{"id":94440,"date":"2026-02-19T09:11:04","date_gmt":"2026-02-19T09:11:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/gambia\/uncategorized\/trump-tariffs-to-reshape-africas-critical-minerals-outlook"},"modified":"2026-02-19T09:53:34","modified_gmt":"2026-02-19T09:53:34","slug":"trump-tariffs-to-reshape-africas-critical-minerals-outlook","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/gambia\/all-news\/trump-tariffs-to-reshape-africas-critical-minerals-outlook","title":{"rendered":"Trump Tariffs to Reshape Africa\u2019S Critical Minerals Outlook"},"content":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Gambia. <\/strong> <\/span>New tariffs, stockpiling policies and supply-chain alliances are beginning to redraw the map of global critical minerals trade, with African producers facing new risks and unexpected opportunities, panellists said at the Investing in African Mining Indaba 2026.<\/b><\/p>\n

During a discussion titled Critical minerals investment in a post-tariff world, experts said recent trade measures \u2013 particularly from the US under President Donald Trump \u2013 are altering long-standing commercial relationships and forcing governments and investors to rethink how African resources are developed.<\/p>\n

US move on tariffs for critical minerals<\/p>\n

The panellists also referenced the significance of a recent meeting (4 February) between, amongst others, African ministers and officials who gathered in Washington for the inaugural Critical Minerals Ministerial, hosted by the US State Department to strengthen supply chains and reduce reliance on China. Fifty countries in total attended the event.<\/p>\n

\u201cMy administration has taken extraordinary steps to make sure the United States has all of the critical minerals and rare earths that we need… the permitting of mines and signing major critical mineral deals with countries from all over the world \u2013 and we\u2019re getting along with… pic.twitter.com\/BRwhVOxv3L<\/p>\n

Key discussions involved the US proposal for a preferential trading area for critical minerals.<\/p>\n

This would include what has been termed as \u201cadjustable tariffs\u201d to maintain price floors and prevent the dumping of low-priced materials.<\/p>\n

Have you read? A new Cold War as Africa\u2019s resource leverage intensifies?<\/p>\n

South Africa lambasts DRC over US deal<\/p>\n

The Daily Maverick reported last week (10 February) that South Africa\u2019s Minister of Mineral and Petroleum Resources Gwede Mantashe \u201cclashed with his Congolese counterpart at the African Mining Indaba over the critical minerals deal that the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) signed with the US last year.\u201d<\/p>\n

The publication reported that at a closed ministerial meeting at the indaba in Cape Town on Sunday Mantashe had accused the DRC of \u201cselling out, or words to that effect,\u201d to the US, according to two African analysts who witnessed the exchange.Extractive model persists<\/p>\n

The panellists at Mining Indaba struck a more even tone, with Mahnaz Khan, Vice President of Policy at the Silverado Policy Accelerator, pointing out that existing trade arrangements still largely treat Africa as a supplier of raw materials.<\/p>\n

She pointed to the US African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA), which was recently reauthorised for one year, noting that it maintains duty-free access primarily for raw or minimally processed minerals.<\/p>\n

\u201cAGOA is status quo… it has a similar structure where it\u2019s an extractive model,\u201d Khan said.<\/p>\n

While tariff exemptions remain for concentrates and lightly processed materials, she warned that tariffs apply once countries attempt deeper processing such as battery materials\u2014precisely the area African governments are trying to enter.<\/p>\n

African countries have more negotiating power than they think they have<\/p>\n

Policy shifts influence investment<\/p>\n

From an investor perspective, Helaina Matza, Chief Strategic Development Officer at TechMet, said recent US policy developments are beginning to provide clearer signals to the market.<\/p>\n

She highlighted three emerging tools:<\/p>\n

civilian stockpiling<\/p>\n

direct government investment<\/p>\n

strategic alliances with partner countries<\/p>\n

The stockpiling approach aims to stabilise volatile commodity markets and guarantee offtake. \u201cIt helps give us a little more certainty,\u201d Matza said, adding that bilateral partnerships could create more predictable investment conditions.<\/p>\n

Have you read? South Africa: \u2018Whole-of-govt\u2019 approach to critical minerals, sector by sector<\/p>\n

She said the concept of \u201cfriend-shoring\u201d \u2013 sourcing from trusted partners \u2013 is evolving beyond traditional Western allies and increasingly includes African states.<\/p>\n

\u201cI\u2019ve seen more delegations from Guinea and the DRC… negotiating how they come into this mix,\u201d she said. TechMet itself operates projects in South Africa and Rwanda and is watching negotiations closely.<\/p>\n

