{"id":16544,"date":"2022-03-23T17:26:33","date_gmt":"2022-03-23T17:26:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/mozambique\/?p=16544"},"modified":"2022-03-23T16:21:14","modified_gmt":"2022-03-23T16:21:14","slug":"mozambique-climate-terrorism-main-threats-fitch-solutions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/mozambique\/all-news\/mozambique-climate-terrorism-main-threats-fitch-solutions","title":{"rendered":"Climate, terrorism main threats \u2013 Fitch Solutions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"color: #ff6600\"><strong>Africa-Press &#8211; Mozambique. <\/strong><\/span>The consultancy Fitch Solutions said on Wednesday, in its report analysing Mozambique\u2019s economy in the long term, that climate change and violence in the north are the main threats to the country\u2019s economic development.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMozambique is vulnerable to extreme weather events, especially floods and droughts, and this will continue to put the agriculture-based economy at risk,\u201d said the report, which also pointed out that \u201congoing Islamic insurgencies threaten to delay the development of the country\u2019s liquefied natural gas sector,\u201d which is crucial for the country.<\/p>\n<p>The document, sent to clients by this consultancy owned by the same owners of the financial rating agency Fitch Ratings, confirms the improvement in the estimate of economic growth to 5% this year, above the average of 4% recorded between 2015 and 2019 and more than double the 2.1% recorded last year.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe anticipate a strong economic recovery in Mozambique this year, with the easing of social distancing restrictions increasing private consumption, while a more stable security environment provides an increase in investment, particularly in the hydrocarbon sector,\u201d the analysts wrote in the report to which Lusa had access, and which contains the 10-year forecasts.<\/p>\n<p>The current account deficit will decrease, from 21.7% of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2021 to 15.7% this year, the lowest imbalance since 2009, according to the analysts, who pointed out that this improvement \u201cwill be mainly driven by the strong performance of exports, including of liquefied natural gas.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>However, they warned, \u201cMozambique\u2019s external position will remain fragile in the short term, as financial flows are not yet sufficient to cover this high imbalance, which puts pressure on foreign reserves.<\/p>\n<p>They added that the Mozambican currency would remain stable this year, averaging 63.92 meticals per dollar this year, with rising aluminium and cooking gas prices and gas exports, offsetting the negative impact of negative sentiment arising from Russia\u2019s invasion of Ukraine.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBy 2023, we anticipate a slight depreciation of 1.7% in the value of the metical against the dollar, to average 65 meticals per dollar due to the decline in aluminium prices and lower value of coal exports,\u201d the analysts concluded.<\/p>\n<p><strong>For More News And Analysis About <a href=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/mozambique\">Mozambique<\/a> Follow <a href=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/\">Africa-Press<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Africa-Press &#8211; Mozambique. The consultancy Fitch Solutions said on Wednesday, in its report analysing Mozambique\u2019s economy in the long term, that climate change and violence in the north are the main threats to the country\u2019s economic development. \u201cMozambique is vulnerable to extreme weather events, especially floods and droughts, and this will continue to put the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":84,"featured_media":16543,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,3,8,16],"tags":[233,281,283],"class_list":["post-16544","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-all-news","category-community","category-homepage-english","category-twitter","tag-africa-press","tag-africa-press-mozambique","tag-mozambique"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.1 (Yoast SEO v27.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Climate, terrorism main threats \u2013 Fitch Solutions - 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