{"id":51271,"date":"2023-10-24T08:18:37","date_gmt":"2023-10-24T08:18:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/malawi\/all-news\/very-thin-budget-forex-shortage-triggers-cost-of-living-crisis-in-malawi"},"modified":"2023-10-24T09:13:15","modified_gmt":"2023-10-24T09:13:15","slug":"very-thin-budget-forex-shortage-triggers-cost-of-living-crisis-in-malawi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/malawi\/all-news\/very-thin-budget-forex-shortage-triggers-cost-of-living-crisis-in-malawi","title":{"rendered":"\u2018Very thin budget\u2019: Forex shortage triggers cost-of-living crisis in Malawi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"color: #ff6600\"><strong>Africa-Press &#8211; Malawi. <\/strong><\/span>Joe Kambale has been stitching men\u2019s suits from his living room in Blantyre, Malawi\u2019s commercial hub, for the last eight years. Sometimes he makes about 200,000 kwacha ($173) a week, decent wages in a country where half of the population lives on $1 daily or less, according to data from Malawi\u2019s National Statistical Office.<\/p>\n<p>He was often so swamped with work that he was sometimes unable to take on new customers for up to a month. But in the last two weeks, the 35-year-old tailor\u2019s pair of sewing machines have been idle because demand is dwindling.<\/p>\n<p>And now he is finding it hard to cater to the needs of his wife and one-year-old son.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe high cost of living has driven clients away,\u201d he said, with a look of despair in his eyes. A month ago, two of his most loyal customers suspended orders indefinitely, telling him that they are now prioritising spending their earnings on basic needs.<\/p>\n<p>The rising cost of materials is also eating into the small profit margins for Kambale\u2019s business, which is run on a shoestring budget.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMost of the materials that we use in tailoring are imported. When I go to the market to buy them, I find prices have increased because of dwindling imports. Almost every day prices are changing,\u201d said Kambale. \u201cRaising the prices of my suits is difficult because I might lose customers. I\u2019m making losses.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Life in this southern African country of 20 million people has become harder in recent years.<\/p>\n<p>Since 2021, the country has been experiencing acute foreign currency shortages, a consequence of reduced exports, experts say. This has led to a scarcity of essential goods such as food, medicine, fertiliser and fuel. In June, spokesperson for the Reserve Bank of Malawi, Ralph Tseka, told local media that the foreign exchange reserves were \u201cnearly empty\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Analysts like Betchani Tchereni, associate professor of economics and dean at the Malawi University of Business and Applied Sciences say Malawi is still feeling the effects of COVID-19 and the war in Ukraine on the global supply chain. Since the conflict began in February 2022, the price of bread has increased by at least 50 percent.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe pandemic destabilised tobacco export and when the war started, the prices of chemical fertiliser skyrocketed, meaning that we couldn\u2019t afford the quantities that we needed any more,\u201d he said. \u201cThis also came at a time global inflation in general went up meaning that we couldn\u2019t afford many imports. It further drained our forex and led to inflation.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Beyond that, there is also a ripple effect from the impact of Cyclone Freddy which displaced nearly 90,000 people this March in Blantyre and parts of southern Malawi.<\/p>\n<p>\u2018The worst is yet to come\u2019<br \/>\nTo stabilise dwindling forex reserves, Malawi\u2019s central bank devalued the kwacha by 25 percent last May. As of this October, the currency had further weakened by 4.87 percent. Due to rocketing year-on-year inflation \u2013 28.6 percent as of September \u2013 everything from food to electricity has gone above the reach of most people.<\/p>\n<p>For instance, Malawi\u2019s main staple, maize, has increased by 15 percent, according to the Famine Early Warning Systems Network. As of June, a family of six in an urban setting needed 377,892 kwacha ($326.53) per month to survive, up from 257,028 kwacha ($222.09) during a similar period last year, according to the Centre for Social Concern-CfCS, a local research-based non-profit.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe worst is yet to come,\u201d John Kapito, executive director of the Consumers Association of Malawi, told Al Jazeera. \u201cFor a long time, the country has failed to balance its imports against exports and has relied heavily on donors for its forex reserves. Our government is in no position where it can cushion anyone. Its revenue collection has drastically gone down as a result of market inactivity and [it] is currently struggling to pay its oversize civil service.