{"id":15387,"date":"2020-10-04T19:04:10","date_gmt":"2020-10-04T19:04:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.com\/kenya\/?p=15387"},"modified":"2020-10-04T19:04:35","modified_gmt":"2020-10-04T19:04:35","slug":"he-has-laid-bare-his-cards-but-for-how-much-longer-will-dp-last-at-the-table","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/kenya\/policy\/he-has-laid-bare-his-cards-but-for-how-much-longer-will-dp-last-at-the-table","title":{"rendered":"He has laid bare his cards, but for how much longer will DP last at the table?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Authors:\u00a0WILFRED AYAGA AND JACOB NG’ETICH<\/strong>
\nAfricaPress-Kenya:<\/strong> Deputy President William Ruto\u00a0appears to have shown all his aces ahead of the 2022 presidential polls. And like a bullfighter who has seen a red flag, he must now brace himself for the consequences.<\/p>\n

Like a gambler determined to make a kill, Ruto\u00a0(pictured<\/strong>) has been casting his cards daily to the dismay of onlookers, giving the impression that he is prepared to lose all to gain all.<\/p>\n

Having committed himself by alienating friends in government and the ruling party who he perceived to be working against his course, now the Bible-quoting self-declared hustler must await the verdict of the gods and the will of the people as Jubilee\u2019s tumultuous reign nears its end.<\/p>\n

In his race to succeed President Kenyatta, Ruto faces formidable\u00a0political forces\u00a0that could easily scatter his ambitions to the four winds.<\/p>\n

To become president in 2022, he must overrun allies of President Kenyatta who have vowed to deny him the party ticket, and who last Friday granted him a persona non grata from the Jubilee headquarters in Pangani, Nairobi.<\/p>\n

The DP will also need to outmaneuver the moves of ODM leader Raila Odinga, himself a consummate political schemer whose handshake with President Kenyatta destabilised the once formidable Jubilee Party and threw open the 2022 presidential race.<\/p>\n

Coupled with the fact that Uhuru is under\u00a0pressure to dump him,\u00a0Ruto finds himself ensnared in political landmines.<\/p>\n

\u201cIt will wholly depend on how he plays his pawns because this is like a chess game. His success will depend on his political moves in order to surmount the difficult terrain that he finds himself in,\u201d argues Prof Egara Kabaji.<\/p>\n

\u201cIf he finds himself in the ballot against Raila in 2022, it will be very interesting because Raila will comfortably use his political skill and he can really work hard. Ruto is not a pushover.\u201d<\/p>\n

Jubilee\u2019s decision to lock Ruto out of party headquarters was the latest spanner in the DP\u2019s political works. It adds to a long list of hurdles planted in his way, ranging from accusations of undermining his boss through early presidential campaigns to compromising the fight against graft. A day before the hammer fell, the DP led 41 MPs to the party headquarters and declared that he would use the venue as a political meeting point. His allies also called for party elections, a taboo subject in Jubilee.<\/p>\n

No pushover<\/strong><\/p>\n

The DP\u2019s critics have been laying traps around him, making him work hard for the presidency, a feat he earlier assumed would be a walk in the park. Following Jubilee\u2019s victory in 2017, Ruto was viewed as President Kenyatta\u2019s automatic successor, before quickly encountering headwinds. There were early signals following the chaotic party nominations that all was not well in Jubilee, though.<\/p>\n

Ruto has however managed to win to his side a section of MPs, including some from Uhuru\u2019s Mt Kenya backyard.\u00a0It is these leaders that he will be counting on for his 2022 bid, where he is likely to face off with Raila.<\/p>\n

Nyeri Town MP Ngunjiri Wambugu says\u00a0Ruto\u2019s political future\u00a0is bleak after he made costly political miscalculations. He also casts doubt on his ability to woo the Central Kenya vote without Kenyatta\u2019s backing.<\/p>\n

\u201cHe cannot get central Kenya votes without the president. Nobody knows what they agreed, but he is now operating as if he has become one of us. Every region has someone that has the final say. For example, you cannot go to the Rift Valley directly, without passing through the DP or Gideon Moi. The assumption that he can come to Mt Kenya directly is wrong,\u201d Wambugu says.<\/p>\n

