{"id":21862,"date":"2022-06-25T16:24:18","date_gmt":"2022-06-25T16:24:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/mozambique\/all-news\/cabo-delgado-spread-to-the-south-was-expectable"},"modified":"2022-06-25T16:29:46","modified_gmt":"2022-06-25T16:29:46","slug":"cabo-delgado-spread-to-the-south-was-expectable","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/mozambique\/all-news\/cabo-delgado-spread-to-the-south-was-expectable","title":{"rendered":"Cabo Delgado: \u201cSpread to the south was expectable\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Mozambique. <\/strong><\/span>There have been several attacks in parts of Cabo Delgado province previously considered safe in recent weeks. These areas are even sheltering displaced persons from regions more closely associated with the insurgency.<\/p>\n

The new attacks have caused an as yet undetermined number of deaths, and led to the flight of 17,000 people. They have also reignited the debate on the effectiveness of the Mozambican government\u2019s strategy in the fight against the insurgency in Cabo Delgado.<\/p>\n

In an interview with DW Africa, Mozambican historian Yussuf Adam helps to contextualise the situation on the ground.<\/p>\n

DW Africa: What are the immediate consequences of these attacks for these areas considered safe?<\/b><\/p>\n

Yussuf Adam (YA):<\/b><\/p>\n

One way or another, the consequence is that, in most investments and mining projects \u2013 for example, graphite or other materials \u2013 investors will be more careful. They may even withdraw their workers, especially international ones, for security reasons. It is well known that the United States of America prohibits the movement of its citizens to territories considered unsafe. What is happening is nothing we weren\u2019t expecting\u2026<\/p>\n

DW Africa: So, in your view, what is happening was predictable\u2026<\/b><\/p>\n

YA:<\/b><\/p>\n

It was predictable, because guerrilla warfare is this: it is a type of war in which the enemy attacks here, flees there, takes a turn there\u2026 and the Mozambican Army, SAMIM and the Rwandans are responding as best they can, but they are not always able to react to the guerrilla, which has specific characteristics.<\/p>\n

DW Africa: Do you think the insurgents have changed their strategy?<\/b><\/p>\n

YA:<\/b><\/p>\n

There are several theories about the type of attacks carried out by the insurgents, that they all attack in large groups\u2026 But I think these are mirages. They gather to prepare an attack and then try to dissolve themselves in the middle of the forest, in the middle of the villages, etc\u2026 Now, their presence in the south is something new, something that many people thought would not happen. I am not part of that group: I always thought they were going to make attacks in the south of Cabo Delgado and even try to go to Nampula\u2026<\/p>\n

DW Africa: Do you think the insurgents\u2019 intention is to reach Nampula?<\/b><\/p>\n

YA:<\/b><\/p>\n

They have already entered Nampula province. Now, one needs to know that attacks have a preparation, a study phase. It is necessary to set goals. And it is necessary to study the geography, the terrain\u2026 This is extremely important to make war. And [what the insurgents] are doing is taking advantage of everything they can to hide, to move around\u2026 So what they are doing is expanding their area of attack, to create more problems for the Mozambican army and for its allies.<\/p>\n

DW Africa: And in this scenario, what should be the response of the Mozambican government?<\/b><\/p>\n

YA:<\/b><\/p>\n

For me, the right answer is not military. So I was pleased when the government approved the development plan for northern Mozambique, which is a very good plan. If this plan is implemented, it will create an extremely important socio-economic and political base to support the Mozambican army\u2019s fight against the insurgents.<\/p>\n

But we cannot forget that soldiers on the ground need resources, supplies, water and military equipment. They also need their salaries paid, and I\u2019m not sure that all of that is secured at this point. But this is the war we have, in the conditions we are in.<\/p>\n

DW Africa: It is believed that the insurgents are attacking in certain areas because they are on the run and that there is no strategy behind these attacks. Do you agree?<\/b><\/p>\n

YA:<\/b><\/p>\n

That\u2019s an opinion, as valid as any. But it is known that this is the tactic of the guerrilla. They attack today here, tomorrow there. Naturally, there are areas where there are more troops from SAMIM and other units, but this is normal. The insurgents are not running from one side to the other. That\u2019s their tactic: they hit and run. As far as I know, there are no liberated zones or semi-liberated zones. They are in constant motion. This is what \u2018guerrilla warfare\u2019 means.<\/p>\n

For More News And Analysis About Mozambique<\/a> Follow Africa-Press<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Mozambique. There have been several attacks in parts of Cabo Delgado province previously considered safe in recent weeks. These areas are even sheltering displaced persons from regions more closely associated with the insurgency. The new attacks have caused an as yet undetermined number of deaths, and led to the flight of 17,000 people. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":84,"featured_media":21861,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,6,8,16],"tags":[233,281,283],"class_list":["post-21862","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-all-news","category-files","category-homepage-english","category-twitter","tag-africa-press","tag-africa-press-mozambique","tag-mozambique"],"yoast_head":"\nCabo Delgado: \u201cSpread to the south was expectable\u201d - Mozambique<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"There have been several attacks in parts of Cabo Delgado province previously considered safe in recent weeks. 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