E\u0301gypte, de 25 points de base au Kenya et de 200 points de base au Nigeria. \u00bb<\/p>\n

Ormosi a ajoute\u0301: \u00ab L\u2019e\u0301volution de l\u2019inflation domestique et les anticipations d\u2019inflation permettent des baisses de taux, mais le calendrier et l\u2019ampleur de ces baisses restent incertains, principalement en raison de changements potentiels dans le sentiment des investisseurs mondiaux. \u00bb<\/p>\n

Il a poursuivi: \u00ab Nous anticipons, en 2026, des baisses de taux atteignant plusieurs centaines de points de base en E\u0301gypte, au Ghana et au Nigeria, tandis que nous pre\u0301voyons un taux terminal au Kenya a\u0300 8,5%, avec des risques oriente\u0301s a\u0300 la baisse. \u00bb<\/p>\n

Maurice et l\u2019Ouganda<\/b><\/p>\n

S\u2019agissant des autres pays qui prendront des de\u0301cisions au cours du mois, dont Maurice et l\u2019Ouganda, il est probable qu\u2019ils restent prudents et maintiennent leurs taux inchange\u0301s, afin d\u2019e\u0301valuer davantage la trajectoire de l\u2019inflation.<\/p>\n

Ghana et Mozambique<\/b><\/p>\n

La banque centrale du Ghana a abaisse\u0301 son taux \u2014 mercredi \u2014 de 250 points de base a\u0300 15,50%, tandis que la Banque du Mozambique a re\u0301duit son taux de 9,50% a\u0300 9,25%.<\/p>\n

Au Ghana, pays d\u2019Afrique de l\u2019Ouest, l\u2019inflation a recule\u0301 a\u0300 5,4% en de\u0301cembre, passant pour la premie\u0300re fois depuis 2019 sous le seuil infe\u0301rieur de la cible de la banque centrale, fixe\u0301 a\u0300 6%.<\/p>\n

Au Mozambique, l\u2019inflation est en baisse, tandis que le taux d\u2019inte\u0301re\u0302t re\u0301el atteint 6,3%.<\/p>\n

La Re\u0301serve fe\u0301de\u0301rale ame\u0301ricaine a maintenu \u2014 mercredi \u2014 ses taux dans une fourchette de 3,5% a\u0300 3,75% lors de la premie\u0300re re\u0301union de l\u2019anne\u0301e du Comite\u0301 de l\u2019open market, charge\u0301 de la politique mone\u0301taire au sein de la banque centrale ame\u0301ricaine.<\/p>\n

Dans une confe\u0301rence de presse suivant l\u2019annonce, le pre\u0301sident de la Fed, Jerome Powell, a de\u0301clare\u0301 que le de\u0301ficit budge\u0301taire fe\u0301de\u0301ral ame\u0301ricain suit une trajectoire \u00ab non viable \u00bb, appelant a\u0300 \u00ab traiter cette question rapidement \u00bb.<\/p>\n

Retrouvez plus d\u2019actualit\u00e9s et d\u2019analyses sur l\u2019Afrique<\/span> sur le site Africa Press<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press. Les regards se tournent vers la de\u0301cision de la banque centrale d\u2019Afrique du Sud concernant les taux, alors qu\u2019un profond de\u0301saccord oppose les e\u0301conomistes sur la prochaine e\u0301tape. Tandis que l\u2019institution devrait abaisser ses pre\u0301visions d\u2019inflation pour 2026 a\u0300 3,3% contre 3,5% \u2014 soit pre\u0300s de son nouvel objectif fixe\u0301 a\u0300 3% \u2014 les […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":82,"featured_media":3980,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[74],"tags":[240],"class_list":["post-3981","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economie","tag-lafrique"],"yoast_head":"\nLes \u00c9conomies Africaines se Pr\u00e9parent \u00e0 Baisser les Taux D\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat - Africa Press France<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"-article-header-tag"> Africa-Press. 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