{"id":2923,"date":"2022-06-02T20:33:14","date_gmt":"2022-06-02T20:33:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/sao-tome-e-principe\/politique\/covid-19-les-deces-devraient-diminuer-de-pres-de-94-en-2022-selon-loms"},"modified":"2022-06-02T20:43:01","modified_gmt":"2022-06-02T20:43:01","slug":"covid-19-les-deces-devraient-diminuer-de-pres-de-94-en-2022-selon-loms","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/sao-tome-e-principe\/toutes-les-actualites\/covid-19-les-deces-devraient-diminuer-de-pres-de-94-en-2022-selon-loms","title":{"rendered":"Covid-19 : les d\u00e9c\u00e8s devraient diminuer de pr\u00e8s de 94% en 2022, selon l\u2019OMS"},"content":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – S\u00e3o Tom\u00e9 e Pr\u00edncipe. <\/strong><\/span>Selon une nouvelle mod\u00e9lisation de l\u2019Agence sanitaire mondiale de l\u2019ONU, les d\u00e9c\u00e8s estim\u00e9s dans la r\u00e9gion africaine se r\u00e9duiront \u00e0 environ 60 par jour en 2022. Dans le m\u00eame temps, les infections devraient baisser d\u2019un peu plus d\u2019un quart cette ann\u00e9e.<\/p>\n

\u00ab Le faible nombre de d\u00e9c\u00e8s attendus cette ann\u00e9e est une grande r\u00e9ussite pour la r\u00e9gion et t\u00e9moigne des efforts des pays et des partenaires \u00bb, a d\u00e9clar\u00e9 dans un communiqu\u00e9 la Dre Matshidiso Moeti, Directrice r\u00e9gionale de l\u2019OMS pour l\u2019Afrique.<\/p>\n

\u00ab C\u2019\u00e9tait un bilan catastrophiquement \u00e9lev\u00e9 \u00bb, a rappel\u00e9 la Dre Moeti. La mod\u00e9lisation sugg\u00e8re qu\u2019environ 23.000 d\u00e9c\u00e8s sont attendus d\u2019ici la fin 2022 si les variantes actuelles et la dynamique de transmission restent constantes. Cependant, une variante 200% plus mortelle entra\u00eenerait une augmentation du nombre de d\u00e9c\u00e8s \u00e0 plus de 70.000.<\/p>\n

L\u2019ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re, le continent \u00e9tait sur une moyenne 970 d\u00e9c\u00e8s par jour.<\/p>\n

Am\u00e9lioration de la r\u00e9ponse \u00e0 la pand\u00e9mie et immunit\u00e9 naturelle r\u00e9sultant d\u2019infections ant\u00e9rieures<\/p>\n

Selon l\u2019analyse, qui a \u00e9t\u00e9 publi\u00e9e cette semaine dans la revue scientifique The Lancet Global Health, l\u2019\u00e9cart entre le nombre de cas et de d\u00e9c\u00e8s en 2022 est d\u00fb \u00e0 l\u2019augmentation de la vaccination, \u00e0 l\u2019am\u00e9lioration de la r\u00e9ponse \u00e0 la pand\u00e9mie et \u00e0 l\u2019immunit\u00e9 naturelle r\u00e9sultant d\u2019infections ant\u00e9rieures qui, sans emp\u00eacher les r\u00e9infections, stoppent les formes graves de la maladie et les d\u00e9c\u00e8s.<\/p>\n

Dans le m\u00eame temps, l\u2019analyse montre que la variation du nombre de d\u00e9c\u00e8s est due \u00e0 des facteurs biologiques et physiques, principalement des comorbidit\u00e9s telles que l\u2019hypertension, le diab\u00e8te, la bronchopneumopathie chronique obstructive, le VIH et l\u2019ob\u00e9sit\u00e9, qui augmentent la gravit\u00e9 et le risque de mortalit\u00e9 chez les patients atteints de Covid-19. La pr\u00e9valence de ces comorbidit\u00e9s a augment\u00e9 dans les pays o\u00f9 le nombre de d\u00e9c\u00e8s est plus \u00e9lev\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Toutefois, la divergence entre les cas et les d\u00e9c\u00e8s est \u00e9vidente lors de la derni\u00e8re flamb\u00e9e de six semaines en Afrique australe, o\u00f9 la moyenne des d\u00e9c\u00e8s signal\u00e9s s\u2019est maintenue \u00e0 pr\u00e8s de 200 par semaine, contre plus de 44.000 nouveaux cas hebdomadaires en moyenne.<\/p>\n

