{"id":11621,"date":"2022-02-08T19:00:36","date_gmt":"2022-02-08T19:00:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/namibia\/all-news\/swapo-at-a-crossroads"},"modified":"2022-02-08T19:41:01","modified_gmt":"2022-02-08T19:41:01","slug":"swapo-at-a-crossroads","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/namibia\/all-news\/swapo-at-a-crossroads","title":{"rendered":"Swapo at a crossroads"},"content":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Namibia. <\/strong><\/span>Edward Mumbuu<\/b><\/p>\n

Swapo is at a crossroads, with its 2022 elective congress being the ultimate defining moment for the former liberation movement.<\/p>\n

Swapo could either regroup, rebuild and return to its former glory or continue limping further into deterioration, depression and decay before disappearing into political thin air.<\/p>\n

At present, Swapo finds itself in a tricky position.<\/p>\n

On one hand, the Fishrot corruption scandal in which key politicians and business figures are implicated is on full display.<\/p>\n

The reputational damage it continues to cost the party has widely been accepted.<\/p>\n

On the other hand is the hangover and dust that refuses to settle from the 2017 watershed congress, which birthed two factions, Team Swapo and Team Harambee, despite Team Swapo being largely pushed to the periphery of decision-making.<\/p>\n

Nampa spoke to some veterans of the movement, who spent most of their lives working to build the Swapo project, pre and post-independence.<\/p>\n

\u201cIt [congress] is going to be a make or break, if it is not handled in a manner that brings people together,\u201d local analyst Ndumba Kamwanyah says.<\/p>\n

Political commentator Natjirikasorua Tjirera said the clich\u00e9 crossroads perfectly fits the Swapo situation.<\/p>\n

\u201cSwapo is at a crossroads as a political movement. Swapo must do an introspection, even before the congress, to decide what it wants to do and how it wants to do that. And only then can they look for a person who does what has to be done to achieve previous glories,\u201d he stated.<\/p>\n

Tjirera said Swapo\u2019s fate is in the hands of those leading it.<\/p>\n

\u201cIt\u2019s up to them to significantly try and shape the party to make it appealable to the greater community, especially the young people and elderly voters\u2026if they don\u2019t get it right, they are destined for a very tough fight in 2024 because they are going in the wrong direction while the opposition is going in the right one,\u201d he noted.<\/p>\n

He continued: \u201cSwapo\u2019s arrogance, because of the numbers they had, has worked against them. The perception that those in power have been stealing resources with impunity does not augur well for them.\u201d<\/p>\n

Catch-22<\/p>\n

What puts Swapo under more pressure is the fact that its wings – Swapo Party Youth League (SPYL), Swapo Elders Council and Swapo Women\u2019s Council – are yet to hold their respective congresses.<\/p>\n

Coupled with this are the regional conferences that should take place before the main congress.<\/p>\n

This situation, Kamwanyah said, is breeding ground for \u201cperfect chaos\u201d.<\/p>\n

\u201cThis means these congresses are taking place in the same year, which increases the tensions and divisions ahead of the congress. They have to rethink the approach and organise it in a manner that is inclusive of different views and ideas,\u201d he cautioned.<\/p>\n

However, a party insider confirmed that all logistics are in place to ensure the respective wing and regional conferences are executed smoothly.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe are prepared as we have a lot of events lined up, including the three congresses of the wings,\u201d the source said.<\/p>\n

The fiercely-contested district conferences will take place between April and July, while the wing congresses take place between July and September.<\/p>\n

By then, the multi-million dollar state-of-the-art Swapo national headquarters is expected to host about 750 delegates to decide the party\u2019s fate for the next five years.<\/p>\n

Succession confusion<\/p>\n

President Hage Geingob has elected to play his cards close to the chest.<\/p>\n

In recent months, he has come under pressure to declare Swapo\u2019s second-in-command, Netumbo Nandi-Ndaitwah, as his preferred candidate, as per the norm in Swapo.<\/p>\n

Unlike his predecessors, Geingob will not anoint a successor.<\/p>\n

In August last year, Geingob told New Era that the era of guided democracy is over, and prospective candidates will have to battle it out this time around without his blessing.<\/p>\n

\u201cThere is no guided democracy anymore. That is the new normal. One man, one woman, one vote. I went through that. I can\u2019t choose anybody [Netumbo Nandi-Ndaitwah] to say you are the vice president, that is automatic,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n

Analysts opined that Geingob\u2019s move is commendable.<\/p>\n

\u201cIt is the right approach for him not to anoint anyone for the simple reason that the party is so divided, so anointing somebody might drive the party into deeper division,\u201d Kamwanyah said.<\/p>\n

According to the analyst, ditching the guided democracy doctrine will benefit Swapo in the long run.<\/p>\n

\u201cGuided democracy in itself is problematic. It is because of the guided democracy that Swapo finds itself divided, starting from [Sam] Nujoma\u2019s time, which led to the breakaway of Hidipo [Hamutenya] and his RDP, and then Team Swapo vs Team Harambee. That is the result of guided democracy,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n

Because Swapo is tainted and weakened, with some of this being squarely put on Geingob, moving away from the principle of choosing a successor works in mending broken ties, he continued.<\/p>\n

