{"id":4648,"date":"2026-02-17T18:39:48","date_gmt":"2026-02-17T18:39:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/fr\/home\/guerre-egypte%e2%80%91ethiopie-probable-ou-reportee"},"modified":"2026-02-17T19:49:08","modified_gmt":"2026-02-17T19:49:08","slug":"guerre-egypte%e2%80%91ethiopie-probable-ou-reportee","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/fr\/articles\/guerre-egypte%e2%80%91ethiopie-probable-ou-reportee","title":{"rendered":"Guerre \u00c9gypte\u2011\u00c9thiopie: Probable ou Report\u00e9e"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

CE Qu\u2019Il Faut Savoir<\/h4>\n

Des analystes affirment que la guerre entre l’\u00c9gypte et l’\u00c9thiopie n’est pas in\u00e9vitable, mais demeure une possibilit\u00e9 si les efforts diplomatiques \u00e9chouent. L’\u00c9gypte a \u00e9tabli de nouvelles lignes rouges concernant la gouvernance et la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 de la mer Rouge, alors que les tensions r\u00e9gionales continuent de cro\u00eetre.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Africa-Press. <\/strong> <\/span>Des analystes affirment que la guerre entre l’E\u0301gypte et l’E\u0301thiopie n’est pas “ine\u0301vitable”, mais elle reste l’un des sce\u0301narios envisage\u0301s si les voies diplomatiques e\u0301chouent. Pendant ce temps, Le Caire a annonce\u0301 de nouvelles lignes rouges concernant la gouvernance et la se\u0301curite\u0301 de la mer Rouge, alors que les tensions re\u0301gionales s’intensifient.<\/p>\n

Lors d’un programme sur une chai\u0302ne locale, le ge\u0301ne\u0301ral docteur Said Ghoneim, membre de l’Acade\u0301mie militaire des e\u0301tudes strate\u0301giques, a explique\u0301 que l’option de la guerre reste the\u0301oriquement envisage\u0301e en cas de blocage politique. Cependant, il a souligne\u0301 que l’E\u0301gypte conside\u0300re cela comme “le dernier recours” et qu’historiquement, elle a toujours pre\u0301fe\u0301re\u0301 des solutions pacifiques, citant le dossier du barrage de la Renaissance qui dure depuis des de\u0301cennies sans glisser vers un affrontement militaire.<\/p>\n

De son co\u0302te\u0301, Amani Al-Tawil, directrice du programme africain au Centre Al-Ahram d’e\u0301tudes, a de\u0301clare\u0301 que les re\u0301centes de\u0301clarations e\u0301gyptiennes concernant la mer Rouge s’inscrivent dans le cadre des mouvements e\u0301thiopiens visant a\u0300 obtenir un acce\u0300s maritime de nature souveraine, ce que Le Caire refuse, en se basant sur le principe que la mer Rouge appartient aux E\u0301tats co\u0302tiers, conforme\u0301ment aux re\u0300gles du droit international et a\u0300 la Convention des Nations Unies sur le droit de la mer.<\/p>\n

Al-Tawil a pre\u0301cise\u0301 qu’en de\u0301pit de son statut de pays enclave\u0301, l’E\u0301thiopie a le droit d’utiliser les ports par des arrangements le\u0301gaux, mais elle ne peut pas revendiquer un “point d’ancrage souverain” sur la mer Rouge. Elle a e\u0301galement note\u0301 qu’un changement dans les e\u0301quilibres actuels pourrait accroi\u0302tre la fragilite\u0301 de la re\u0301gion, surtout dans le contexte complexe de la Corne de l’Afrique, que ce soit en Somalie ou en E\u0301rythre\u0301e.<\/p>\n

Elle a e\u0301galement souligne\u0301 que les mouvements e\u0301thiopiens, y compris son accord pre\u0301ce\u0301dent avec la re\u0301gion du Somaliland, ont suscite\u0301 des doutes re\u0301gionaux quant aux intentions, affirmant que la mer Rouge subit de\u0301ja\u0300 des pressions militaires et se\u0301curitaires, et ne peut pas supporter de nouvelles donne\u0301es qui pourraient conduire a\u0300 une militarisation accrue.<\/p>\n

Pour sa part, le ge\u0301ne\u0301ral Ghoneim a insiste\u0301 sur le fait que la position e\u0301gyptienne concernant l’adhe\u0301sion de l’E\u0301thiopie aux blocs de la mer Rouge n’est pas nouvelle, rappelant le refus du Caire d’accepter l’adhe\u0301sion d’Addis-Abeba a\u0300 l’Association des E\u0301tats co\u0302tiers de la mer Rouge depuis des anne\u0301es. Il a note\u0301 que la reconstruction par l’E\u0301thiopie de ses forces navales et l’appel a\u0300 des puissances internationales pour la formation renforcent les craintes d’une militarisation supple\u0301mentaire d’un passage conside\u0301re\u0301 comme l’un des plus strate\u0301giques au monde.<\/p>\n

Concernant la possibilite\u0301 d’une escalade militaire directe si l’E\u0301thiopie obtenait un acce\u0300s maritime, Ghoneim a estime\u0301 que l’E\u0301gypte ne permettrait pas d’arrangements qui compromettent sa se\u0301curite\u0301 nationale ou perturbent les e\u0301quilibres de la mer Rouge. Cependant, il a re\u0301affirme\u0301 que le recours a\u0300 la force reste l’option la plus e\u0301loigne\u0301e tant que des canaux politiques et diplomatiques sont disponibles.<\/p>\n

