{"id":42048,"date":"2026-03-27T12:32:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-27T12:32:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/madagascar\/politique\/ia-comme-monstre-de-frankenstein-rapport-viral"},"modified":"2026-04-19T14:24:08","modified_gmt":"2026-04-19T14:24:08","slug":"ia-comme-monstre-de-frankenstein-rapport-viral","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/madagascar\/toutes-les-actualites\/ia-comme-monstre-de-frankenstein-rapport-viral","title":{"rendered":"IA Comme Monstre de Frankenstein: Rapport Viral"},"content":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Madagascar. <\/strong> <\/span>Ce rapport, le dernier d\u2019une se\u0301rie d\u2019articles pessimistes sur le potentiel disruptif de l\u2019IA, envisage un sce\u0301nario pour 2028 ou\u0300 le cho\u0302mage aux Etats-Unis atteindrait 10,2%, en raison des licenciements dus au remplacement rapide des logiciels et des applications de livraison par l\u2019IA. Cet effondrement hypothe\u0301tique du marche\u0301 du travail, aggrave\u0301 par les de\u0301fauts de paiement des pre\u0302ts hypothe\u0301caires et de capital-investissement, pourrait provoquer une onde de choc dans les syste\u0300mes financiers, entrai\u0302nant une chute des actions ame\u0301ricaines, un blocage des marche\u0301s du cre\u0301dit et de l\u2019e\u0301conomie en ge\u0301ne\u0301ral.<\/p>\n

Le rapport de Citrini, cabinet inde\u0301pendant d\u2019analyse financie\u0300re et macroe\u0301conomique, a trouve\u0301 un e\u0301cho aupre\u0300s des marche\u0301s, inquiets de l\u2019impact ne\u0301gatif potentiel de l\u2019IA. Les investisseurs ont vendu massivement les actions \u2060des socie\u0301te\u0301s de logiciels et celles des secteurs vulne\u0301rables a\u0300 l\u2019automatisation. L\u2019indice S&P du compartiment des logiciels a baisse\u0301 de 24% depuis le de\u0301but de l\u2019anne\u0301e.<\/p>\n

\u00ab C\u2019e\u0301tait un cercle vicieux sans frein naturel \u00bb<\/p>\n

\u00ab Les capacite\u0301s de l\u2019IA se sont ame\u0301liore\u0301es, les entreprises ont eu besoin de moins d\u2019employe\u0301s, les licenciements de cols blancs ont augmente\u0301 (…) c\u2019e\u0301tait un cercle vicieux sans frein naturel \u00bb, e\u0301crit Alap Shah, auteur du rapport de Citrini. Des pre\u0301occupations similaires ont e\u0301te\u0301 exprime\u0301es dans des blogs qui ont circule\u0301 parmi les \u2060investisseurs ce mois-ci, notamment celui de Matt Shumer, \u2060directeur ge\u0301ne\u0301ral et cofondateur de la socie\u0301te\u0301 d\u2019IA Otherside AI, sur l\u2019ampleur du pouvoir disruptif de l\u2019IA.<\/p>\n

Matt Shumer affirme que l\u2019impact de l\u2019IA pourrait e\u0302tre \u00ab beaucoup plus important \u00bb que la crise du Covid-19, qui a bouleverse\u0301 tout, des chai\u0302nes d\u2019approvisionnement mondiales a\u0300 la main-d\u2019\u0153uvre et a\u0300 l\u2019e\u0301ducation. Damien Boey, strate\u0300ge de portefeuille chez Wilson Asset Management a\u0300 Sydney, a note\u0301 que le marche\u0301 reste inquiet car il jongle entre les signes cycliques de gains potentiels dans les actifs a\u0300 risque et les chocs possibles qui ne se refle\u0300tent pas dans les tendances macroe\u0301conomiques conventionnelles. \u00ab L\u2019article de Citrini a touche\u0301 un point sensible a\u0300 cet e\u0301gard \u00bb, a-t-il ajoute\u0301.<\/p>\n

Si les marche\u0301s boursiers mondiaux restent proches de leurs niveaux records, cela masque une rotation massive de nombreuses entreprises expose\u0301es a\u0300 l\u2019IA vers des valeurs de\u0301fensives ou les segments rentables de la chai\u0302ne d\u2019approvisionnement.<\/p>\n