\u201cIn this day and age, Geingob should leave it in the hands of the members. It will serve him well, and will at least bring the party together. Let the playing field be open for the people to elect who they want. He [Geingob] can vote for the candidate of his choice, just like any other delegate,\u201d the political scholar advanced.<\/p>\n

Road to congress<\/p>\n

The road to the Swapo elective congress is taking shape, with various factions positioning themselves for takeover, but some Swapo veterans have reservations.<\/p>\n

\u201cIs Swapo ready to hold a meaningful congress? This is just a laissez-faire exercise. It is just a routine thing,\u201d Swapo veteran and former CC member Nahas Angula posited.<\/p>\n

Angula also questioned the commitment of those at the helm of the former liberation movement.<\/p>\n

\u201cPeople are committed to their stomachs and not to the party\u2026we cannot rescue Swapo if we don\u2019t go back to its historical mission and vision,\u201d he charged.<\/p>\n

Having attended several elective congresses in Swapo, Angula has come full circle.<\/p>\n

He now speaks from the other side of the fence – saying Swapo has gone from gravitas to greed.<\/p>\n

\u201cEarlier congresses were driven by ideals of serving our people, and not stomachs.<\/p>\n

Now, those ideals have disappeared.\u201d<\/p>\n

Iron lady<\/p>\n

Unlike Angula, Swapo stalwart Pendukeni Iivula-Ithana said: \u201cI want to give them the benefit of the doubt.\u201d<\/p>\n

Dubbed the \u2018Iron Lady\u2019 for her no-nonsense leadership style as Swapo SG between 2007 and 2012, she is, however, sceptical on whether Swapo can wake up from its perceived slumber.<\/p>\n

\u201cI don\u2019t know\u2026 I am not quite sure about the vibrancy of the people [leaders] at this particular moment to feel the need to pump a new spirit within the body called Swapo and its members,\u201d Iivula-Ithana said.<\/p>\n

She continued by saying those who ended up in critical positions ascended not on the basis of merit.<\/p>\n

\u201cIf they see things going wrong, they rather keep quiet for the sake of peace, or go along. And these are the people we put in place as leaders. Now, if you ask questions about seriousness and preparedness [for congress], these people have become different from what I have described,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n

She added: \u201cAs long as those who are there continue to be there, I don\u2019t know [how Swapo can be rescued].\u201d<\/p>\n

Nandi-Ndaitwah mum<\/p>\n

Contacted for comment on Swapo\u2019s readiness for congress, Nandi-Ndaitwah\u2019s phone went unanswered.<\/p>\n

She, however, replied: \u201cPreparation for the Swapo Party congress is an administrative matter.<\/p>\n

Can you please contact the office of the SG?\u201d<\/p>\n

Efforts to get hold of Sophia Shaningwa, the secretary general, were fruitless.<\/p>\n

Queries directed to Swapo executive director Austin Samupwa yielded little results.<\/p>\n

He said the party will hold a press conference this week, where all matters regarding congress will be addressed.<\/p>\n

For More News And Analysis About Namibia<\/a> Follow Africa-Press<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Namibia. Edward Mumbuu Swapo is at a crossroads, with its 2022 elective congress being the ultimate defining moment for the former liberation movement. Swapo could either regroup, rebuild and return to its former glory or continue limping further into deterioration, depression and decay before disappearing into political thin air. At present, Swapo finds […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":84,"featured_media":11620,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,8,10,12,16],"tags":[234,236,233],"class_list":["post-11621","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-all-news","category-homepage-english","category-parties","category-policy","category-twitter","tag-africa-press","tag-africa-press-namibia","tag-namibia"],"yoast_head":"\nSwapo at a crossroads - Namibia<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Edward Mumbuu Swapo is at a crossroads, with its 2022 elective congress being the ultimate defining moment for t ...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/namibia\/all-news\/swapo-at-a-crossroads\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Swapo at a crossroads\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Edward Mumbuu Swapo is at a crossroads, with its 2022 elective congress being the ultimate defining moment for t ...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/namibia\/all-news\/swapo-at-a-crossroads\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Namibia\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/AfricaPressTunisiaa\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-02-08T19:00:36+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-02-08T19:41:01+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/nambia\/sites\/29\/2022\/02\/img-6202c732c3d99.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"720\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"540\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"cfeditoren\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"cfeditoren\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/namibia\/all-news\/swapo-at-a-crossroads#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/namibia\/all-news\/swapo-at-a-crossroads\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"cfeditoren\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/namibia\/#\/schema\/person\/068c7ab4e9634ae78ec5d54ec46598bb\"},\"headline\":\"Swapo at a crossroads\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-02-08T19:00:36+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-02-08T19:41:01+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/namibia\/all-news\/swapo-at-a-crossroads\"},\"wordCount\":1287,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/namibia\/all-news\/swapo-at-a-crossroads#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/nambia\/sites\/29\/2022\/02\/img-6202c732c3d99.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"africa press\",\"Africa Press-Namibia\",\"namibia\"],\"articleSection\":[\"all news\",\"homepage-english\",\"parties\",\"policy\",\"twitter\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/namibia\/all-news\/swapo-at-a-crossroads#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/namibia\/all-news\/swapo-at-a-crossroads\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/namibia\/all-news\/swapo-at-a-crossroads\",\"name\":\"Swapo at a crossroads - 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