{"id":22739,"date":"2022-03-20T22:10:39","date_gmt":"2022-03-20T22:10:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/senegal\/politique\/le-fmi-alerte-le-senegal-sur-la-probabilite-de-lendemains-economiquement-sombres"},"modified":"2022-03-20T23:00:37","modified_gmt":"2022-03-20T23:00:37","slug":"le-fmi-alerte-le-senegal-sur-la-probabilite-de-lendemains-economiquement-sombres","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/senegal\/economie\/le-fmi-alerte-le-senegal-sur-la-probabilite-de-lendemains-economiquement-sombres","title":{"rendered":"Le FMI alerte le S\u00e9n\u00e9gal sur la probabilit\u00e9 de lendemains \u00e9conomiquement sombres"},"content":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Senegal. <\/strong><\/span>Une \u00e9quipe des services du Fonds mon\u00e9taire international a men\u00e9 une mission h\u00e9t\u00e9roclite du 9 au 15 mars 2022 pour dresser le bilan de l’\u00e9volution \u00e9conomique r\u00e9cente, \u00e9valuer les r\u00e9percussions \u00e9conomiques de la guerre en Ukraine et des sanctions contre le Mali, mais \u00e9galement pour examiner la progression des r\u00e9formes appuy\u00e9es par l’instrument de coordination de la politique \u00e9conomique, l’accord de confirmation et la facilit\u00e9 de cr\u00e9dit de confirmation. De cette mission, r\u00e9sulte un constat qui est loin d’\u00eatre favorable \u00e0 l’\u00e9conomie s\u00e9n\u00e9galaise. Elle estime que les perspectives sont assombries par les probables r\u00e9percussions de la guerre en Ukraine qui n’est visiblement pas sur une dynamique de conna\u00eetre son \u00e9pilogue. \u00c0 cela s’ajoute la hausse des prix de l’\u00e9nergie et des denr\u00e9es alimentaires, mais aussi de la situation socio-politique. Il convient de maintenir le cap du programme de r\u00e9formes pour renforcer la r\u00e9silience de l’\u00e9conomie.<\/p>\n

M. Gemayel, qui a dirig\u00e9 la mission au S\u00e9n\u00e9gal, a estim\u00e9 avec ses \u00e9quipes que \u00ab l’\u00e9conomie s\u00e9n\u00e9galaise a retrouv\u00e9 en 2021 sa trajectoire de croissance d’avant la pand\u00e9mie, gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 la vigueur de la production industrielle et du secteur des services. La croissance du PIB r\u00e9el est estim\u00e9e \u00e0 6,1 % en 2021, soit environ un point de pourcentage de plus que pr\u00e9vu. Aussi, l’inflation moyenne a \u00e9t\u00e9 ma\u00eetris\u00e9e \u00e0 2,2 %, m\u00eame si les prix des produits alimentaires ont augment\u00e9 de 2,9% \u00bb. Malgr\u00e9 des recettes fiscales inf\u00e9rieures aux attentes, les \u00e9quipes du FMI consid\u00e8rent que l’ex\u00e9cution du budget a \u00e9t\u00e9, dans l’ensemble, en ligne avec les objectifs, avec un d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire global de 6,3 % du PIB \u00bb.<\/p>\n

Au regard de la guerre en Ukraine qui est susceptible d\u2019assombrir les perspectives macro\u00e9conomiques, \u00ab la hausse des prix mondiaux des produits alimentaires et de l’\u00e9nergie s’ajoute aux d\u00e9fis actuels de la politique \u00e9conomique, y compris les s\u00e9quelles de la pand\u00e9mie, l’ins\u00e9curit\u00e9 r\u00e9gionale et l’augmentation des revendications sociales \u00e0 l’approche des \u00e9lections l\u00e9gislatives de juillet \u00bb, pr\u00e9vient la mission du FMI. En effet, tous ces \u00e9l\u00e9ments accroissent les risques de ralentissement de la croissance \u00e9conomique et se traduiront probablement par une aggravation des pressions inflationnistes et une augmentation consid\u00e9rable des d\u00e9penses publiques.<\/p>\n

Les \u00e9quipes du Fonds mon\u00e9taire international estiment que l’espace budg\u00e9taire du S\u00e9n\u00e9gal s’est nettement r\u00e9tr\u00e9ci avec l’augmentation soutenue de la dette publique au cours des dix derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es, li\u00e9e notamment \u00e0 l’amplification des investissements publics. \u00c9tant donn\u00e9 que les ressources sont limit\u00e9es, il sera donc essentiel d’am\u00e9liorer la mobilisation de recettes, de rationaliser et mieux cibler les subventions et de revoir l’ordre de priorit\u00e9 des d\u00e9penses, afin d’\u00e9viter de grands d\u00e9rapages budg\u00e9taires et de pr\u00e9server la viabilit\u00e9 de la dette.<\/p>\n

Le Fmi donne \u00e9galement des recommandations pour une \u00e9conomie soutenue malgr\u00e9 les r\u00e9percussions n\u00e9fastes. II faut donc le renforcement de la r\u00e9silience de l’\u00e9conomie qui d\u00e9pendra de la poursuite de r\u00e9formes structurelles cl\u00e9s, en particulier celles visant \u00e0 acc\u00e9l\u00e9rer la mise en \u0153uvre de la strat\u00e9gie de mobilisation des recettes \u00e0 moyen terme. Mais aussi, d’op\u00e9rationnaliser le nouveau cadre budg\u00e9taire r\u00e9gissant l’utilisation des recettes tir\u00e9es des hydrocarbures et de pr\u00e9parer une feuille de route pour l’\u00e9limination progressive des subventions \u00e0 l’\u00e9nergie, tout en am\u00e9liorant le m\u00e9canisme actuel de protection des personnes les plus d\u00e9munies. L’urgence de r\u00e9viser le cadre juridique des march\u00e9s publics afin d’augmenter la fr\u00e9quence des appels d’offres ouverts et concurrentiels est aussi, une n\u00e9cessit\u00e9 selon les services du Fmi.<\/p>\n

La mission r\u00e9affirme l’appui du FMI aux efforts que les autorit\u00e9s d\u00e9ploient pour mettre en \u0153uvre leur programme de r\u00e9formes \u00e9conomiques et rassure que les discussions relatives \u00e0 la prochaine revue du programme soutenu par l’instrument de coordination de la politique \u00e9conomique, l’accord de confirmation et la facilit\u00e9 de cr\u00e9dit de confirmation sont pr\u00e9vus pour fin avril 2022.<\/p>\n

Pour plus d’informations et d’analyses sur la Senegal<\/a>, suivez Africa-Press<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Senegal. Une \u00e9quipe des services du Fonds mon\u00e9taire international a men\u00e9 une mission h\u00e9t\u00e9roclite du 9 au 15 mars 2022 pour dresser le bilan de l’\u00e9volution \u00e9conomique r\u00e9cente, \u00e9valuer les r\u00e9percussions \u00e9conomiques de la guerre en Ukraine et des sanctions contre le Mali, mais \u00e9galement pour examiner la progression des r\u00e9formes appuy\u00e9es par […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":82,"featured_media":22738,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,11,20,10],"tags":[43,47,44],"class_list":["post-22739","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economie","category-homepage-french","category-top-nouvelles","category-toutes-les-actualites","tag-africa-press-2","tag-africa-press-senegal","tag-senegal-2"],"yoast_head":"\nLe FMI alerte le S\u00e9n\u00e9gal sur la probabilit\u00e9 de lendemains \u00e9conomiquement sombres - 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