{"id":26337,"date":"2023-02-19T09:19:28","date_gmt":"2023-02-19T09:19:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/mauritius\/all-news\/cyclone-freddy-teeters-on-brink-of-category-5-strength-in-indian-ocean"},"modified":"2023-02-19T10:09:27","modified_gmt":"2023-02-19T10:09:27","slug":"cyclone-freddy-teeters-on-brink-of-category-5-strength-in-indian-ocean","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/mauritius\/all-news\/cyclone-freddy-teeters-on-brink-of-category-5-strength-in-indian-ocean","title":{"rendered":"Cyclone Freddy teeters on brink of Category 5 strength in Indian Ocean"},"content":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Mauritius. <\/strong><\/span>February may be a quiet time for tropical cyclones north of the equator, but the southern hemisphere is bustling with activity. Cyclone Freddy, the strongest storm to form anywhere on Earth in 2023, is on the doorstop to Category 5-equivalent strength \u2014 and is making a run toward Madagascar.<\/p>\n

Located about 1,500 miles south of the southern tip of India, it\u2019s churning through the Indian Ocean as it drifts westward at about 14 mph. According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center, maximum sustained winds are around 155 mph \u2014 2 mph shy of the threshold for Category 5.<\/p>\n

In the days ahead, it\u2019s expected to swirl just south of the Mascarene Islands, its core dodging Mauritius and Re\u0301union Island. Both islands could face heavy rainfall, but the bulk of the wind should truck on toward Madagascar.<\/p>\n

The risk is increasing for dangerous coastal surge, flooding inland rains and strong, damaging winds, with interests in Mozambique also closely monitoring the storm. Freddy now<\/p>\n

As of Thursday morning Eastern time, winds in Freddy\u2019s eyewall \u2014 a ring of intense thunderstorms and extreme winds surrounding a tropical cyclone\u2019s center \u2014 were pegged at 155 mph, with gusts in the 190 mph range.<\/p>\n

The violent winds were present only over the open ocean, but concern is growing over Freddy\u2019s future. On satellite, Freddy resembled a meteorological buzz saw.<\/p>\n

A hollowed-out eye can be spotted with little effort, representing where hot, dry air was punching downward from aloft, carving a void in the middle of the storm. That marked an oasis of calm, around which the tightly coiled eyewall was wrapped.<\/p>\n

\u201cSatellite imagery depicts a well-defined and highly-symmetric tropical cyclone with a 7 [nautical mile wide] pinhole eye,\u201d wrote the Joint Typhoon Warning Center in an online bulletin.<\/p>\n

Microwave satellite data, which is able to penetrate through cloud cover and garner an \u201cunder the hood\u201d perspective of the storm, noted one solid ring of convection \u2014 or shower and thunderstorm activity \u2014 about the center.<\/p>\n

Beyond that \u201ccentral dense overcast\u201d region, or regime of thick cloud cover and rain, there was little in the way of spiral rain band activity. That qualifies Freddy as an \u201cannular\u201d cyclone \u2014 meaning it resembles a ring, a tire or a hoop.<\/p>\n

On the storm\u2019s periphery, high, thin cirrus clouds \u2014 whips of ice crystals aloft \u2014 depicted Freddy\u2019s outflow, or high-altitude exhaust. That\u2019s a sign of a healthy storm.<\/p>\n

Where Freddy is going Freddy is expected to maintain intensity over the next 12 to 24 hours as it continues westward. It\u2019s nestled beneath a pocket of upper-level \u201cdivergence,\u201d or spreading in the upper atmosphere.<\/p>\n

That generates a vacuum-like effect that encourages the air below to rise, allowing Freddy to maintain strength. Disruptive shear, or a change of wind speed and\/or direction with height, is present to the south of Freddy.<\/p>\n

It has also been fending off dry air aloft, which, if entrained into Freddy\u2019s circulation\u201a could weaken the storm\u2019s structure. For now, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center writes \u201cit has demonstrated a proclivity for cocooning itself and resisting the shear and dry environment that surrounds it.<\/p>\n

\u201d Freddy is expected to slowly lose some strength, but should still remain a powerhouse storm through early next week. By then, the center warns it should have winds of around 130 mph, qualifying it as the equivalent of a Category 4 hurricane.<\/p>\n

