{"id":47014,"date":"2023-08-07T17:22:42","date_gmt":"2023-08-07T17:22:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/malawi\/all-news\/summer-2023-highly-likely-to-be-hottest-on-record-senior-eu-scientist"},"modified":"2023-08-07T18:09:36","modified_gmt":"2023-08-07T18:09:36","slug":"summer-2023-highly-likely-to-be-hottest-on-record-senior-eu-scientist","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/malawi\/all-news\/summer-2023-highly-likely-to-be-hottest-on-record-senior-eu-scientist","title":{"rendered":"Summer 2023 \u2018highly likely\u2019 to be hottest on record: Senior EU scientist"},"content":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Malawi. <\/strong><\/span>This summer is highly likely to be the warmest the world has ever seen, according to a senior official of the EU\u2019s climate change program, a stark warning for a globe sweltering under scorching temperatures over the past two months.<\/p>\n

Following all-time high temperatures in June and July, which is now the hottest month on record, it is highly likely that this will be the world\u2019s warmest-ever summer, Samantha Burgess, deputy director of the EU\u2019s Copernicus Climate Change Service, told Anadolu in an interview.<\/p>\n

According to Copernicus data, the sixth month of this year was the hottest June on record and was followed by all-time high daily temperatures starting from early July.<\/p>\n

July 6 became the hottest day in history, when global average temperatures hit 17.08C (62.74F), beating the previous record of August 2016, while the first three weeks of July were the warmest three-week period on record.<\/p>\n

Global average temperatures reached 16.51C (61.71F) in June and hit 16.95C (62.51F) between July 1-23. The previous hottest July and month on record was July 2019, when the global average temperature was 16.63C (61.93F).<\/p>\n

\u201cThere is a direct correlation between the concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere and global temperatures,\u201d said Burgess, adding that climate scientists have not been surprised by the recent mercury spikes.<\/p>\n

\u201cNow, global temperatures are 1.2C above the pre-industrial average, and that is directly proportional to the amount of carbon dioxide and methane that we have in the atmosphere.\u201d<\/p>\n

Emissions of greenhouse gases are increasing due to various human activities, including burning fossil fuels, deforestation, use of fertilizers in agriculture, livestock farming, and the decomposition of organic material in landfills.<\/p>\n

The global annual average of concentration of carbon dioxide and methane have been climbing, Copernicus data shows.<\/p>\n

The figure for concentration of carbon dioxide reached 416.7 parts per million, while methane reached 1,894 parts per billion in 2022, the highest levels ever measured by satellite and the highest for at least hundreds of thousands of years.<\/p>\n

Burgess warned that global temperatures will continue to increase, with August and the next few months likely to be warmer than average.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe will need to wait until the end of August to do the statistics to understand if it is the warmest summer on record,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n

\u201cBut I think with the warmest June on record and record temperatures in July that really exceeded expectations of where we have been in the past, it is highly likely that this will be the warmest summer that we have ever seen.\u201d<\/p>\n

She said each of the first seven months of this year have been among the top five warmest for those months, with June and July in first place.<\/p>\n

\u201cIf the Northern Hemisphere autumn and winter continue this trend, then it is highly likely that 2023 will be certainly in the top three years, if not the warmest year,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n

\u201cBut it really depends on what happens in the autumn and winter to come.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u2018Strength of El Nino to be clear in next six to 12 months\u2019<\/b><\/p>\n

Burgess said the record temperature levels are due to a combination of factors, stressing that there is no direct correlation with the developing El Nino weather system.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe have had these extreme heat waves around the world, increased solar radiation and greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, and so all of these have combined for the record temperatures,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n

Sea surface temperatures are also increasing, Burgess said, pointing to the marine heat waves in the North Atlantic in May and June, and record sea surface temperature in the Mediterranean, which is expected to continue over the coming months.<\/p>\n

A previous Copernicus statement said global average sea surface temperatures since May have been \u201cwell above previously observed values for the time of the year,\u201d contributing to the exceptionally hot July.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe have seen the development of this warm sea surface temperature off the coast of Peru and Ecuador. Now, that warm pool of water has migrated across the equatorial Pacific towards Australia and Indonesia,\u201d Burgess explained.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe expectation is that El Nino will continue to grow and there is feedback between warm ocean temperatures and warm atmospheric temperatures.\u201d<\/p>\n

As the El Nino continues to develop and strengthen across the Pacific, there will be \u201cconnections between the ocean and the atmosphere,\u201d which will lead to \u201cteleconnections outside of the Pacific Region, in other parts of the world like Europe,\u201d she added.<\/p>\n

