Africa-Press – Nigeria. <\/strong><\/span>Ahead of the President Bola Ahmed Tinubu administration\u2019s second anniversary on May 29th, 2025, economists and financial analysts have rated the \u2018Renewed Hope\u2019 government low in improved cost of living for the majority of Nigerians.<\/p>\nThe Chief Executive Officer of the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise, Muda Yusuf, and the CEO of SD & D Capital Management, Gbolade Idakolo, disclosed this to DAILY POST in separate interviews on Monday.<\/p>\n
Recall that on Tinubu\u2019s inauguration day, he announced fuel subsidy removal and naira floating. The immediate effect jerked up the price of fuel from N198 to N540 per litre.<\/p>\n
Thereafter, petrol is now sold between N875 and N920 per litre depending on the location in Nigeria.<\/p>\n
Also, the naira depreciated to N1,579.40 per dollar on Monday, from N460.702 in the same period two years ago.<\/p>\n
The ripple effects of Tinubu\u2019s reforms were the surge in inflation, with hikes in prices of transportation, food, and the cost of goods and services, inflicting hardship on millions of Nigerians.<\/p>\n
This comes as purchasing power for the majority of Nigerians has also been eroded due to high inflation, which climbed to 23.71 percent in April 2025 from 22.22 percent in the same period in 2023, according to the National Bureau of Statistics.<\/p>\n
Although Tinubu\u2019s government approved a N70,000 minimum wage in July 2024 as a solution to the cost of living crisis, the inflation spike eroded the impact of the wage increase.<\/p>\n
Similarly, inflation watered-down Federation allocation revenue increases to the three tiers of government in the last two years.<\/p>\n
Amid the challenges, economists said that Tinubu\u2019s government had achieved some progress in the aspect of stabilising the economy in the past two years.<\/p>\n
On his part, Yusuf said Tinubu\u2019s administration has used the last two years to fix economic fundamentals and stabilise the economy.<\/p>\n
\u201cThere is no doubt that the GDP numbers have dropped drastically in dollar terms. What is important is to also put distance in context.<\/p>\n
\u201cIt\u2019s not so much because the GDP had intrinsically contracted that much. What has happened is that because we are estimating the GDP in dollars and because we have seen a sharp depreciation in the exchange rates, that is what has led to the collapse or contraction of the GDP so drastically.<\/p>\n
\u201cImagine computing GDP at $4.50 to the dollar in $4.20 to $3. 2 estimating GDP at $1,500 for $1,006. So the bigger issue here is the exchange rate.<\/p>\n
\u201cIt\u2019s also that the economy has contracted that much. I think we need to understand that distinction. I\u2019m not saying that the economy has no hard challenges.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe economy has challenges. But the fact that the GDP had contracted by almost 50% or more, it\u2019s not a reflection of how the economic outputs had contracted. Certainly not.<\/p>\n
\u201cThis is much more about the exchange rates. That is what it is. And I\u2019m sure that by the time we have the rebasing of the GDP, we\u2019ll be talking of a different figure.<\/p>\n
\u201cSo in order to make a realistic assessment, we need to wait for the rebased GDP. Let\u2019s see what it will come up with. That is what I know that we are looking at.<\/p>\n
\u201cGo and look at our purchasing power parity GDP. It\u2019s about $1.5 trillion as I speak to you. Go and check the numbers, purchasing power parity GDP.<\/p>\n
\u201cIt\u2019s over a trillion dollars. And then the bigger issue for me in this economy is the second issue, which you raised. It\u2019s about the cost of living.<\/p>\n
\u201cThat is, for me, the bigger issue of how the cost of living has been so badly impacted by the reforms. Because the reform has triggered very serious inflationary pressure. And inflationary pressure typically erodes purchasing power.<\/p>\n
\u201cIt erodes real income. That is why we have so much poverty. And again, we have seen a lot of elevated levels of income inequality.<\/p>\n
\u201cSo these are the things that we need to calibrate our fiscal and monetary policies and possibly even trade policies to address. That, for me, is a bigger issue than the issue of the GDP. We need to calibrate all the calibrators of fiscal policy.<\/p>\n
\u201cSo our general economic policy is to improve the standard of living, to reduce the cost of living, and to improve the access of the majority of the citizens to basic needs.<\/p>\n
\u201cBasic needs, affordability of basic items like food, like pharmaceutical products, like transportation. You know, education and housing\u2014those are the basic needs.<\/p>\n
\u201cAnd that is what the next phase of economic reform or economic management is focusing on. The first few years were essentially about trying to stabilise the economy. Because the economy was practically on the brink.<\/p>\n
\u201cYou know, at the time, I\u2019m not holding a brief for the administration. But we need to situate this within the legacy issues that the administration itself inherited in terms of the macroeconomic condition.<\/p>\n
\u201cThat is what it is. I must admit that the cost of living has gone completely out of hand.<\/p>\n
\u201cAnd something has to be done within the context of policy.<\/p>\n
\u201cNow that we are beginning to see some improvement in the macroeconomic environment, the stability in the macroeconomic environment, and the slight deceleration of inflation, substance needs to be taken out to deal with the issue of the cost of living. I think that fore, that is what is paramount at this time.<\/p>\n
\u201cIt is perhaps fair to say that the first two years have been targeted at fixing the economic fundamentals and stabilising the economy.<\/p>\n
\u201cBecause we had a situation at the inception of the administration where we had a dysfunctional FX regime and scandalous management of fuel subsidy and the downstream sector. These two were the undoing of the economy before the administration.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe challenge of stabilisation has taken the attention of the administration in this period, which should say other programmes should not have taken place.<\/p>\n
\u201cSome of these have begun to take shape, and some have been beginning to yield outcomes. It is important to say that despite how imperative the reforms are, they inflicted significant pain on the citizens, adversely impacted businesses, and affected profit margins; the cost of production escalated, many businesses were thrown into lost positions and some businesses, especially the large ones, exited the country.<\/p>\n
