{"id":14706,"date":"2023-07-10T21:18:00","date_gmt":"2023-07-10T21:18:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/guinee-conakry\/politique\/qui-va-succeder-a-mamadi-doumbouya"},"modified":"2023-07-10T21:18:00","modified_gmt":"2023-07-10T21:18:00","slug":"qui-va-succeder-a-mamadi-doumbouya","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/guinee-conakry\/politique\/qui-va-succeder-a-mamadi-doumbouya","title":{"rendered":"qui va succ\u00e9der \u00e0 Mamadi Doumbouya\u00a0?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Guin\u00e9e. <\/strong><\/span>A 24 mois de la fin de transition, les potentiels successeurs du Colonel Mamadi Doumbouya ne manquent pas. Sur cette liste non exhaustive de candidats re\u0301els ou suppose\u0301s, nous de\u0301clinons ceux qui ont des chances re\u0301elles, et ceux qui sont des outsiders.<\/p>\n

Les Favoris<\/b><\/p>\n

Mamadou Cellou Dalein Diallo, pre\u0301sident de l\u2019UFDG :<\/b> c\u2019est incontestablement l\u2019homme politique le plus populaire en Guine\u0301e. L\u2019ancien Premier ministre a l\u2019avantage d\u2019avoir un e\u0301lectorat constant. Ses de\u0301boires re\u0301cents avec la justice guine\u0301enne ont paradoxalement augmente\u0301 son capital sympathie dans son e\u0301lectorat et dans certaines officines internationales. Un vrai atout.<\/p>\n

Faiblesses : Il a du mal a\u0300 augmenter significativement son e\u0301lectorat, au de\u0301la\u0300 du nombre originel. De me\u0302me, il n\u2019arrive pas a\u0300 ratisser large au sein de l\u2019Arme\u0301e guine\u0301enne, l\u2019institution la plus organise\u0301e du pays. Et que dire de l\u2019e\u0301pe\u0301e de Damocle\u0300s qu\u2019est le dossier \u00ab Air Guine\u0301e \u00bb qui est pendant a\u0300 la Cour de Re\u0301pression des Infractions Economiques et Financie\u0300res (CRIEF).<\/p>\n

Sidya Toure\u0301, pre\u0301sident de l\u2019UFR<\/b>: depuis plus d\u2019une de\u0301cennie, son parti a toujours occupe\u0301 la troisie\u0300me place dans toutes les e\u0301lections organise\u0301es en Guine\u0301e. Alpha Conde\u0301, qui occupait toujours la premie\u0300re place e\u0301tant de\u0301sormais e\u0301jecte\u0301 du jeu politique depuis le putsch du 5 septembre 2021, l\u2019ancien Premier ministre Sidya Toure\u0301 peut le\u0301gitimement pre\u0301tendre aujourd\u2019hui a\u0300 la deuxie\u0300me place. Dans une telle configuration, il aura de re\u0301elles chances, dans l\u2019hypothe\u0300se d\u2019un deuxie\u0300me tour contre n\u2019importe quel candidat.<\/p>\n

Faiblesses<\/b> :<\/b> Il aura 80 ans a\u0300 la fin de la Transition en 2025. De me\u0302me, ses alliances et partenariats politiques avec plusieurs formations et personnalite\u0301s politiques se sont ge\u0301ne\u0301ralement termine\u0301es en queue de poisson, faisant de l\u2019homme un e\u0301ternel incompris. <\/b><\/p>\n

Kassory Fofana, <\/b>pre\u0301sident du Conseil National Exe\u0301cutif Provisoire<\/b> du RPG Arc-en-ciel <\/b>: s\u2019il a le soutien franc de son ancien patron Alpha Conde\u0301, il aura une belle carte a\u0300 jouer. Il a une bonne co\u0302te de popularite\u0301 aupre\u0300s de certains fonctionnaires, et au sein des militants de l\u2019ancien parti au pouvoir, le RPG Arc-en-ciel.<\/p>\n

Faiblesses <\/b>:<\/b> son parti est en train de perdre sa partie \u2018\u2019arc-en-ciel\u2019\u2019 acquise, pour ne garder que le noyau originel si l\u2019on tient compte de la baisse de l\u2019affluence lors des meetings hebdomadaires a\u0300 son sie\u0300ge national. Empe\u0302tre\u0301 dans une affaire de corruption et d\u2019enrichissement illicite pour laquelle il est en prison, sa carrie\u0300re politique pourrait e\u0302tre brise\u0301e, s\u2019il a un casier judiciaire charge\u0301.<\/p>\n

