Africa-Press – Niger. <\/strong><\/span>Alors qu\u2019un alle\u0300gement sous condition des sanctions contre Niamey a e\u0301te\u0301 envisage\u0301 lors du dernier sommet de la Cedeao a\u0300 Abuja, le 10 de\u0301cembre, aucune de\u0301cision n\u2019a e\u0301te\u0301 prise quant au sort de Mohamed Bazoum. Mais les difficulte\u0301s qui s\u2019amoncellent pour la junte militaire pourraient jouer en faveur du pre\u0301sident de\u0301chu.<\/p>\nLe 12 de\u0301cembre 2023 marque le 140e jour de de\u0301tention pour Mohammed Bazoum, toujours enferme\u0301 dans sa re\u0301sidence depuis le coup d\u2019E\u0301tat du ge\u0301ne\u0301ral Abdourahamane Tiani, le 26 juillet dernier. La de\u0301termination du pre\u0301sident de\u0301chu du Niger, qui refuse de signer une lettre de de\u0301mission, devrait susciter l\u2019admiration. Mais elle ne retient gue\u0300re l\u2019attention des me\u0301dias alors que l\u2019actualite\u0301 est tourne\u0301e vers l\u2019Ukraine et le conflit israe\u0301lo-palestinien.<\/p>\n
Vaines menaces<\/b><\/p>\n
Et puis Bazoum n\u2019est pas franc\u0327ais ! En France, il n\u2019a donc pas droit au de\u0301compte qui a marque\u0301 les prises d\u2019otage de certains ressortissants, notamment des journalistes. A\u0300 Paris, on ne trouve pas non plus de panneau sur les frontons des mairies pour rappeler le triste sort de Bazoum, de sa femme et de son fils au moment ou\u0300 la population fait ses emplettes de Noe\u0308l. C\u2019est d\u2019autant plus injuste que le pre\u0301sident de\u0301chu a beaucoup pa\u0302ti de son assimilation aux inte\u0301re\u0302ts de la France, en particulier apre\u0300s le retrait du Mali des troupes de l\u2019ope\u0301ration Barkhane, quand le Niger est devenu le terrain d\u2019expe\u0301rimentation du \u00ab partenariat de combat \u00bb que l\u2019E\u0301lyse\u0301e souhaitait mettre en place avec ses derniers allie\u0301s du pre\u0301-carre\u0301 francophone au Sahel.<\/p>\n
Aujourd\u2019hui, il ne faut pas se leurrer. Me\u0302me s\u2019il est libe\u0301re\u0301, Bazoum ne reviendra pas au pouvoir. La Cedeao a un moment envisage\u0301 une intervention militaire contre Tiani. Mais ses vaines menaces ont e\u0301te\u0301 contre-productives. En effet, elles ont confirme\u0301 les divisions internes et la re\u0301putation d\u2019impuissance de l\u2019organisation re\u0301gionale des E\u0301tats d\u2019Afrique de l\u2019Ouest. De plus, elles ont conduit la junte a\u0300 rapatrier sur Niamey les unite\u0301s de l\u2019arme\u0301e les plus aguerries, cela en vue de repousser un e\u0301ventuel assaut de forces e\u0301trange\u0300res. Comme d\u2019habitude en cas de coup d\u2019E\u0301tat militaire au Sahel, les jihadistes ont en re\u0301alite\u0301 e\u0301te\u0301 les grands gagnants de l\u2019histoire. Ils peuvent en effet continuer de s\u2019enraciner dans le monde rural pendant qu\u2019on se dispute le pouvoir dans les capitales.<\/p>\n
