{"id":64450,"date":"2024-06-05T13:56:21","date_gmt":"2024-06-05T13:56:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/niger\/politique\/des-perspectives-economiques-favorables-pour-2024-et-2025-grace-aux-hydrocarbures"},"modified":"2024-06-05T15:38:17","modified_gmt":"2024-06-05T15:38:17","slug":"des-perspectives-economiques-favorables-pour-2024-et-2025-grace-aux-hydrocarbures","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/niger\/economie\/des-perspectives-economiques-favorables-pour-2024-et-2025-grace-aux-hydrocarbures","title":{"rendered":"Des perspectives \u00e9conomiques favorables pour 2024 et 2025 gr\u00e2ce aux hydrocarbures"},"content":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Niger. <\/strong><\/span>Au Niger, l’activite\u0301 e\u0301conomique a ralenti a\u0300 2,5 % en 2023, en raison du changement de re\u0301gime politique en juillet, des sanctions e\u0301conomiques et financie\u0300res impose\u0301es par la Communaute\u0301 e\u0301conomique des E\u0301tats de l’Afrique de l’Ouest (Cedeao) et l’Union e\u0301conomique et mone\u0301taire ouest-africaine (Uemoa), ainsi que du gel des financements exte\u0301rieurs par les principaux partenaires techniques et financiers du pays.<\/p>\n

Selon la Banque africaine de de\u0301veloppement (Bad), cette croissance e\u0301conomique limite\u0301e est due principalement a\u0300 l’augmentation de la production pe\u0301trolie\u0300re et de l’agriculture du co\u0302te\u0301 de l’offre et a\u0300 l’augmentation de la consommation finale du co\u0302te\u0301 de la demande.<\/p>\n

\u00abL’inflation a diminue\u0301, passant de 4,2 % en 2022 a\u0300 3,7 % en 2023, en raison d’une bonne campagne agricole. Le de\u0301ficit budge\u0301taire a recule\u0301 pour atteindre 5 % du Pib en 2023, en raison de la re\u0301duction des de\u0301penses d’investissement due au gel des financements exte\u0301rieurs. Malgre\u0301 l’accumulation des arrie\u0301re\u0301s du service de la dette, la dette s’est stabilise\u0301e a\u0300 environ 50 % du Pib en 2023. Le de\u0301ficit du compte courant s’est re\u0301duit, passant de 16,1 % du Pib en 2022 a\u0300 12,8 % en 2023, principalement en raison d’une forte baisse des importations lie\u0301e aux sanctions, qui sont passe\u0301es de 27,2 % du Pib en 2022 a\u0300 23,5 % \u00bb, explique la Bad dans son rapport sur les \u00ab Perspectives e\u0301conomiques en Afrique \u00bb publie\u0301 ce 30 mai 2024 a\u0300 Nairobi.<\/p>\n

Les sanctions e\u0301conomiques et financie\u0300res ont e\u0301galement ralenti l’activite\u0301 bancaire, de\u0301pre\u0301cie\u0301 la qualite\u0301 des cre\u0301ances bancaires (a\u0300 titre d’exemple, le taux de de\u0301gradation brut du portefeuille est passe\u0301 de 15,9 % au deuxie\u0300me trimestre a\u0300 21,5 % au troisie\u0300me trimestre 2023, bien au-dessus de la moyenne de l’Uemoa), et re\u0301duit les re\u0301serves de change a\u0300 4,6 mois de couverture des importations. La Bad soutient que les perspectives e\u0301conomiques pour 2024 et 2025 sont favorables. La croissance devrait e\u0302tre principalement soutenue par les hydrocarbures – avec une production de pe\u0301trole brut qui devrait quintupler, passant de 20 000 a\u0300 environ 100 000 barils par jour – et par la re\u0301silience du secteur agricole.<\/p>\n

L’activite\u0301 e\u0301conomique devrait e\u0301galement be\u0301ne\u0301ficier de la leve\u0301e des sanctions e\u0301conomiques et financie\u0300res de la Cedeao et de la reprise des financements exte\u0301rieurs par les principaux partenaires techniques et financiers. La croissance e\u0301conomique devrait atteindre 10,4% en 2024 puis ralentir a\u0300 7,4% en 2025.<\/p>\n

L’inflation devrait rester contenue en 2024 et 2025 gra\u0302ce aux performances du secteur agricole. Une augmentation significative des recettes fiscales avec la reprise des activite\u0301s commerciales et des recettes pe\u0301trolie\u0300res devrait entrai\u0302ner une consolidation budge\u0301taire en 2024 et 2025. Toutefois, le de\u0301ficit budge\u0301taire devrait rester supe\u0301rieur au crite\u0300re de convergence de l’Uemoa (3 % du Pib). Le de\u0301ficit du compte courant devrait s’ame\u0301liorer conside\u0301rablement, gra\u0302ce a\u0300 l’augmentation de la production pe\u0301trolie\u0300re. Les risques pesant sur ces perspectives e\u0301conomiques favorables sont lie\u0301s au changement climatique, a\u0300 l’inse\u0301curite\u0301 et aux effets ne\u0301gatifs de la sortie annonce\u0301e du pays de la Cedeao.<\/p>\n

La Bad souligne que la structure de l’e\u0301conomie a peu e\u0301volue\u0301 au cours des deux dernie\u0300res de\u0301cennies. De 1991-2000 a\u0300 2011-2020, la part de l’agriculture dans le PIB est passe\u0301e de 33 % a\u0300 34,9 %, celle de l’industrie de 21,3 % a\u0300 22,4 % et celle des services de 36,9 % a\u0300 38,7 %. Les principaux obstacles a\u0300 la transformation structurelle du Niger sont lie\u0301s a\u0300 la faible productivite\u0301 des facteurs, qui entrave la diversification de l’e\u0301conomie. Le de\u0301ficit d’infrastructures est un obstacle majeur a\u0300 la compe\u0301titivite\u0301 et a\u0300 la transformation structurelle. Le secteur financier reste sous-de\u0301veloppe\u0301 pour mobiliser et allouer l’e\u0301pargne aux besoins de de\u0301veloppement.<\/p>\n

Pour plus d’informations et d’analyses sur la Niger<\/a>, suivez Africa-Press<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Niger. Au Niger, l’activite\u0301 e\u0301conomique a ralenti a\u0300 2,5 % en 2023, en raison du changement de re\u0301gime politique en juillet, des sanctions e\u0301conomiques et financie\u0300res impose\u0301es par la Communaute\u0301 e\u0301conomique des E\u0301tats de l’Afrique de l’Ouest (Cedeao) et l’Union e\u0301conomique et mone\u0301taire ouest-africaine (Uemoa), ainsi que du gel des financements exte\u0301rieurs par […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":82,"featured_media":64448,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,20,10],"tags":[55,60,29],"class_list":["post-64450","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economie","category-top-nouvelles","category-toutes-les-actualites","tag-africa-press","tag-africa-press-niger","tag-niger"],"yoast_head":"\nDes perspectives \u00e9conomiques favorables pour 2024 et 2025 gr\u00e2ce aux hydrocarbures - 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