According to the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, teleconnections are defined as \u201csignificant relationships or links between weather phenomena at widely separated locations on earth, which typically entail climate patterns that span thousands of miles.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cWe will understand the strength and severity of this El Nino event over the next six to 12 months. It is highly probable with El Nino that if it continues to develop, science is telling us that we are likely to have a warmer winter and that these global record temperatures will continue. It may not be the top, but it might be top five,\u201d said Burgess.<\/p>\n

As for extreme weather events, she warned that the frequency will keep increasing in the coming years, but the conditions, or where and when they happen, will not be identical.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe have seen over the last months that the frequency of these events is increasing. This is why it is so important to cap out emissions and get to net-zero as quickly as possible,\u201d said Burgess.<\/p>\n

She said governments around the world committed to act to limit global warming, but the measures are falling short of what is needed to reach net-zero emissions by 2050.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe are already at 1.2C above the pre-industrial average temperatures and working with a very limited budget left,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe may overshoot that (1.5C threshold) but the reality is that every single fraction of a degree matters. So, all the action we can take as soon as possible will reduce global warming and get us to net-zero sooner. It will also reduce the impacts and stabilize our climate.\u201d<\/p>\n

For More News And Analysis About Malawi<\/a> Follow Africa-Press<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Malawi. This summer is highly likely to be the warmest the world has ever seen, according to a senior official of the EU\u2019s climate change program, a stark warning for a globe sweltering under scorching temperatures over the past two months. Following all-time high temperatures in June and July, which is now the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":84,"featured_media":47013,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,9],"tags":[233,371,6406,6408,6167,6049,6405,234,6407],"class_list":["post-47014","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-all-news","category-miscellaneous","tag-africa-press","tag-africa-press-malawi","tag-copernicus-climate-change-service","tag-fossil-fuels","tag-global-warming","tag-heat-wave","tag-hottest-summer","tag-malawi","tag-samantha-burgess"],"yoast_head":"\nSummer 2023 \u2018highly likely\u2019 to be hottest on record: Senior EU scientist - Malawi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"This summer is highly likely to be the warmest the world has ever seen, according to a senior official of the EU\u2019s clima ...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/malawi\/all-news\/summer-2023-highly-likely-to-be-hottest-on-record-senior-eu-scientist\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Summer 2023 \u2018highly likely\u2019 to be hottest on record: Senior EU scientist\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This summer is highly likely to be the warmest the world has ever seen, according to a senior official of the EU\u2019s clima ...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/malawi\/all-news\/summer-2023-highly-likely-to-be-hottest-on-record-senior-eu-scientist\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Malawi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/AfricaPressTunisiaa\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-08-07T17:22:42+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-08-07T18:09:36+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/malawi\/sites\/36\/2023\/08\/sm_1691415431.251616.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"840\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"522\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"cfeditoren\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"cfeditoren\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/malawi\/all-news\/summer-2023-highly-likely-to-be-hottest-on-record-senior-eu-scientist#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/malawi\/all-news\/summer-2023-highly-likely-to-be-hottest-on-record-senior-eu-scientist\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"cfeditoren\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/malawi\/#\/schema\/person\/068c7ab4e9634ae78ec5d54ec46598bb\"},\"headline\":\"Summer 2023 \u2018highly likely\u2019 to be hottest on record: Senior EU scientist\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-08-07T17:22:42+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-08-07T18:09:36+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/malawi\/all-news\/summer-2023-highly-likely-to-be-hottest-on-record-senior-eu-scientist\"},\"wordCount\":1018,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/malawi\/all-news\/summer-2023-highly-likely-to-be-hottest-on-record-senior-eu-scientist#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/malawi\/sites\/36\/2023\/08\/sm_1691415431.251616.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Africa Press\",\"Africa Press-Malawi\",\"Copernicus Climate Change Service\",\"fossil fuels\",\"global warming\",\"Heat wave\",\"hottest summer\",\"Malawi\",\"Samantha Burgess\"],\"articleSection\":[\"all news\",\"miscellaneous\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/malawi\/all-news\/summer-2023-highly-likely-to-be-hottest-on-record-senior-eu-scientist#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/malawi\/all-news\/summer-2023-highly-likely-to-be-hottest-on-record-senior-eu-scientist\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/malawi\/all-news\/summer-2023-highly-likely-to-be-hottest-on-record-senior-eu-scientist\",\"name\":\"Summer 2023 \u2018highly likely\u2019 to be hottest on record: Senior EU scientist - 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