{"id":98961,"date":"2026-03-31T16:51:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-31T16:51:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/mozambique\/all-news\/mozambique-overtakes-senegal-as-africas-riskiest-sovereign"},"modified":"2026-03-31T17:41:11","modified_gmt":"2026-03-31T17:41:11","slug":"mozambique-overtakes-senegal-as-africas-riskiest-sovereign","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/mozambique\/all-news\/mozambique-overtakes-senegal-as-africas-riskiest-sovereign","title":{"rendered":"Mozambique Overtakes Senegal as Africa\u2019S Riskiest Sovereign"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"ap-summary\" dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">\n<h4>What You Need to Know<\/h4>\n<p>Mozambique has overtaken Senegal as Africa&#8217;s riskiest sovereign debt, with its yield spread reaching 1,473 basis points. The country&#8217;s financial struggles are exacerbated by the war in Iran, which has increased energy import costs. Mozambique&#8217;s bonds have seen significant losses, and its economic outlook remains bleak due to ongoing challenges with liquefied natural gas projects and foreign debt.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><span class=\"ap-article-header-tag\"> <strong>Africa-Press &#8211; Mozambique. <\/strong> <\/span>Mozambique bonds have overtaken Senegal as Africa\u2019s most distressed sovereign debt, as the war in Iran puts fresh strain on the country\u2019s fragile finances.<\/p>\n<p>The country\u2019s sovereign yield spread, the extra premium that investors demand to hold its hard currency debt over Treasuries, rose to 1,473 basis points on Friday, according to data from a JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co index. That\u2019s above Senegal\u2019s 1,423 points spread, the first time this has happened since November. Spreads wider than 1,000 basis points denotes distress.<\/p>\n<p>Mozambique was in distressed territory even before the war started a month ago, due to debt-funded overspending and delays to its crucial liquefied natural gas (LNG) projects. But the prospect of higher energy and fertilizer import bills deepened the selloff, blowing out its yield spread by more than 400 basis points this month.<\/p>\n<p>On Monday, its $900 million bond due 2031 extended losses into a 13th consecutive session to trade at 74.29 cents on the dollar, bringing its month-to-date slide to over 11 cents. The yield at 16.29%, effectively keeps it shut out from international debt markets.<\/p>\n<p>The challenge for investors in Mozambique is that they \u201care buying a potential future LNG output which is far and is postponed every year,\u201d said Romain Bordenave, portfolio manager at Edmond de Rothschild Suisse SA. Despite the sharp fall in the dollar bonds\u2019 price, he will wait for a better entry point before buying, he said.<\/p>\n<p>The conflict has forced investors to steadily reprice emerging markets risk, especially for energy-importers. But Mozambique\u2019s performance has been the worst in emerging bond markets after war-torn Ukraine. It\u2019s sharply underperformed the rest of Africa too, with the continent\u2019s average spread over Treasuries 37 basis points wider in March to 387 basis points.<\/p>\n<p>Senegal, which has been struggling to secure an International Monetary Fund program, saw spreads widen about 248 basis points.<\/p>\n<p>Mozambique\u2019s foreign exchange shortages could worsen due to the conflict and the closure of a key aluminium smelter, S&amp;P Ratings said in a report Friday. Also, the government\u2019s ongoing local debt exchanges are \u201ctantamount to default,\u201d it added.<\/p>\n<p>While S&amp;P expects Mozambique to continue making payments on its eurobond, it said this would hinge on progress on its gas projects.<\/p>\n<p>Mozambique has faced significant economic challenges in recent years, primarily due to heavy debt burdens and delays in key infrastructure projects, particularly in the liquefied natural gas sector. The country&#8217;s financial instability has been compounded by external factors such as global market fluctuations and geopolitical tensions, which have strained its already fragile economy. As a result, Mozambique&#8217;s sovereign debt has become increasingly distressed, drawing investor concern and leading to wider yield spreads compared to other African nations.<\/p>\n<p class=\"ap-article-footer-note\">Find more news and analyses on <span class=\"ap-highlight-country\">Mozambique<\/span> on the <span class=\"ap-highlight-brand\">Africa Press<\/span> website<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What You Need to Know Mozambique has overtaken Senegal as Africa&#8217;s riskiest sovereign debt, with its yield spread reaching 1,473 basis points. The country&#8217;s financial struggles are exacerbated by the war in Iran, which has increased energy import costs. Mozambique&#8217;s bonds have seen significant losses, and its economic outlook remains bleak due to ongoing challenges [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":84,"featured_media":98960,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,5],"tags":[7126,8471,283,754,8506],"class_list":["post-98961","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-all-news","category-economy","tag-bond-market","tag-lng-projects","tag-mozambique","tag-senegal","tag-sovereign-debt"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.1 (Yoast SEO v27.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Mozambique Overtakes Senegal as Africa\u2019S Riskiest Sovereign - Mozambique<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Mozambique&#039;s bonds now rank as Africa&#039;s riskiest, surpassing Senegal amid rising debt and economic challenges.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/mozambique\/all-news\/mozambique-overtakes-senegal-as-africas-riskiest-sovereign\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Mozambique Overtakes Senegal as Africa\u2019S Riskiest Sovereign\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Mozambique&#039;s bonds now rank as Africa&#039;s riskiest, surpassing Senegal amid rising debt and economic challenges.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/mozambique\/all-news\/mozambique-overtakes-senegal-as-africas-riskiest-sovereign\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Mozambique\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/AfricaPressTunisiaa\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-03-31T16:51:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-03-31T17:41:11+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/mozambique\/sites\/64\/2026\/03\/sm_1774978342.099679.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"902\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"676\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"cfeditoren\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"cfeditoren\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/mozambique\/all-news\/mozambique-overtakes-senegal-as-africas-riskiest-sovereign#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/mozambique\/all-news\/mozambique-overtakes-senegal-as-africas-riskiest-sovereign\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"cfeditoren\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/mozambique\/#\/schema\/person\/068c7ab4e9634ae78ec5d54ec46598bb\"},\"headline\":\"Mozambique Overtakes Senegal as Africa\u2019S Riskiest Sovereign\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-03-31T16:51:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-03-31T17:41:11+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/mozambique\/all-news\/mozambique-overtakes-senegal-as-africas-riskiest-sovereign\"},\"wordCount\":536,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/mozambique\/all-news\/mozambique-overtakes-senegal-as-africas-riskiest-sovereign#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/mozambique\/sites\/64\/2026\/03\/sm_1774978342.099679.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Bond market\",\"LNG projects\",\"Mozambique\",\"Senegal\",\"sovereign debt\"],\"articleSection\":[\"all news\",\"economy\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/mozambique\/all-news\/mozambique-overtakes-senegal-as-africas-riskiest-sovereign#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/mozambique\/all-news\/mozambique-overtakes-senegal-as-africas-riskiest-sovereign\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/mozambique\/all-news\/mozambique-overtakes-senegal-as-africas-riskiest-sovereign\",\"name\":\"Mozambique Overtakes Senegal as Africa\u2019S Riskiest Sovereign - 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