Around then, it should be sideswiping Mauritius and Re\u0301union Island, bringing tropical storm-force winds and 3 to 6 inches of rain. Weather models then suggest Freddy should weaken on approach to southeastern Madagascar, but could still strike at hurricane strength.<\/p>\n

In addition to winds of 75 to 100 mph or more, a hazards surge (potentially on the order of six feet or more) and 8 to 14 inches of rainfall are likely.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s too early to iron out any potential impact to Mauritius. Historical risk About 11 percent of the world\u2019s tropical cyclones form in the southwest Indian Ocean.<\/p>\n

An average of nine tropical storms form each season, five of which typically reach hurricane strength. Cyclone season in the southern Indian Ocean begins to perk up in October, and peaks in January before tapering off in March.<\/p>\n

Storms generally drift west-southwest before recovering more to the southwest before dissipating. This leaves Madagascar at a significant risk; an average of 10 tropical depressions (tropical low pressure systems with winds less than 39 mph) strike the island nation annually.<\/p>\n

For More News And Analysis About Mauritius<\/a> Follow Africa-Press<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Mauritius. February may be a quiet time for tropical cyclones north of the equator, but the southern hemisphere is bustling with activity. Cyclone Freddy, the strongest storm to form anywhere on Earth in 2023, is on the doorstop to Category 5-equivalent strength \u2014 and is making a run toward Madagascar. Located about 1,500 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":84,"featured_media":26336,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,3],"tags":[233,245,458,241],"class_list":["post-26337","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-all-news","category-community","tag-africa-press","tag-africa-press-mauritius","tag-indian","tag-mauritius"],"yoast_head":"\nCyclone Freddy teeters on brink of Category 5 strength in Indian Ocean - Mauritius<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"February may be a quiet time for tropical cyclones north of the equator, but the southern hemisphere is bustling with ac ...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/mauritius\/all-news\/cyclone-freddy-teeters-on-brink-of-category-5-strength-in-indian-ocean\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Cyclone Freddy teeters on brink of Category 5 strength in Indian Ocean\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"February may be a quiet time for tropical cyclones north of the equator, but the southern hemisphere is bustling with ac ...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/mauritius\/all-news\/cyclone-freddy-teeters-on-brink-of-category-5-strength-in-indian-ocean\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Mauritius\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/AfricaPressTunisiaa\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-02-19T09:19:28+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-02-19T10:09:27+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/mauritius\/sites\/61\/2023\/02\/postQueueImg_1676786303.96.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"767\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"431\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"cfeditoren\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"cfeditoren\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/mauritius\/all-news\/cyclone-freddy-teeters-on-brink-of-category-5-strength-in-indian-ocean#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/mauritius\/all-news\/cyclone-freddy-teeters-on-brink-of-category-5-strength-in-indian-ocean\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"cfeditoren\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/mauritius\/#\/schema\/person\/068c7ab4e9634ae78ec5d54ec46598bb\"},\"headline\":\"Cyclone Freddy teeters on brink of Category 5 strength in Indian Ocean\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-02-19T09:19:28+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-02-19T10:09:27+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/mauritius\/all-news\/cyclone-freddy-teeters-on-brink-of-category-5-strength-in-indian-ocean\"},\"wordCount\":745,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/mauritius\/all-news\/cyclone-freddy-teeters-on-brink-of-category-5-strength-in-indian-ocean#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/mauritius\/sites\/61\/2023\/02\/postQueueImg_1676786303.96.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Africa Press\",\"Africa Press-Mauritius\",\"Indian\",\"Mauritius\"],\"articleSection\":[\"all news\",\"community\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/mauritius\/all-news\/cyclone-freddy-teeters-on-brink-of-category-5-strength-in-indian-ocean#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/mauritius\/all-news\/cyclone-freddy-teeters-on-brink-of-category-5-strength-in-indian-ocean\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/mauritius\/all-news\/cyclone-freddy-teeters-on-brink-of-category-5-strength-in-indian-ocean\",\"name\":\"Cyclone Freddy teeters on brink of Category 5 strength in Indian Ocean - 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