Africa-Press – Niger. <\/strong><\/span>L\u2019agence de notation a de\u0301grade\u0301 la note souveraine du Niger de deux crans. Une conse\u0301quence des sanctions que la Cedeao impose au pays.<\/p>\nDeux semaines apre\u0300s le coup d\u2019E\u0301tat militaire du 26 juillet, les nuages s\u2019amonce\u0300lent au-dessus de l\u2019e\u0301conomie nige\u0301rienne. Alors que les sanctions impose\u0301es par la Communaute\u0301 e\u0301conomique des E\u0301tats de l\u2019Afrique de l\u2019Ouest (Cedeao) et l\u2019Union e\u0301conomique et mone\u0301taire ouest-africaine (UEMOA) commencent a\u0300 se faire sentir, l\u2019agence de notation Moody\u2019s Investors Service a abaisse\u0301, le 4 aou\u0302t, la note souveraine du pays de deux crans, la faisant passer de B3 a\u0300 Caa2.<\/p>\n
Cette de\u0301gradation est significative. Elle indique que le risque est perc\u0327u avec davantage d\u2019acuite\u0301, et que les investissements dans le pays sont conside\u0301re\u0301s comme \u00ab hautement spe\u0301culatifs \u00bb, ce qui devrait entrai\u0302ner une hausse du cou\u0302t des emprunts pour le gouvernement nige\u0301rien.<\/p>\n
Moody\u2019s justifie sa position par les sanctions e\u0301conomiques impose\u0301es a\u0300 Niamey, qui entravent les transactions commerciales et financie\u0300res, et ont entrai\u0302ne\u0301 un gel des avoirs de l\u2019E\u0301tat nige\u0301rien a\u0300 la Banque centrale (BCEAO) ainsi que dans les banques commerciales de la Cedeao.<\/p>\n
Vers un de\u0301faut de paiement ?<\/b><\/p>\n
L\u2019agence de notation estime que la probabilite\u0301 que Niamey ne soit plus en mesure de rembourser sa dette est e\u0301leve\u0301e, ce qui pourrait pre\u0301cipiter le pays vers un de\u0301faut de paiement. Umoa-Titres, sous la supervision de la BCEAO, a re\u0301cemment annonce\u0301 l\u2019annulation d\u2019une ope\u0301ration de vente de titres publics, que Niamey avait programme\u0301e pour le 7 aou\u0302t, dont le montant e\u0301tait de 30 milliards de F CFA (45,7 millions d\u2019euros).<\/p>\n
Cette situation est d\u2019autant plus pre\u0301occupante que le Niger doit rembourser 12 milliards de F CFA (18,3 millions d\u2019euros) en aou\u0302t, et plus de 70 milliards de F CFA (106,7 millions d\u2019euros), en septembre, a\u0300 ses cre\u0301anciers.<\/p>\n
Pour rappel, en de\u0301but d\u2019anne\u0301e, les autorite\u0301s du Niger envisageaient de collecter 830 milliards de F CFA (1,26 milliard d\u2019euros) pour financer les de\u0301penses publiques et les ope\u0301rations financie\u0300res, estime\u0301es a\u0300 3 291,62 milliards de F CFA (environ 5 milliards d\u2019euros). Elles pre\u0301voyaient que plus de la moitie\u0301 de ce montant proviendrait de sources exte\u0301rieures (aides budge\u0301taires, projets d\u2019aide, emprunts obligataires…). En dehors des ventes de titres du Tre\u0301sor sur le marche\u0301 re\u0301gional, le Niger espe\u0301rait ainsi mobiliser plus de 1 274 milliards de F CFA aupre\u0300s de ses partenaires de de\u0301veloppement, soit pre\u0300s de 40% de son budget pour l\u2019anne\u0301e 2023. Un objectif tout simplement impossible a\u0300 atteindre dans le contexte actuel. D\u2019autant que le retrait du soutien financier de plusieurs partenaires e\u0301trangers, dont la France et les E\u0301tats-Unis, complique la situation. Ces deux pays ont en effet suspendu leur aide financie\u0300re et leur coope\u0301ration en matie\u0300re de se\u0301curite\u0301 avec Niamey, privant ainsi le Niger de subventions e\u0301quivalentes a\u0300 5,5 points de PIB par an.<\/p>\n
Entrave au commerce<\/b><\/p>\n
En outre, le 31 juillet, le FMI a annonce\u0301 la suspension du de\u0301boursement d\u2019un pre\u0302t de 131,5 millions de dollars, approuve\u0301 quelques semaines plus to\u0302t. Ainsi, d\u2019importants projets d\u2019infrastructures, tels que l\u2019ole\u0301oduc reliant le Niger au Be\u0301nin (qui, selon le FMI, avait le potentiel de stimuler une croissance a\u0300 deux chiffres gra\u0302ce a\u0300 la multiplication par sept des exportations de pe\u0301trole) sont en pe\u0301ril.<\/p>\n
Les mois a\u0300 venir seront donc cruciaux pour le pays en crise, qui doit non seulement faire face a\u0300 un grand de\u0301sordre politique, mais aussi trouver des solutions pour naviguer au milieu de cette tempe\u0302te e\u0301conomique.<\/p>\n
Source: JeuneAfrique.com<\/b><\/p>\n
Pour plus d’informations et d’analyses sur la Niger<\/a>, suivez Africa-Press<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Yara Rizk Africa-Press – Niger. L\u2019agence de notation a de\u0301grade\u0301 la note souveraine du Niger de deux crans. Une conse\u0301quence des sanctions que la Cedeao impose au pays. Deux semaines apre\u0300s le coup d\u2019E\u0301tat militaire du 26 juillet, les nuages s\u2019amonce\u0300lent au-dessus de l\u2019e\u0301conomie nige\u0301rienne. Alors que les sanctions impose\u0301es par la Communaute\u0301 e\u0301conomique des […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":82,"featured_media":48320,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,10],"tags":[55,60,29],"class_list":["post-48321","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economie","category-toutes-les-actualites","tag-africa-press","tag-africa-press-niger","tag-niger"],"yoast_head":"\n
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