Supply chains and China<\/p>\n

However, Dinah McLeod, Director-General of the Cobalt Institute, cautioned that geopolitical supply-chain strategies could produce unintended consequences for African producers.<\/p>\n

About 70% of cobalt mines and processing facilities in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) are Chinese-owned, she said, meaning attempts to exclude China from supply chains could destabilise production.<\/p>\n

\u201cYou can\u2019t just say \u2018no China\u2019 and not negatively affect DRC cobalt mining,\u201d McLeod said.<\/p>\n

DRC take steps<\/p>\n

She also highlighted the DRC\u2019s own intervention: an export ban followed by a quota system for cobalt aimed at supporting beneficiation and stabilising prices.<\/p>\n

The policy supports a government-backed programme, Entreprise Ge\u0301ne\u0301rale du Cobalt (EGC), designed to formalise artisanal mining and allow buyers to source regulated small-scale production.<\/p>\n

Have you read? Africa: New trade corridors crucial to easing logistics bottlenecks<\/p>\n

The initiative could improve traceability and address concerns such as child labour, but success depends on certification systems, infrastructure and financing.<\/p>\n

\u201cInfrastructure in the DRC is sorely lacking… and these programmes suffer from lack of access to finance,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n

Demand pull emerging<\/p>\n

Panellists also discussed a new public-private initiative \u2013 a $12 billion fund (Project Vault) backed by export finance and industry \u2013 aimed at securing supplies for the automotive, defence and energy sectors. It is a strategic initiative announced by the Trump administration to secure supply chains for critical minerals, reducing reliance on China and supporting US industry.<\/p>\n

The mechanism is expected to create demand for minerals abundant in Africa, including cobalt, lithium, nickel and rare earth elements.<\/p>\n

The key question, speakers said, is whether demand will translate into processing on the continent or reinforce the export of raw materials to overseas refineries, particularly in China.<\/p>\n

If supply agreements incorporate traceability and sustainability standards aligned with Western policies, beneficiation in Africa could increase, the event heard.<\/p>\n

Investment outlook: opportunity with conditions<\/p>\n

Matza predicted investment would rise in the US and Africa. The US will expand processing capacity, she said, but still requires feedstock.<\/p>\n

\u201cThere are lots of minerals that just will never make sense to mine in the United States,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n

Have you read? Mining the gap: Africa\u2019s missing share in the clean tech boom<\/p>\n

Africa\u2019s geology \u2013 including world-class copper and cobalt deposits \u2013 ensures the continent will remain part of global supply chains, especially as infrastructure corridors such as the Lobito and Nacala routes develop.<\/p>\n

However, she warned the structure of agreements will matter. \u201cThe trick… is to ensure it\u2019s not exclusively extractive,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n

Negotiating power<\/p>\n

Khan argued African governments may hold more leverage than commonly assumed. Ongoing bilateral trade negotiations directed by the US administration could create long-term agreements replacing short-term tariff uncertainty.<\/p>\n

Washington increasingly frames engagement as \u201ctrade, not aid\u201d, but also speaks of \u201cshared prosperity\u201d, she said. That could include infrastructure finance, technical support and labour-standards capacity in exchange for supply security.<\/p>\n

\u201cAfrican countries have more negotiating power than they think they have,\u201d Khan said.<\/p>\n

A delicate tariffs balance<\/p>\n

Despite the opportunities, McLeod urged caution. Protectionist industrial policies in developed countries could still marginalise African suppliers if processing is prioritised domestically, she said.<\/p>\n

\u201cIf decision-making automatically chooses the developed country, that has negative connotations for less developed contexts,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n

Have you read? Mining Indaba: One voice, one strategy for Africa\u2019s critical minerals<\/p>\n

Panellists agreed that communication between governments, industry and international partners will be critical as tariffs, quotas and strategic alliances reshape trade.<\/p>\n

ESI<\/b><\/p>\n

Find more news and analyses on Gambia<\/span> on the Africa Press<\/span> website<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Gambia. New tariffs, stockpiling policies and supply-chain alliances are beginning to redraw the map of global critical minerals trade, with African producers facing new risks and unexpected opportunities, panellists said at the Investing in African Mining Indaba 2026. During a discussion titled Critical minerals investment in a post-tariff world, experts said recent trade […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":84,"featured_media":94439,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,6],"tags":[260],"class_list":["post-94440","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-all-news","category-files","tag-gambia"],"yoast_head":"\nTrump Tariffs to Reshape Africa\u2019S Critical Minerals Outlook - Gambia<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"-article-header-tag"> Africa-Press - Gambia. 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