Au cours des deux derni\u00e8res semaines, le nombre de nouveaux cas a diminu\u00e9 apr\u00e8s quatre semaines cons\u00e9cutives d\u2019augmentation dans toute l\u2019Afrique, ce qui laisse penser que la derni\u00e8re flamb\u00e9e a atteint son apog\u00e9e.<\/p>\n

L\u2019Afrique doit \u00eatre pr\u00eate \u00e0 faire face aux dangers de nouveaux variants<\/p>\n

En 2021, la r\u00e9gion africaine a connu une pand\u00e9mie particuli\u00e8rement meurtri\u00e8re, l\u2019analyse estimant que la Covid-19 \u00e9tait la septi\u00e8me cause majeure de d\u00e9c\u00e8s, juste derri\u00e8re le paludisme, alors qu\u2019en 2020, le virus \u00e9tait la 22e cause majeure de d\u00e9c\u00e8s dans la r\u00e9gion. L\u2019augmentation significative des d\u00e9c\u00e8s en 2021 \u00e9tait due \u00e0 la variante delta, plus infectieuse et provoquant une maladie plus grave.<\/p>\n

Malgr\u00e9 cette \u00e9tude encourageante, l\u2019OMS estime que le travail n\u2019est pas encore termin\u00e9. \u00ab Chaque fois que nous nous asseyons et nous d\u00e9tendons, la Covid-19 refait surface \u00bb, a mis en garde la Dre Moeti, relevant que \u00ab la menace de nouvelles variantes reste r\u00e9elle, et que le continent doit \u00eatre pr\u00eat \u00e0 faire face \u00e0 ce danger toujours pr\u00e9sent \u00bb.<\/p>\n

Apr\u00e8s avoir tir\u00e9 de nombreuses le\u00e7ons sur la mani\u00e8re de garder une longueur d\u2019avance sur le virus, l\u2019OMS note qu\u2019il est maintenant temps d\u2019affiner une r\u00e9ponse et d\u2019identifier les populations les plus expos\u00e9es au coronavirus.<\/p>\n

\u00ab Les pays doivent intensifier leurs efforts pour mener une r\u00e9ponse cibl\u00e9e qui offre aux personnes les plus vuln\u00e9rables les services de sant\u00e9 dont elles ont besoin, notamment des vaccins contre la Covid-19 et des traitements efficaces \u00bb, a conclu la Dre Moeti.<\/p>\n

Pour plus d’informations et d’analyses sur la S\u00e3o Tom\u00e9 e Pr\u00edncipe<\/a>, suivez Africa-Press<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – S\u00e3o Tom\u00e9 e Pr\u00edncipe. Selon une nouvelle mod\u00e9lisation de l\u2019Agence sanitaire mondiale de l\u2019ONU, les d\u00e9c\u00e8s estim\u00e9s dans la r\u00e9gion africaine se r\u00e9duiront \u00e0 environ 60 par jour en 2022. Dans le m\u00eame temps, les infections devraient baisser d\u2019un peu plus d\u2019un quart cette ann\u00e9e. \u00ab Le faible nombre de d\u00e9c\u00e8s attendus cette […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":82,"featured_media":2922,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22,11,10],"tags":[36,55,56],"class_list":["post-2923","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-divers","category-homepage-french","category-toutes-les-actualites","tag-africa-press","tag-africa-press-sao-tome-e-principe","tag-sao-tome-e-principe"],"yoast_head":"\nCovid-19 : les d\u00e9c\u00e8s devraient diminuer de pr\u00e8s de 94% en 2022, selon l\u2019OMS - S\u00e3o Tom\u00e9 e Pr\u00edncipe<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Selon une nouvelle mod\u00e9lisation de l\u2019Agence sanitaire mondiale de l\u2019ONU, les d\u00e9c\u00e8s estim\u00e9s dans la 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