Les militaires ame\u0301ricains, eux, ont choisi de rester au Niger. D\u2019abord parce qu\u2019ils n\u2019ont pas d\u2019autre lieu ou\u0300 se replier dans la re\u0301gion, a\u0300 la diffe\u0301rence des troupes de Barkhane a\u0300 N\u2019Djamena. Ensuite parce qu\u2019il leur serait difficile de justifier aupre\u0300s du Congre\u0300s l\u2019abandon d\u2019une base a\u0300 Agadez dont la construction a cou\u0302te\u0301 plusieurs centaines millions de dollars avant de devenir pleinement ope\u0301rationnelle en 2019. Re\u0301sultat, la pre\u0301sence ame\u0301ricaine conforte une junte qui, dans le me\u0302me temps, est en train de se rapprocher de la Russie. Tiani peut ainsi jouer sur plusieurs guichets a\u0300 la fois pour compenser son absence de reconnaissance a\u0300 l\u2019international, a\u0300 l\u2019exception bien su\u0302r du Mali et du Burkina, autres re\u0301gimes parias de la re\u0301gion.<\/p>\n
Posture nationaliste<\/b><\/p>\n
A\u0300 de\u0301faut d\u2019e\u0301lections, la junte nige\u0301rienne cherche par ailleurs a\u0300 se construire une le\u0301gitimite\u0301 nationale sur la base d\u2019un discours xe\u0301nophobe contre le pre\u0301sident Bazoum, accuse\u0301 d\u2019e\u0302tre un Arabe, d\u2019une part, et contre l\u2019ancienne puissance coloniale et les inge\u0301rences europe\u0301ennes, d\u2019autre part. De\u0301sireux d\u2019obtenir le soutien des populations du nord, notamment touare\u0300gues, le gouvernement militaire a e\u0301galement abroge\u0301 une loi de 2015 qui, en criminalisant la migration, avait beaucoup pe\u0301nalise\u0301 l\u2019e\u0301conomie des transporteurs et des ho\u0302teliers d\u2019Agadez. Ce revirement a entrai\u0302ne\u0301 une rupture avec l\u2019Union europe\u0301enne, confirmant la posture nationaliste d\u2019un re\u0301gime qui a pourtant bien besoin d\u2019argent.<\/p>\n
De fait, le Niger souffre e\u0301norme\u0301ment des sanctions internationales. Les exportations a\u0300 venir d\u2019uranium et de pe\u0301trole ne suffiront pas a\u0300 combler le manque a\u0300 gagner d\u2019un E\u0301tat au bord de la paralysie. Le budget de l\u2019anne\u0301e 2023 a du\u0302 e\u0302tre ampute\u0301 de pre\u0300s de la moitie\u0301 du montant initialement pre\u0301vu. Aujourd\u2019hui, les fonctionnaires sont tre\u0300s difficilement paye\u0301s. De ce point de vue, la survie de la junte n\u2019est pas e\u0301vidente. Comme ses autres camarades en uniforme, Tiani sait qu\u2019il peut e\u0302tre renverse\u0301 par un autre putsch. De plus, la population a beau e\u0302tre re\u0301siliente, elle pourrait bien finir un jour par exprimer son me\u0301contentement dans la rue.<\/p>\n
Tout bien conside\u0301re\u0301, la de\u0301termination de Bazoum sera peut-e\u0302tre payante.<\/p>\n
Source: JeuneAfrique<\/b><\/p>\n
Pour plus d’informations et d’analyses sur la Niger<\/a>, suivez Africa-Press<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Marc-Antoine P\u00e9rouse de Montclos Africa-Press – Niger. Alors qu\u2019un alle\u0300gement sous condition des sanctions contre Niamey a e\u0301te\u0301 envisage\u0301 lors du dernier sommet de la Cedeao a\u0300 Abuja, le 10 de\u0301cembre, aucune de\u0301cision n\u2019a e\u0301te\u0301 prise quant au sort de Mohamed Bazoum. Mais les difficulte\u0301s qui s\u2019amoncellent pour la junte militaire pourraient jouer en faveur […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":82,"featured_media":55492,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,73,20,10],"tags":[55,60,29],"class_list":["post-55494","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dossiers","category-to-homepage","category-top-nouvelles","category-toutes-les-actualites","tag-africa-press","tag-africa-press-niger","tag-niger"],"yoast_head":"\n
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