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Agriculture predominantly powers Malawi\u2019s economy, contributing approximately a third of its gross domestic product. Yet, even annual revenue from tobacco, the country\u2019s major foreign exchange earner with $283m in sales already this year, is insufficient to cover the country\u2019s imports bill. According to the Reserve Bank of Malawi, the country requires $3bn annually to meet import requirements but only earns about $1bn.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cFor a predominantly exporting country like ours we want the exchange rate to be as strong as possible because that makes the goods affordable but that works if forex is available and obviously that\u2019s not the case with us,\u201d said Tchereni. \u201cIt means that every time we are devaluing the kwacha against the US dollar and other currencies, commodities become expensive, disproportionately affecting the ultra-poor people, as is the current situation.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>With the country\u2019s economy in bad shape, the need to move towards greater economic stability has become increasingly urgent. Tchereni believes the private sector is the engine to drive that development. \u201cIt is the role of the private sector to generate forex and engage in import substitution. Regrettably, as a country, we\u2019ve fallen short in this area,\u201d he told Al Jazeera.<\/p>\n<p>\u2018A very thin budget\u2019<br \/>\nGift Lukas, a taxi driver in Blantyre, has been skipping lunch in recent weeks so his wife can use that money to feed their two children at home.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMy lunch money is 2,000 kwacha ($1.73) which is even very little and not enough for them at home,\u201d said the 30-year-old who makes about 60,000 kwacha ($51) a week on good days. \u201cNot so long ago I could manage that [weekly] money but now that same amount is almost close to nothing,\u201d he said. \u201cI\u2019m running on a very thin budget. That money has to cover rent, school fees for my children and food. As a result, I end up getting into unnecessary debts.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The forex shortages have also led to recurring fuel shortages that have triggered nationwide frustration in Malawi. Drivers like Lukas have been forced to park their vehicles for days at a time, earning nothing in that period.<\/p>\n<p>Faced with no other option, he turned to purchasing fuel on the black market, where a litre of petrol goes for as much as four times the official rate of 1,750 kwacha ($1.51). \u201cI made big losses because I could not raise fares for my customers, if I did, it could have kept me out of business,\u201d he said. \u201cProblems won\u2019t just go away in this country.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Tchereni says Malawi must industrialise, with a focus on mining, if the country is to become a self-sustaining economy. \u201cWe have valuable minerals, and we need to explore ways to export them while adding value at the same time. This is achievable if the private sector invested in mining,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>The Kambales have since changed their consumption patterns, swapping the more expensive bread for the cheaper sweet potatoes for breakfast. The tailor\u2019s long-harboured ambitions of moving his business into a downtown shop are now on hold and he is having to ask friends for help with money.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI totally understand why people seek better opportunities abroad,\u201d he told Al Jazeera. \u201cIn all honesty, I have been thinking about this for a while now.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><b>SOURCE: AL JAZEERA<\/b><\/p>\n<p><strong>For More News And Analysis About <a href=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/malawi\">Malawi<\/a> Follow <a href=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/\">Africa-Press<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Africa-Press &#8211; Malawi. Joe Kambale has been stitching men\u2019s suits from his living room in Blantyre, Malawi\u2019s commercial hub, for the last eight years. Sometimes he makes about 200,000 kwacha ($173) a week, decent wages in a country where half of the population lives on $1 daily or less, according to data from Malawi\u2019s National [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":84,"featured_media":51270,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,6,7,8],"tags":[233,371,234],"class_list":["post-51271","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-all-news","category-files","category-head-lines","category-homepage-english","tag-africa-press","tag-africa-press-malawi","tag-malawi"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.1 (Yoast SEO v27.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>\u2018Very thin budget\u2019: Forex shortage triggers cost-of-living crisis in Malawi - Malawi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Joe 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