Depuis son pic en octobre dernier, l\u2019indice S&P 500 des logiciels et services a chute\u0301 de plus de 30%, tandis que les ge\u0301ants asiatiques de la fabrication de puces ont connu une forte hausse. TSMC a progresse\u0301 de 30% au cours de la me\u0302me pe\u0301riode et les actions des socie\u0301te\u0301s sud-core\u0301ennes Samsung Electronics et SK Hynix ont double\u0301.<\/p>\n

\u00ab L\u2019IA est une re\u0301alite\u0301… la divergence est re\u0301elle et la vente massive (de logiciels) est logique, car l\u2019IA va re\u0301duire a\u0300 ne\u0301ant le codage logiciel \u00bb, a de\u0301clare\u0301 Christopher Forbes, responsable Asie et Moyen-Orient chez CMC Markets. \u00ab Ceux qui font partie de la chai\u0302ne d\u2019approvisionnement seront gagnants: les puces, les centres de donne\u0301es, l\u2019e\u0301nergie permanente \u00bb. Le prochain test pour les marche\u0301s viendra avec les re\u0301sultats publie\u0301s mercredi par Nvidia, le leader de l\u2019IA.<\/p>\n

\u00ab Je prendrais cela au se\u0301rieux, mais pas au pied de la lettre \u00bb<\/p>\n

D\u2019autres ont souligne\u0301 que, face a\u0300 la peur dominante, les aspects positifs de l\u2019IA pour l\u2019e\u0301conomie mondiale e\u0301taient ne\u0301glige\u0301s. \u00ab Je prendrais cela au se\u0301rieux, mais pas au pied de la lettre \u00bb, a de\u0301clare\u0301 Nick Ferres, directeur des investissements chez Vantage Point Asset Management, qui a ajoute\u0301 que les critiques a\u0300 l\u2019encontre du rapport Citrini, qui minimisait la capacite\u0301 d\u2019adaptation de l\u2019e\u0301conomie, e\u0301taient e\u0301galement valables.<\/p>\n

Dans son article, \u2060Matt Shumer a souligne\u0301 que le \u00ab seul grand avantage \u00bb que les salarie\u0301s pourraient tirer est d\u2019agir rapidement, tant en termes de compre\u0301hension que d\u2019adaptation a\u0300 l\u2019IA.<\/p>\n

Dans un autre article date\u0301 du 17 fe\u0301vrier, Andrea Pignataro, directeur ge\u0301ne\u0301ral de la socie\u0301te\u0301 de logiciels et de donne\u0301es financie\u0300res ION Group, a de\u0301clare\u0301 que les marche\u0301s ne devaient pas paniquer a\u0300 l\u2019ide\u0301e que l\u2019IA remplace \u2060les outils logiciels, mais pluto\u0302t paniquer a\u0300 l\u2019ide\u0301e de ce qui se passerait si les institutions de\u0301couvraient qu\u2019elles avaient appris a\u0300 l\u2019IA \u00ab a\u0300 se passer d\u2019elles \u00bb.<\/p>\n

\u00ab Jusqu\u2019a\u0300 pre\u0301sent cette anne\u0301e, le marche\u0301 boursier a e\u0301carte\u0301 le sce\u0301nario dans lequel l\u2019IA serait notre monstre de Frankenstein \u00bb, a de\u0301clare\u0301 Ed Yardeni, de Yardeni Research. \u00ab Nous continuons a\u0300 croire que l\u2019IA augmente la productivite\u0301 des salarie\u0301s pluto\u0302t que de les rendre obsole\u0300tes. \u00bb<\/p>\n

Retrouvez plus d\u2019actualit\u00e9s et d\u2019analyses sur Madagascar<\/span> sur le site Africa Press<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Madagascar. Ce rapport, le dernier d\u2019une se\u0301rie d\u2019articles pessimistes sur le potentiel disruptif de l\u2019IA, envisage un sce\u0301nario pour 2028 ou\u0300 le cho\u0302mage aux Etats-Unis atteindrait 10,2%, en raison des licenciements dus au remplacement rapide des logiciels et des applications de livraison par l\u2019IA. Cet effondrement hypothe\u0301tique du marche\u0301 du travail, aggrave\u0301 par […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":82,"featured_media":42047,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22,10],"tags":[49],"class_list":["post-42048","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-divers","category-toutes-les-actualites","tag-madagascar"],"yoast_head":"\nIA Comme Monstre de Frankenstein: Rapport Viral - Madagascar<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"-article-header-tag"> Africa-Press - Madagascar. 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