{"id":91734,"date":"2025-12-10T15:30:29","date_gmt":"2025-12-10T15:30:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/gambia\/uncategorized\/a-political-volcano-in-dakar-and-its-impact-on-the-gambia"},"modified":"2025-12-10T16:20:22","modified_gmt":"2025-12-10T16:20:22","slug":"a-political-volcano-in-dakar-and-its-impact-on-the-gambia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/gambia\/all-news\/a-political-volcano-in-dakar-and-its-impact-on-the-gambia","title":{"rendered":"A Political Volcano in Dakar and its Impact on the Gambia"},"content":{"rendered":"

By Rtd Lt Colonel Samsudeen Sarr
\n<\/b><\/p>\n

Africa-Press – Gambia. <\/strong><\/span>While Gambians remain understandably preoccupied with our own high stakes 2026 presidential election, we risk overlooking a political volcano erupting next door in Senegal, one whose eventual explosion may shake the entire sub-region, but most critically The Gambia. Since 2017, Senegal has been a pivotal guarantor of The Gambia\u2019s political and security stability. Our domestic affairs have never been insulated from Dakar, and today, more than ever, our futures are intertwined.<\/b><\/p>\n

The fall of the once-celebrated triad, Macky Sall, Adama Barrow, and Umaro Sissoco Embalo\u0301, should alarm any serious observer of West African politics. Their so-called \u201cbrotherly\u201d bond, sometimes criticised as a budding Fulani political axis, shaped regional diplomacy for nearly a decade.<\/p>\n

But the 2024 Senegalese election shattered that alliance. Macky Sall, defeated by the Pastef political tidal wave, now lives in quiet exile in Morocco.<\/p>\n

Embalo\u0301, toppled just weeks ago in Bissau, has reportedly joined Sall in the same North African refuge. Only President Barrow remains in office, heading into a difficult election season without his former political benefactors.<\/p>\n

Barrow\u2019s dependence on Macky Sall\u2019s advice and regional clout was never a secret. Thus, Pastef\u2019s violent clash with Macky Sall\u2019s regime in 2024 raised early alarm bells in Banjul. Sonko and his movement repeatedly accused Barrow and Embalo\u0301 of loyally supporting Macky Sall\u2019s anti-Pastef agenda.<\/p>\n

Those accusations matter today, because the Pastef revolution that swept away Macky Sall is now showing worrying signs of imploding from within.<\/p>\n

When Ousmane Sonko was controversially barred from contesting the 2024 elections, the Senegalese public expected chaos. Instead, Sonko made a historic, selfless decision and nominated his trusted party secretary general, Bassirou Diomaye Faye, insisting that \u201cSonko is Diomaye, and Diomaye is Sonko\u201d.<\/p>\n

That slogan electrified Senegal. But today, it feels like a bitter irony.<\/p>\n

Diomaye Faye\u2019s deviation from the Pastef doctrine is now visible to the naked eye, and to the growing anger of Pastef supporters at home and abroad.<\/p>\n

Sonko himself has publicly stated that Faye is ignoring party principles; that his private meetings to resolve their differences have failed and even the presence of the National Assembly President, El Malick Ndiaye, failed to deter Faye from entrenching himself.<\/p>\n

Matters worsened dramatically after Sonko\u2019s massive Dakar rally on 8th November, 2025, where he accused Faye\u2019s government of drifting dangerously away from its revolutionary mandate. Two days later, Diomaye issued a political statement contradicting Sonko, an unprecedented act of open defiance.<\/p>\n

From that moment, the rupture became irreversible.<\/p>\n

Reports now suggest Diomaye is claiming that Sonko \u201cdoes not respect him\u201d and that Sonko is \u201cnot more educated\u201d than he is.<\/p>\n

Whether stated in frustration or arrogance, such remarks, never denied, say a great deal about the mindset of Senegal\u2019s young president.<\/p>\n

I have followed Sonko since 2020. Every attempt to discredit his integrity collapsed under scrutiny. His political stature was never built on academic titles, but on his moral clarity, pan-Africanist principles, and uncanny resemblance to the ideological commitments of figures like Modibo Kei\u0308ta, Thomas Sankara, Julius Nyerere, Cheikh Anta Diop, and Kwame Nkrumah.<\/p>\n

If Diomaye thinks he can match that legacy by dangling academic credentials, then power has clearly clouded his judgment.<\/p>\n

History teaches us that Senegal\u2019s most educated leaders, Le\u0301opold Senghor included, often ended up advancing France\u2019s neocolonial interests. Diomaye\u2019s recent actions suggest he may be sliding into the same mold, abandoning Pastef\u2019s transformative vision for a more \u201ccomfortable\u201d neocolonial posture.<\/p>\n

Nothing exposed Diomaye\u2019s drift more clearly than his secretive attempt to welcome Umaro Sissoco Embalo\u0301 to Senegal, barely days after Embalo\u0301 orchestrated a coup in Bissau. Sonko immediately condemned the move, and Embalo\u0301 quietly fled, straight to Macky Sall in Morocco.<\/p>\n