Mamadi Doumbouya<\/b>: si la future constitution, sous le re\u0301gime de laquelle l\u2019e\u0301lection pre\u0301sidentielle sera organise\u0301e le lui permet, Mamadi Doumbouya aura des fortes chances d\u2019e\u0302tre e\u0301lu. En effet, de 1958 a\u0300 nos jours, un pre\u0301sident au pouvoir n\u2019a jamais perdu les e\u0301lections en Guine\u0301e, en raison de l\u2019influence intemporelle des partis-Etat (PDG, PUP, RPG). En outre, l\u2019appre\u0301ciation du franc guine\u0301en, l\u2019ache\u0300vement de l\u2019ho\u0302pital Donka, des travaux de plus 100 Km de voirie urbaine a\u0300 Conakry, la construction d\u2019ho\u0302pitaux re\u0301gionaux, d\u2019un e\u0301changeur a\u0300 Kagbe\u0301le\u0301n et a\u0300 Bambe\u0301to, des salles de classe pour l\u2019enseignement technique et ge\u0301ne\u0301ral, la hausse des bourses d\u2019e\u0301tudes au niveau des universite\u0301s publiques, l\u2019instauration de bourses pour les e\u0301tudiants des e\u0301coles professionnelles, la revalorisation des soldes militaires, etc. pourraient e\u0302tre des arguments de campagne.<\/p>\n

Faiblesse <\/b>: la Charte de la Transition lui interdit d\u2019e\u0302tre candidat. Par conse\u0301quent, nul ne sait quel accueil re\u0301serveront la Cedeao, l\u2019opinion nationale et la communaute\u0301 internationale a\u0300 une e\u0301ventuelle candidature de Mamadi Doumbouya.<\/p>\n

Les Outsiders<\/b><\/p>\n

Parmi les outsiders, on peut citer, pe\u0302le-me\u0302le, les leaders de parti politique comme Lansana Kouyate\u0301 du PEDN, Dr Ousmane Kaba du PADES, l\u2019ancien ministre Siaka Barry du MPDG (Mouvement Populaire De\u0301mocratique de Guine\u0301e), Dr Faya Millimouno du parti Bloc Libe\u0301ral , Dr Makale\u0301 Traore\u0301 du parti PACT ou Aliou Bah du parti MoDel.<\/p>\n

A ceux-ci, il faut ajouter certaines personnalite\u0301s qui peuvent jouer les trouble-fe\u0302tes, si l\u2019opportunite\u0301 leur est donne\u0301e : les anciens ministres Kalifa Gassama Diaby, Ye\u0301ro Balde\u0301, Dr Ibrahima Kalil Kaba, Moustapha Nai\u0308te\u0301 ou l\u2019ancien trublion de la Socie\u0301te\u0301 civile, Abdourahamane Sano.<\/p>\n

Tous ces outsiders ont en commun, le fait qu\u2019ils n\u2019auront de chance de succe\u0301der a\u0300 Mamadi Doumbouya que lorsque celui-ci de\u0301cide de les soutenir.<\/p>\n

Pour plus d’informations et d’analyses sur la Guin\u00e9e<\/a>, suivez Africa-Press<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Guin\u00e9e. A 24 mois de la fin de transition, les potentiels successeurs du Colonel Mamadi Doumbouya ne manquent pas. Sur cette liste non exhaustive de candidats re\u0301els ou suppose\u0301s, nous de\u0301clinons ceux qui ont des chances re\u0301elles, et ceux qui sont des outsiders. Les Favoris Mamadou Cellou Dalein Diallo, pre\u0301sident de l\u2019UFDG : […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":82,"featured_media":14705,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,10],"tags":[36,57,58],"class_list":["post-14706","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politique","category-toutes-les-actualites","tag-africa-press","tag-africa-press-guinee","tag-guinee"],"yoast_head":"\nqui va succ\u00e9der \u00e0 Mamadi Doumbouya\u00a0? - guinee Conakry<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/guinee-conakry\/politique\/qui-va-succeder-a-mamadi-doumbouya\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"qui va succ\u00e9der \u00e0 Mamadi Doumbouya\u00a0?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Africa-Press – Guin\u00e9e. A 24 mois de la fin de transition, les potentiels successeurs du Colonel Mamadi Doumbouya ne manquent pas. Sur cette liste non exhaustive de candidats re\u0301els ou suppose\u0301s, nous de\u0301clinons ceux qui ont des chances re\u0301elles, et ceux qui sont des outsiders. 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