{"id":16673,"date":"2020-10-28T20:55:56","date_gmt":"2020-10-28T20:55:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.com\/kenya\/?p=16673"},"modified":"2020-10-28T20:55:56","modified_gmt":"2020-10-28T20:55:56","slug":"uneven-recovery-prospects-for-africas-major-economies-survey","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/kenya\/economy\/uneven-recovery-prospects-for-africas-major-economies-survey","title":{"rendered":"Uneven recovery prospects for Africa’s major economies: Survey"},"content":{"rendered":"

AfricaPress-Kenya:<\/strong> Recovery among Africa\u2019s major economies will be mixed and mostly tepid, favouring the more diversified rather than those heavily reliant on commodity exports, a Reuters poll found on Tuesday.<\/p>\n

The coronavirus has hit spending in Africa this year and in particular hampered economies that either export raw commodities or depend on tourism, as the pandemic stymied global economic activity.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe economic rebound will be slow, partly because many African countries\u2019 fiscal positions will be a constraint on growth,\u201d said Jacques Nel, head of macroeconomic research at NKC African economics.<\/p>\n

In the poll conducted between October 20 and 26, median forecasts showed strong recoveries of 4.7 per cent in Kenya and 4.5 per cent in Ghana next year after growth of 1.0 per cent and 1.5 per cent this year.<\/p>\n

But any rebound will be more lacklustre for big economies hit by recession, with Nigeria expected to grow 2.0 per cent in 2021 after shrinking 4.0 per cent this year.<\/p>\n

South Africa is forecast to grow 3.5 per cent in 2021 after an 8.5 per cent contraction this year. It had pre-existing fiscal problems before it had to deal with COVID-19 spending that exacerbated its budget deficit, like its peers.<\/p>\n

Africa\u2019s real per capita GDP is set to drop to pre-global financial crisis levels this year. However, that does not imply all countries will struggle.<\/p>\n

\u201cFrom a regional perspective, most of the fastest-growing countries will be in East Africa,\u201d Nel said.<\/p>\n

East Africa is one of the most diversified regions on the continent, with sectors ranging from agriculture, to a huge tourism industry, to gas finds and gold mines.<\/p>\n

Nel added that oil producers have a difficult decade ahead, lacking a dynamic private sector and hamstrung by corruption, inefficient governments, poor policymaking and challenging business environments.<\/p>\n

Nigeria has endured coronavirus lockdowns and several states in the south have imposed curfews after two weeks of confrontations between security services and protesters against police brutality.<\/p>\n

\u201cKey ports have also been attacked, and this together with the constraints on economic activity in important cities will likely constrain the country\u2019s fledgling recovery. We continue to see downside risks to our forecast,\u201d wrote Michael Kafe, economist at Barclays.<\/p>\n

Zambia\u2019s debt-ridden economy is expected to grow 2.0 per cent next year after an estimated 4.1 per cent contraction this year.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

AfricaPress-Kenya: Recovery among Africa\u2019s major economies will be mixed and mostly tepid, favouring the more diversified rather than those heavily reliant on commodity exports, a Reuters poll found on Tuesday. The coronavirus has hit spending in Africa this year and in particular hampered economies that either export raw commodities or depend on tourism, as the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":84,"featured_media":16667,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,5,8],"tags":[2763,6047,5601],"class_list":["post-16673","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-all-news","category-economy","category-homepage-english","tag-covid-19-pandemic","tag-economic-recovery","tag-export"],"yoast_head":"\nUneven recovery prospects for Africa's major economies: Survey - kenya<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Recovery among Africa\u2019s major economies will be mixed and mostly tepid, favouring the more diversified rather than those heavily reliant on\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/kenya\/economy\/uneven-recovery-prospects-for-africas-major-economies-survey\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Uneven recovery prospects for Africa's major economies: Survey\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Recovery among Africa\u2019s major economies will be mixed and mostly tepid, favouring the more diversified rather than those heavily reliant on\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/kenya\/economy\/uneven-recovery-prospects-for-africas-major-economies-survey\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"kenya\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/AfricaPressTunisiaa\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-10-28T20:55:56+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/kenya\/sites\/28\/2020\/10\/uneven_recovery_pros5f990fa85defd.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"632\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"417\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"cfeditoren\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"cfeditoren\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/kenya\/economy\/uneven-recovery-prospects-for-africas-major-economies-survey#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/kenya\/economy\/uneven-recovery-prospects-for-africas-major-economies-survey\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"cfeditoren\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/kenya\/#\/schema\/person\/068c7ab4e9634ae78ec5d54ec46598bb\"},\"headline\":\"Uneven recovery prospects for Africa’s major economies: Survey\",\"datePublished\":\"2020-10-28T20:55:56+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/kenya\/economy\/uneven-recovery-prospects-for-africas-major-economies-survey\"},\"wordCount\":383,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/kenya\/economy\/uneven-recovery-prospects-for-africas-major-economies-survey#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/kenya\/sites\/28\/2020\/10\/uneven_recovery_pros5f990fa85defd.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Covid-19 pandemic\",\"Economic Recovery\",\"Export\"],\"articleSection\":[\"all news\",\"economy\",\"homepage-english\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/kenya\/economy\/uneven-recovery-prospects-for-africas-major-economies-survey#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/kenya\/economy\/uneven-recovery-prospects-for-africas-major-economies-survey\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/kenya\/economy\/uneven-recovery-prospects-for-africas-major-economies-survey\",\"name\":\"Uneven recovery prospects for Africa's major economies: Survey - 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