\u201cSome businesses collapse as a result of the shock of the reforms. So, the cost of the reforms has been phenomenal. At the individual level, it has a devastating effect on the well-being of the people.<\/p>\n
\u201cWe had an aggravated situation of poverty as a result of spiking inflation. But the good news is that some progress has been made in terms of stabilising the economy following the reforms.<\/p>\n
\u201cMajor stability in FX markets over the last ten months- there has been minimum volatility, which has boosted investors\u2019 confidence.<\/p>\n
\u201cImprovement in fiscal sustainability as the finances of the government have improved significantly, although the spike in inflation has diminished the value of those increases, but nonetheless, the fiscal position of the government at all levels has improved.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe government at all levels has more to spend, but whether the money is trickling down to the vulnerable segment of the society, is a different matter.<\/p>\n
\u201cSome progress with the refineries, Port Harcourt and Warri, although they are epileptic. The Dangote Refinery commenced production. There are efforts to support domestic refinery by this government.<\/p>\n
\u201cBusinesses are returning to profitability after losses in the first year of this administration. Returns on investment in the non-oil sector.<\/p>\n
\u201cUnder the administration there is an improvement in net external reserves, which, according to the Central Bank of Nigeria, is now $23 billion. It is a confidence-boosting development.<\/p>\n
\u201cIt is important to stress that the social cost of the reforms has been phenomenal. Inflation triggered a significant poverty crisis.<\/p>\n
\u201cInsecurity in the country has not abated, especially in the last six months.<\/p>\n
\u201cGoing forward, the government has the responsibility to ensure much more impactful measures to address the phenomenon of the cost of living for the ordinary people.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe deployment of policy and recalibration for fiscal, monetary, and trade policies to the democratisation of the policies.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe development must trickle down. A change of strategy in dealing with security.<\/p>\n
\u201cWe have to deal with the prohibitive interest rate of 27.50 percent to address the challenges of market failure,\u201d he told DAILY POST.<\/p>\n
In his review, Idakolo said the Tinubu administration was on the right track despite unpopular decisions in the past two years.<\/p>\n
According to him, despite the drop in cost of living, the continued implementation of Tinubu\u2019s reforms can trigger economic prosperity in the coming years.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe administration of President Tinubu started on a very challenging note with the removal of the fuel subsidy and exchange rate deregulation.<\/p>\n
\u201cHowever, over the past two years, he has been able to stabilise the economy through well-thought-out policies through the MDAs, especially the CBN, which has strengthened the naira and increased the foreign reserves, with diaspora remittance increasing over the past 12 months.<\/p>\n
\u201cThese measures had also impacted positively on our GDP per capita income, which has grown by over 100%, from $200 billion to over $450 billion.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe subsidy removal and exchange rate deregulation increased government revenues, and the share of FAAC for the three tiers of government aimed at improving infrastructural developments from the federal to the state level.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe federal government also successfully negotiated a minimum wage increase with organised labour. The federal government under President Tinubu has reorganised the petroleum sector with improvement in fuel supply and stable fuel prices.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe administration has completed the establishment of six regional development commissions with their establishment act passed by the National Assembly.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe government also embarked on massive infrastructural development in several areas and road infrastructure with legacy projects like the Lagos-Calabar coastal road to connect nine southern states, which will definitely improve commerce in the southern corridor.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe Naira crude sales to refineries in Nigeria, with Dangote refinery leading the charge, is also a major achievement, and the recent policy banning importation of goods that can be produced in Nigeria will further strengthen the manufacturing sector.<\/p>\n
\u201cThere are several other policies undergoing implementation that will start yielding results in the next few months.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe administration has also shown fiscal prudence by completing the payment of the IMF Covid loan received during the last administration, which has further reduced Nigeria\u2019s foreign debt and also significantly reduced debt servicing costs.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe living standard of Nigerians in the past two years has seriously declined due to the policies of this administration, which has seen the people struggling with lower purchasing power than two years ago.<\/p>\n
\u201cHowever, continuing with the approach of the previous administration would have led to total chaos.<\/p>\n
\u201cThe Tinubu administration is on the right track despite some unpopular decisions and missteps,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n
Source: Daily Post Nigeria<\/b><\/p>\n
For More News And Analysis About Nigeria<\/span> Follow Africa-Press<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"By Ogaga Ariemu Africa-Press – Nigeria. Ahead of the President Bola Ahmed Tinubu administration\u2019s second anniversary on May 29th, 2025, economists and financial analysts have rated the \u2018Renewed Hope\u2019 government low in improved cost of living for the majority of Nigerians. The Chief Executive Officer of the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise, Muda […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":84,"featured_media":164512,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,1437,29,28,2660],"tags":[254,17496,945],"class_list":["post-164513","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-all-news","category-files","category-head-lines","category-homepage-english","category-to-homepage","tag-nigeria","tag-second-anniversary","tag-tinubu"],"yoast_head":"\n
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