{"id":76066,"date":"2026-05-03T14:10:00","date_gmt":"2026-05-03T14:10:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/senegal\/politique\/hausse-du-petrole-coute-12-milliards-au-senegal"},"modified":"2026-05-03T23:02:25","modified_gmt":"2026-05-03T23:02:25","slug":"hausse-du-petrole-coute-12-milliards-au-senegal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/senegal\/economie\/hausse-du-petrole-coute-12-milliards-au-senegal","title":{"rendered":"Hausse Du P\u00e9trole Co\u00fbte 12 Milliards Au S\u00e9n\u00e9gal"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

CE Qu\u2019Il Faut Savoir<\/h4>\n

Le Pr Amath Ndiaye de la FASEG-UCAD met en garde contre les cons\u00e9quences financi\u00e8res de la hausse des prix du p\u00e9trole au S\u00e9n\u00e9gal. Il souligne que le maintien des tarifs \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques \u00e0 un niveau artificiel entra\u00eene un co\u00fbt croissant pour l’\u00c9tat, avec des subventions qui explosent en raison des fluctuations des prix mondiaux du p\u00e9trole.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Africa-Press – Senegal. <\/strong> <\/span>Dans une note d’analyse particulie\u0300rement e\u0301taye\u0301e, le Pr Amath Ndiaye de la FASEG-UCAD tire la sonnette d’alarme sur la gestion des prix de l’e\u0301nergie au Se\u0301ne\u0301gal. Il estime que le maintien artificiel des tarifs, bien que politiquement compre\u0301hensible pour pre\u0301server le pouvoir d’achat, se transforme progressivement en une impasse financie\u0300re majeure. Selon lui, en refusant d’ajuster les prix domestiques malgre\u0301 un choc pe\u0301trolier durable, le Se\u0301ne\u0301gal fait le choix d’un amortisseur social a\u0300 court terme, mais pre\u0301vient que \u00ab ce choix, rationnel politiquement, devient de plus en plus cou\u0302teux e\u0301conomiquement \u00bb.<\/p>\n

L’expert souligne une corre\u0301lation directe et alarmante entre les cours mondiaux du pe\u0301trole et le budget de l’E\u0301tat se\u0301ne\u0301galais. Les chiffres qu’il avance de\u0301montrent une explosion me\u0301canique des charges: si les subventions sont de 250 milliards de FCFA pour un baril a\u0300 64 dollars, elles s’e\u0301le\u0300vent de\u0301ja\u0300 a\u0300 408 milliards de\u0300s que le prix atteint 77 dollars.<\/p>\n

L’e\u0301conomiste pre\u0301cise que \u00ab chaque hausse de 1 dollar du baril repre\u0301sente environ 12 milliards FCFA de charges supple\u0301mentaires pour l\u2019E\u0301tat \u00bb, projetant qu’un baril a\u0300 100 dollars ferait grimper la facture a\u0300 pre\u0300s de 680 milliards de FCFA.<\/p>\n

Le risque d’un \u00ab effet ciseau \u00bb sur les finances publiques<\/b><\/p>\n

Le Pr Ndiaye de\u0301crit une situation de vulne\u0301rabilite\u0301 macroe\u0301conomique ou\u0300 le pays fait face a\u0300 un ve\u0301ritable \u00ab effet ciseau budge\u0301taire \u00bb. D’un co\u0302te\u0301, les de\u0301penses de subvention s’envolent, et de l’autre, les recettes sont contraintes par le ralentissement e\u0301conomique mondial. Il avertit que cette de\u0301rive budge\u0301taire produit un \u00ab effet d\u2019e\u0301viction \u00bb de\u0301le\u0301te\u0300re, car les ressources ainsi mobilise\u0301es \u00ab ne peuvent plus e\u0302tre oriente\u0301es vers les de\u0301penses productives, notamment les infrastructures ou le soutien a\u0300 l\u2019activite\u0301 \u00bb.<\/p>\n

Au-dela\u0300 de l’aspect purement comptable, l’analyse critique l’efficacite\u0301 me\u0302me de cette politique de soutien. Le professeur explique qu’en maintenant des prix artificiellement bas, l’E\u0301tat se\u0301ne\u0301galais \u00ab subventionne davantage les me\u0301nages les plus aise\u0301s et les entreprises e\u0301nergivores \u00bb, tout en retardant les ajustements de consommation ne\u0301cessaires au sein de la population. Pour lui, cette strate\u0301gie affaiblit la cre\u0301dibilite\u0301 du pays face aux partenaires financiers et aux marche\u0301s internationaux.<\/p>\n

