{"id":30338,"date":"2022-07-27T19:32:31","date_gmt":"2022-07-27T19:32:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/senegal\/politique\/cohabitation-de-limpossibilite-a-la-probabilite"},"modified":"2022-07-27T19:37:39","modified_gmt":"2022-07-27T19:37:39","slug":"cohabitation-de-limpossibilite-a-la-probabilite","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/senegal\/dossiers\/cohabitation-de-limpossibilite-a-la-probabilite","title":{"rendered":"Cohabitation : de l\u2019impossibilit\u00e9 \u00e0 la probabilit\u00e9 !"},"content":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Senegal. <\/strong><\/span>C\u2019est devenu une probabilit\u00e9 ! En se r\u00e9f\u00e9rant aux donn\u00e9es de l\u2019histoire politique du S\u00e9n\u00e9gal, les r\u00e9sultats avaient toujours indiqu\u00e9 que la probabilit\u00e9 d\u2019une cohabitation \u00e9tait inf\u00e9rieure dans la t\u00eate des s\u00e9n\u00e9galais, en raison notamment du contexte politique, du fait de sa situation particuli\u00e8re, surtout entre une majorit\u00e9 fortement implant\u00e9e dans les zones rurales et une opposition assez repr\u00e9sent\u00e9e dans les zones urbaines.<\/p>\n

Aujourd\u2019hui, le changement de contexte, le r\u00e9\u00e9quilibrage des forces politiques en pr\u00e9sence, la grande perc\u00e9e de l\u2019opposition aux \u00e9lections locales du 23 janvier 2022, l\u2019alliance strat\u00e9gique de l\u2019inter-coalition Wallu S\u00e9n\u00e9gal-Yewwi Askan Wi (qui se projette sur 112 d\u00e9put\u00e9s d\u2019apr\u00e8s la d\u00e9claration du mandataire de la coalition Yewwi Askan Wi), la naissance de la coalition AAR S\u00e9n\u00e9gal, l\u2019\u00e9mergence d\u2019un leader charismatique qu\u2019est Ousmane SONKO drainant des foules immenses, l\u2019enjeu anticip\u00e9 de l\u2019\u00e9lection pr\u00e9sidentielle de f\u00e9vrier 2024, le contexte \u00e9conomique tr\u00e8s difficile, l\u2019augmentation g\u00e9n\u00e9ralis\u00e9e des prix des denr\u00e9es de consommation, le ch\u00f4mage end\u00e9mique des jeunes, la mal gouvernance, la culture de l\u2019impunit\u00e9, la confiscation des libert\u00e9s, la machine \u00e9lectorale que constitue Yewwi Askan Wi, le changement de mentalit\u00e9 de l\u2019\u00e9lecteur s\u00e9n\u00e9galais, le sens donn\u00e9 d\u00e9sormais au vote, permettent d\u2019int\u00e9grer s\u00e9rieusement une probable cohabitation. En r\u00e9alit\u00e9s, ces diff\u00e9rents \u00e9l\u00e9ments sont en train de se combiner pour rendre une probabilit\u00e9 plus ou moins possible.<\/p>\n

Par ailleurs, la ferveur autour d\u2019Ousmane SONKO et les fortes mobilisations en faveur de l\u2019opposition dans des bastions jusque la consid\u00e9r\u00e9es comme la chasse gard\u00e9e de la majorit\u00e9 pr\u00e9sidentielle ne d\u00e9mentent pas l\u2019importance du resserrement des \u00e9carts qui \u00e9taient observ\u00e9s jusqu\u2019en 2019 dans ces diff\u00e9rentes zones.<\/p>\n

L\u2019argumentaire qui repose sur l\u2019impossibilit\u00e9 d\u2019une cohabitation au regard du fonctionnement du r\u00e9gime politique s\u00e9n\u00e9galais n\u2019est pas fond\u00e9. En v\u00e9rit\u00e9, la cohabitation et beaucoup plus une donn\u00e9e de science politique que de droit constitutionnel, m\u00eame si c\u2019est l\u2019Etat de droit qui contr\u00f4le la d\u00e9mocratie et non l\u2019inverse. Au surplus, le r\u00e9gime s\u00e9n\u00e9galais n\u2019est pas un r\u00e9gime pr\u00e9sidentiel comme aiment le confondre beaucoup de gens. Le r\u00e9gime s\u00e9n\u00e9galais s\u2019oriente beaucoup plus vers un r\u00e9gime parlementaire (dualiste) rationalis\u00e9.<\/p>\n

A l\u2019occasion des \u00e9lections l\u00e9gislatives, les pr\u00e9sidents de la R\u00e9publique ont toujours eu plus qu\u2019une majorit\u00e9 parlementaire mais une \u00ab majorit\u00e9 personnelle \u00bb dans la mesure o\u00f9 les d\u00e9put\u00e9s se croient \u00eatre \u00e9lus sur son nom et nom celui du premier Ministre o\u00f9 de la t\u00eate de liste ayant conduit \u00e0 la victoire. Cette lecture est celle d\u2019un Pr\u00e9sident qui tire le r\u00e9gime vers une hyper-pr\u00e9sidentialisation, dont le r\u00f4le actif est soutenu par une majorit\u00e9 de d\u00e9put\u00e9s favorables \u00e0 sa personne et \u00e0 son programme politique.<\/p>\n

Les \u00e9lections l\u00e9gislatives du 31 juillet 2022 vont d\u00e9terminer le r\u00f4le que va jouer le Pr\u00e9sident de la R\u00e9publiques pour le reste de son second et dernier mandat. En cas de cohabitation, le Pr\u00e9sident sera oblig\u00e9 de laisser l\u2019opposition gouverner en confiance harmonieuse entre l\u2019Assembl\u00e9e Nationale et le Gouvernement.<\/p>\n

Pour plus d’informations et d’analyses sur la Senegal<\/a>, suivez Africa-Press<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Senegal. C\u2019est devenu une probabilit\u00e9 ! En se r\u00e9f\u00e9rant aux donn\u00e9es de l\u2019histoire politique du S\u00e9n\u00e9gal, les r\u00e9sultats avaient toujours indiqu\u00e9 que la probabilit\u00e9 d\u2019une cohabitation \u00e9tait inf\u00e9rieure dans la t\u00eate des s\u00e9n\u00e9galais, en raison notamment du contexte politique, du fait de sa situation particuli\u00e8re, surtout entre une majorit\u00e9 fortement implant\u00e9e dans les […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":82,"featured_media":30337,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,11,10],"tags":[43,47,44],"class_list":["post-30338","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dossiers","category-homepage-french","category-toutes-les-actualites","tag-africa-press-2","tag-africa-press-senegal","tag-senegal-2"],"yoast_head":"\nCohabitation : de l\u2019impossibilit\u00e9 \u00e0 la probabilit\u00e9 ! - Senegal<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"C\u2019est devenu une probabilit\u00e9 ! 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