{"id":71984,"date":"2025-10-25T12:10:00","date_gmt":"2025-10-25T12:10:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/senegal\/politique\/2026-risque-detre-plus-dure-que-2025-selon-economiste"},"modified":"2025-10-26T02:14:04","modified_gmt":"2025-10-26T02:14:04","slug":"2026-risque-detre-plus-dure-que-2025-selon-economiste","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/senegal\/economie\/2026-risque-detre-plus-dure-que-2025-selon-economiste","title":{"rendered":"2026 Risque D\u2019\u00catre Plus Dure que 2025 Selon \u00c9conomiste"},"content":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Senegal. <\/strong><\/span>Dans un entretien accorde\u0301 a\u0300 L’Observateur, l\u2019e\u0301conomiste Seydina Alioune Ndiaye alerte sur un choc fiscal sans pre\u0301ce\u0301dent contenu dans la Loi de finances initiale (LFI) 2026. Selon lui, le gouvernement se\u0301ne\u0301galais marche sur une corde raide, avec une hausse de la pression fiscale de +3,9 points de PIB, dont 92,8 % serait supporte\u0301e par les me\u0301nages et les entreprises.<\/p>\n

L\u2019objectif de cette strate\u0301gie, analyse le spe\u0301cialiste, est de re\u0301duire le de\u0301ficit budge\u0301taire de 12 % du PIB en 2024 a\u0300 5,37 % en 2026, puis a\u0300 3 % en 2027, conforme\u0301ment aux crite\u0300res de convergence de l\u2019UEMOA. Pour y parvenir, les recettes fiscales devraient augmenter de 23,5 %, atteignant 5 384 milliards de F CFA, gra\u0302ce notamment a\u0300 de nouvelles taxes sur les jeux de hasard, le mobile money, les salaires et les importations.<\/p>\n

Cependant, appuie-t-il, cette politique comporte de graves risques e\u0301conomiques et sociaux. Les me\u0301nages verront leur pouvoir d\u2019achat s\u2019e\u0301roder, tandis que l\u2019inflation alimentaire, de\u0301ja\u0300 estime\u0301e a\u0300 36 % sur trois ans, pourrait s\u2019aggraver. Les entreprises, touche\u0301es par la hausse de la TAF (+56 %) et des impo\u0302ts sur les salaires (+32 %), risquent une baisse des marges, une perte de compe\u0301titivite\u0301 et me\u0302me des de\u0301localisations vers d\u2019autres pays de la sous-re\u0301gion.<\/p>\n

L’interlocuteur du quotidien du Groupe futurs me\u0301dias juge que la LFI 2026 traduit un \u00ab budge\u0301tarisme fiscal e\u0301troit \u00bb, risquant d\u2019e\u0301touffer la cre\u0301ation de richesse dans une e\u0301conomie ou\u0300 90 % des activite\u0301s sont informelles. Avec une dette publique estime\u0301e a\u0300 plus de 130 % du PIB et une croissance hors hydrocarbures limite\u0301e a\u0300 2 %, il redoute une re\u0301cession et une cassure sociale si ce choc fiscal est mal mai\u0302trise\u0301.<\/p>\n

En conclusion, il appelle le gouvernement a\u0300 miser sur la pe\u0301dagogie fiscale, le dialogue avec le secteur prive\u0301, la relance de l\u2019investissement et une diplomatie e\u0301conomique active pour re\u0301tablir la confiance avec les partenaires, notamment le FMI. L’e\u0301conomiste recommande aussi une surveillance accrue de l\u2019inflation et la mise en place de me\u0301canismes de compensation sociale afin d\u2019e\u0301viter une crise e\u0301conomique majeure en 2026.<\/p>\n

Pour plus d’informations et d’analyses sur la Senegal<\/span>, suivez Africa-Press<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Senegal. Dans un entretien accorde\u0301 a\u0300 L’Observateur, l\u2019e\u0301conomiste Seydina Alioune Ndiaye alerte sur un choc fiscal sans pre\u0301ce\u0301dent contenu dans la Loi de finances initiale (LFI) 2026. Selon lui, le gouvernement se\u0301ne\u0301galais marche sur une corde raide, avec une hausse de la pression fiscale de +3,9 points de PIB, dont 92,8 % serait […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":82,"featured_media":71983,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,10],"tags":[44],"class_list":["post-71984","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economie","category-toutes-les-actualites","tag-senegal-2"],"yoast_head":"\n2026 Risque D\u2019\u00catre Plus Dure que 2025 Selon \u00c9conomiste - Senegal<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Dans un entretien accorde\u0301 a\u0300 L'Observateur, l\u2019e\u0301conomiste Seydina Alioune Ndiaye alerte sur un choc fiscal sans pre\u0301ce\u0301 ...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/senegal\/economie\/2026-risque-detre-plus-dure-que-2025-selon-economiste\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"2026 Risque D\u2019\u00catre Plus Dure que 2025 Selon \u00c9conomiste\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Dans un entretien accorde\u0301 a\u0300 L'Observateur, l\u2019e\u0301conomiste Seydina Alioune Ndiaye alerte sur un choc fiscal sans pre\u0301ce\u0301 ...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/senegal\/economie\/2026-risque-detre-plus-dure-que-2025-selon-economiste\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Senegal\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-10-25T12:10:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-10-26T02:14:04+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/senegal\/sites\/13\/2025\/10\/sm_1761473443.133485.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"720\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"cfeditorfr\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"cfeditorfr\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/senegal\/economie\/2026-risque-detre-plus-dure-que-2025-selon-economiste#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/senegal\/economie\/2026-risque-detre-plus-dure-que-2025-selon-economiste\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"cfeditorfr\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/senegal\/#\/schema\/person\/2b1cf3cd81a31e3cd26889ca66d677f1\"},\"headline\":\"2026 Risque D\u2019\u00catre Plus Dure que 2025 Selon \u00c9conomiste\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-10-25T12:10:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-10-26T02:14:04+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/senegal\/economie\/2026-risque-detre-plus-dure-que-2025-selon-economiste\"},\"wordCount\":387,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/senegal\/economie\/2026-risque-detre-plus-dure-que-2025-selon-economiste#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/senegal\/sites\/13\/2025\/10\/sm_1761473443.133485.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Senegal\"],\"articleSection\":[\"\u00c9conomie\",\"Toutes les actualit\u00e9s\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/senegal\/economie\/2026-risque-detre-plus-dure-que-2025-selon-economiste#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/senegal\/economie\/2026-risque-detre-plus-dure-que-2025-selon-economiste\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/senegal\/economie\/2026-risque-detre-plus-dure-que-2025-selon-economiste\",\"name\":\"2026 Risque D\u2019\u00catre Plus Dure que 2025 Selon \u00c9conomiste - 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