That single episode revealed two things:<\/p>\n

1. Diomaye is making alliances contradictory to Pastef\u2019s ideology, and;<\/p>\n

2. Sonko is the moral compass of the movement, still refusing to compromise its principles.<\/p>\n

That said, I think Senegal is entering a dangerous phase in which a sitting president is rapidly losing legitimacy within his own revolutionary base.<\/p>\n

That the most popular political figure in the country, Sonko, is furious, increasingly isolated from decision-making, and openly challenging the presidency.<\/p>\n

Millions of young Senegalese who voted for Pastef feel betrayed and the fissure is widening at a time when the state faces regional instability, economic pressure, and rising public impatience.<\/p>\n

This is the classic recipe for political rupture, possibly on a scale unseen since the 1962 Senghor\u2013Mamadou Dia crisis that nearly tore Senegal apart.<\/p>\n

It is however obvious that The Gambia\u2019s stability has long been tied to Senegal\u2019s.<\/p>\n

If Senegal descends into political chaos or institutional paralysis, The Gambia, surrounded entirely by Senegal, will inevitably feel the tremors:<\/p>\n

Cross-border tensions may rise; security cooperation could collapse; economic and trade disruptions could intensify; refugee movements could occur and Gambian political actors may be directly influenced by such instability.<\/p>\n

President Barrow himself, already politically vulnerable, may face further complications without the stabilising influence of Dakar.<\/p>\n

It is therefore prudent, and urgent, for Gambians to monitor developments in Senegal with a level of seriousness equal to, if not greater than, our 2026 election.<\/p>\n

President Faye is standing at the edge of a dangerous political cliff. Unless he resigns, calls fresh elections, or restores full adherence to the Pastef doctrine, championing Sonko\u2019s leadership, the ground beneath him will give way. And when he falls, the impact will not stop at Senegal\u2019s borders.<\/p>\n

As unpleasant as the prediction sounds, a political and security rupture in Senegal is brewing, one whose consequences may be too dark and far-reaching for both Senegal and The Gambia.<\/p>\n

The question, therefore, is no longer if, but when, and whether we in The Gambia are adequately preparing for the shockwave.<\/p>\n

Lt Col Samsudeen Sarr (Rtd) was a former Commander of The Gambia National Army, diplomat and author of several books.<\/p>\n

For More News And Analysis About Gambia<\/span> Follow Africa-Press<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

By Rtd Lt Colonel Samsudeen Sarr Africa-Press – Gambia. While Gambians remain understandably preoccupied with our own high stakes 2026 presidential election, we risk overlooking a political volcano erupting next door in Senegal, one whose eventual explosion may shake the entire sub-region, but most critically The Gambia. Since 2017, Senegal has been a pivotal guarantor […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":84,"featured_media":91733,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,6],"tags":[260],"class_list":["post-91734","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-all-news","category-files","tag-gambia"],"yoast_head":"\nA Political Volcano in Dakar and its Impact on the Gambia - Gambia<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"While Gambians remain understandably preoccupied with our own high stakes 2026 presidential election, we risk overloo ...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/gambia\/all-news\/a-political-volcano-in-dakar-and-its-impact-on-the-gambia\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"A Political Volcano in Dakar and its Impact on the Gambia\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"While Gambians remain understandably preoccupied with our own high stakes 2026 presidential election, we risk overloo ...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/gambia\/all-news\/a-political-volcano-in-dakar-and-its-impact-on-the-gambia\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Gambia\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/AfricaPressTunisiaa\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-12-10T15:30:29+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-12-10T16:20:22+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/gambia\/sites\/19\/2025\/12\/sm_1765370829.075269.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"720\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"cfeditoren\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"cfeditoren\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/gambia\/all-news\/a-political-volcano-in-dakar-and-its-impact-on-the-gambia#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/gambia\/all-news\/a-political-volcano-in-dakar-and-its-impact-on-the-gambia\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"cfeditoren\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/gambia\/#\/schema\/person\/068c7ab4e9634ae78ec5d54ec46598bb\"},\"headline\":\"A Political Volcano in Dakar and its Impact on the Gambia\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-12-10T15:30:29+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-12-10T16:20:22+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/gambia\/all-news\/a-political-volcano-in-dakar-and-its-impact-on-the-gambia\"},\"wordCount\":998,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/gambia\/all-news\/a-political-volcano-in-dakar-and-its-impact-on-the-gambia#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/gambia\/sites\/19\/2025\/12\/sm_1765370829.075269.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Gambia\"],\"articleSection\":[\"all news\",\"files\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/gambia\/all-news\/a-political-volcano-in-dakar-and-its-impact-on-the-gambia#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/gambia\/all-news\/a-political-volcano-in-dakar-and-its-impact-on-the-gambia\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/gambia\/all-news\/a-political-volcano-in-dakar-and-its-impact-on-the-gambia\",\"name\":\"A Political Volcano in Dakar and its Impact on the Gambia - 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