En conclusion, l’e\u0301conomiste de l’UCAD conside\u0300re que le Se\u0301ne\u0301gal ne fait que de\u0301placer le proble\u0300me sans le re\u0301soudre, affirmant que le pays \u00ab ne supprime pas le cou\u0302t du choc pe\u0301trolier: il le reporte dans le budget de l\u2019E\u0301tat \u00bb. L’arbitrage final est de\u0301sormais ine\u0301vitable selon lui: il faudra choisir entre un ajustement progressif des prix accompagne\u0301 de mesures cible\u0301es, ou assumer une \u00ab de\u0301gradation acce\u0301le\u0301re\u0301e des e\u0301quilibres macroe\u0301conomiques \u00bb.<\/p>\n

Le Se\u0301ne\u0301gal, comme de nombreux pays, est affecte\u0301 par les fluctuations des prix du pe\u0301trole sur le marche\u0301 mondial. La de\u0301pendance a\u0300 l’e\u0301gard des importations d’e\u0301nergie rend l’e\u0301conomie vulne\u0301rable aux chocs pe\u0301troliers. Historiquement, le pays a tente\u0301 de maintenir des prix bas pour prote\u0301ger le pouvoir d’achat des me\u0301nages, mais cette strate\u0301gie a des conse\u0301quences budge\u0301taires significatives. Les experts avertissent que cette approche pourrait compromettre la stabilite\u0301 e\u0301conomique a\u0300 long terme, ne\u0301cessitant des ajustements difficiles dans le futur.<\/p>\n

Retrouvez plus d\u2019actualit\u00e9s et d\u2019analyses sur Senegal<\/span> sur le site Africa Press<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

CE Qu\u2019Il Faut Savoir Le Pr Amath Ndiaye de la FASEG-UCAD met en garde contre les cons\u00e9quences financi\u00e8res de la hausse des prix du p\u00e9trole au S\u00e9n\u00e9gal. Il souligne que le maintien des tarifs \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques \u00e0 un niveau artificiel entra\u00eene un co\u00fbt croissant pour l’\u00c9tat, avec des subventions qui explosent en raison des fluctuations des […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":82,"featured_media":76065,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,20,10],"tags":[536,2860,6105,44,4104],"class_list":["post-76066","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economie","category-top-nouvelles","category-toutes-les-actualites","tag-economie","tag-petrole","tag-prix-de-lenergie","tag-senegal-2","tag-subventions"],"yoast_head":"\nHausse Du P\u00e9trole Co\u00fbte 12 Milliards Au S\u00e9n\u00e9gal - Senegal<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Le Pr Amath Ndiaye alerte sur l'impact de la hausse du p\u00e9trole sur l'\u00e9conomie s\u00e9n\u00e9galaise, co\u00fbtant 12 milliards au budget.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/senegal\/economie\/hausse-du-petrole-coute-12-milliards-au-senegal\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Hausse Du P\u00e9trole Co\u00fbte 12 Milliards Au S\u00e9n\u00e9gal\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Le Pr Amath Ndiaye alerte sur l'impact de la hausse du p\u00e9trole sur l'\u00e9conomie s\u00e9n\u00e9galaise, co\u00fbtant 12 milliards au budget.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/senegal\/economie\/hausse-du-petrole-coute-12-milliards-au-senegal\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Senegal\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-05-03T14:10:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-05-03T23:02:25+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/senegal\/sites\/13\/2026\/05\/sm_1777849077.319096.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1260\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"cfeditorfr\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"cfeditorfr\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/senegal\/economie\/hausse-du-petrole-coute-12-milliards-au-senegal#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/senegal\/economie\/hausse-du-petrole-coute-12-milliards-au-senegal\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"cfeditorfr\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/senegal\/#\/schema\/person\/2b1cf3cd81a31e3cd26889ca66d677f1\"},\"headline\":\"Hausse Du P\u00e9trole Co\u00fbte 12 Milliards Au S\u00e9n\u00e9gal\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-05-03T14:10:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-05-03T23:02:25+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/senegal\/economie\/hausse-du-petrole-coute-12-milliards-au-senegal\"},\"wordCount\":692,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/senegal\/economie\/hausse-du-petrole-coute-12-milliards-au-senegal#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/senegal\/sites\/13\/2026\/05\/sm_1777849077.319096.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Economie\",\"Petrole\",\"prix de l'\u00e9nergie\",\"Senegal\",\"Subventions\"],\"articleSection\":[\"\u00c9conomie\",\"Top Nouvelles\",\"Toutes les actualit\u00e9s\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/senegal\/economie\/hausse-du-petrole-coute-12-milliards-au-senegal#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/senegal\/economie\/hausse-du-petrole-coute-12-milliards-au-senegal\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/senegal\/economie\/hausse-du-petrole-coute-12-milliards-au-senegal\",\"name\":\"Hausse Du P\u00e9trole Co\u00fbte 12 Milliards Au S\u00e9n\u00e9gal - 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