Quant aux chances de contenir les tensions, Amani Al-Tawil a exclu une perce\u0301e imminente, conside\u0301rant que la situation est re\u0301gie par des e\u0301quations re\u0301gionales complexes ne\u0301cessitant d’abord un consensus arabe pour re\u0301organiser les relations avec la Corne de l’Afrique, ainsi que de traiter ce qu’elle a de\u0301crit comme des pressions internes auxquelles le Premier ministre e\u0301thiopien Abiy Ahmed est confronte\u0301, qui pourraient le pousser a\u0300 adopter des dossiers externes pour renforcer sa position inte\u0301rieure.<\/p>\n

Les relations entre l’E\u0301gypte et l’E\u0301thiopie ont e\u0301te\u0301 historiquement tendues, en particulier en raison du projet du Grand Barrage de la Renaissance e\u0301thiopienne, qui a suscite\u0301 des pre\u0301occupations en E\u0301gypte concernant l’acce\u0300s a\u0300 l’eau du Nil. Les deux pays ont tente\u0301 de re\u0301soudre leurs diffe\u0301rends par la diplomatie, mais des tensions persistent, exacerbe\u0301es par des enjeux ge\u0301opolitiques plus larges dans la re\u0301gion de la Corne de l’Afrique.<\/p>\n

La mer Rouge, en tant que voie maritime strate\u0301gique, est e\u0301galement un point de discorde. L’E\u0301gypte conside\u0300re la mer Rouge comme une zone de souverainete\u0301 partage\u0301e entre les E\u0301tats co\u0302tiers, tandis que l’E\u0301thiopie, bien qu’e\u0301tant un pays enclave\u0301, cherche a\u0300 e\u0301tablir des acce\u0300s.<\/p>\n

Retrouvez plus d\u2019actualit\u00e9s et d\u2019analyses sur l\u2019Afrique<\/span> sur le site Africa Press<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

CE Qu\u2019Il Faut Savoir Des analystes affirment que la guerre entre l’\u00c9gypte et l’\u00c9thiopie n’est pas in\u00e9vitable, mais demeure une possibilit\u00e9 si les efforts diplomatiques \u00e9chouent. L’\u00c9gypte a \u00e9tabli de nouvelles lignes rouges concernant la gouvernance et la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 de la mer Rouge, alors que les tensions r\u00e9gionales continuent de cro\u00eetre. Africa-Press. Des analystes affirment […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":82,"featured_media":4646,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[75],"tags":[179,126,281,240,280,417],"class_list":["post-4648","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles","tag-diplomatie","tag-egypte","tag-ethiopie-2","tag-lafrique","tag-mer-rouge","tag-tensions"],"yoast_head":"\nGuerre \u00c9gypte\u2011\u00c9thiopie: Probable ou Report\u00e9e - Africa Press France<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Les tensions entre l'\u00c9gypte et l'\u00c9thiopie se renforcent autour de la mer Rouge, avec des implications diplomatiques et s\u00e9curi\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/fr\/articles\/guerre-egypte\u2011ethiopie-probable-ou-reportee\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Guerre \u00c9gypte\u2011\u00c9thiopie: Probable ou Report\u00e9e\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Les tensions entre l'\u00c9gypte et l'\u00c9thiopie se renforcent autour de la mer Rouge, avec des implications diplomatiques et s\u00e9curi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/fr\/articles\/guerre-egypte\u2011ethiopie-probable-ou-reportee\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Africa Press France\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-02-17T18:39:48+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-02-17T19:49:08+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/africa-home\/sites\/67\/2026\/02\/sm_1771357658.628686.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"675\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"cfeditorfr\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"cfeditorfr\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/fr\/articles\/guerre-egypte%e2%80%91ethiopie-probable-ou-reportee#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/fr\/articles\/guerre-egypte%e2%80%91ethiopie-probable-ou-reportee\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"cfeditorfr\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/fr\/#\/schema\/person\/2b1cf3cd81a31e3cd26889ca66d677f1\"},\"headline\":\"Guerre \u00c9gypte\u2011\u00c9thiopie: Probable ou Report\u00e9e\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-02-17T18:39:48+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-02-17T19:49:08+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/fr\/articles\/guerre-egypte%e2%80%91ethiopie-probable-ou-reportee\"},\"wordCount\":892,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/fr\/articles\/guerre-egypte%e2%80%91ethiopie-probable-ou-reportee#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/africa-home\/sites\/67\/2026\/02\/sm_1771357658.628686.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"diplomatie\",\"Egypte\",\"\u00c9thiopie\",\"l\u2019Afrique\",\"mer Rouge\",\"tensions\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Articles\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/fr\/articles\/guerre-egypte%e2%80%91ethiopie-probable-ou-reportee#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/fr\/articles\/guerre-egypte%e2%80%91ethiopie-probable-ou-reportee\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/fr\/articles\/guerre-egypte%e2%80%91ethiopie-probable-ou-reportee\",\"name\":\"Guerre \u00c9gypte\u2011\u00c9thiopie: Probable ou Report\u00e9e - 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