The MP added that it would also be difficult for the DP to outmaneuver Raila in any political contest.<\/p>\n

\u201cRuto is not as smart as Raila. Remember Raila has the brand behind him which he has built over the years. He is also able to rise from political ashes and reinvent himself, just like he did with the handshake. Ruto is not even half as smart. If Raila didn\u2019t manage to navigate the political landmines and become president, who is Ruto?\u201d asked Wambugu.<\/p>\n

Kiharu MP Ndindi Nyoro however feels that the ground is with Ruto, arguing that the DP\u2019s wing has surmounted all roadblocks that have been placed on its path.<\/p>\n

\u201cOur dominance on the ground continues to solidify. We have more solid support in Mt Kenya than any other place in this country. Right now, we are not looking at challenges because those are behind us. We\u2019ve had bigger problems,\u201d says the legislator.<\/p>\n

\u201cIn the Kenyan political scene, no one comes closer to Ruto. Raila is very polarizing. He wins one vote, loses two. No one has the power and the charisma of Ruto. He is also a real political mentor.\u201d<\/p>\n

In a tweet, Senate Minority leader James Orengo\u00a0suggested that the DP\u2019s political goose is cooked.<\/p>\n

\u201cNot so long ago an air of triumphalism reigned in Harambee Annex, more of a hedonistic Happy Valley than a mythical El Dorado. But in the words of John Donne I now say…Therefore, send not to know for whom the bell tolls, it tolls for thee,\u201d wrote the senator.<\/p>\n

His National Assembly counterpart John Mbadi agrees that the DP\u2019s political fortunes are in limbo. \u201cI would want more hurdles built around him. He is one who has created these landmines. He has demonstrated that he is not keen on the future of the country so long as it serves him. He is also the author of a lot of problems we have faced in this country such as bad governance. I don\u2019t think he is going to sort out anything because he has created all these problems for himself,\u201d says the Suba South MP.<\/p>\n

Political analyst Edward Kisiang\u2019ani observes that Jubilee will suffer a mortal blow should the DP leave the party.<\/p>\n

\u201cRuto is strong enough because the party is about people and he has a lot of people who agree with him. If he walks out of Jubilee or he is chased out, it will not be Ruto\u00a0walking out\u00a0but elected leaders and voters. He has also endeared himself to Raila strongholds such as Nyanza and Western,\u201d says the university don.<\/p>\n

Analyst Martin Oloo also warned that it will be politically unwise to underestimate the DP.<\/p>\n

\u201cHe is a strong candidate that you cannot wish away. He knows where he is going and does not take prisoners. This is not a defining moment for him, because that moment came immediately Jubilee won in 2017. He is the kind of politician who can rise from any direction,\u201d said the political science professor.<\/p>\n

\u201cWhen he was blocked in Kanu, he jumped into\u00a0ODM.\u00a0When things didn\u2019t work out for him there, he formed URP before finally getting into Jubilee. It is not beyond him to get out of Jubilee. \u00a0I\u2019m even wondering why he is taking the direct route when he should have jumped ship or formed another party,\u201d said the political science don.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Authors:\u00a0WILFRED AYAGA AND JACOB NG’ETICH AfricaPress-Kenya: Deputy President William Ruto\u00a0appears to have shown all his aces ahead of the 2022 presidential polls. And like a bullfighter who has seen a red flag, he must now brace himself for the consequences. Like a gambler determined to make a kill, Ruto\u00a0(pictured) has been casting his cards daily […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":84,"featured_media":15377,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,8,12],"tags":[496,493],"class_list":["post-15387","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-all-news","category-homepage-english","category-policy","tag-2022-politics","tag-dp-william-ruto"],"yoast_head":"\nHe has laid bare his cards, but for how much longer will DP last at the table? - kenya<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Deputy President William Ruto\u00a0appears to have shown all his aces ahead of the 2022 presidential polls. 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