{"id":35303,"date":"2023-09-15T08:11:16","date_gmt":"2023-09-15T08:11:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/seychelles\/all-news\/soaring-rice-prices-foreshadow-climate-related-food-risks"},"modified":"2023-09-15T08:35:59","modified_gmt":"2023-09-15T08:35:59","slug":"soaring-rice-prices-foreshadow-climate-related-food-risks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/seychelles\/all-news\/soaring-rice-prices-foreshadow-climate-related-food-risks","title":{"rendered":"Soaring rice prices foreshadow climate-related food risks"},"content":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Seychelles. <\/strong><\/span>The price of rice, which soared to its highest level in 15 years, after restrictions imposed by India on exports of this cereal, foreshadows how climate change will disrupt food supplies worldwide, according to experts.<\/b><\/p>\n

Rice prices jumped 9.8% in August, offsetting declines in other commodities, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) said last week.<\/p>\n

It was the announcement in July by India, which represents 40% of world rice exports, of a ban on sales of non-basmati rice abroad, which ignited the powder.<\/p>\n

New Delhi justified this measure by a surge in rice prices on its domestic market caused by geopolitics, the El Nino weather phenomenon and \u201cextreme weather conditions\u201d.<\/p>\n

This year is expected to be the hottest ever experienced by humanity and the impact of the seasonal El Nino phenomenon could make the situation even worse.<\/p>\n

Despite severe flooding in parts of northern India, this August was the hottest and driest on record in the country. The monsoon, which brings up to 80% of the country’s annual rainfall, was well below normal.<\/p>\n

The restrictions imposed by India in July follow an embargo last September on exports of another variety of rice, an essential food in parts of Africa.<\/p>\n

Jusqu’a\u0300 8% des exportations mondiales de riz pour 2023\/24 pourraient de\u0301sormais e\u0302tre retire\u0301es du marche\u0301, selon une analyse de BMI, qui fait partie de l’agence de notation Fitch.<\/p>\n

– Craintes de se\u0301cheresse –<\/p>\n

Pour l’instant, la crise a offert une opportunite\u0301 a\u0300 la Thai\u0308lande et au Vietnam, les deuxie\u0300me et troisie\u0300me exportateurs mondiaux, d’augmenter leurs exportations.<\/p>\n

Nguyen Nhu Cuong, un responsable du ministe\u0300re vietnamien de l’Agriculture et du De\u0301veloppement rural, se fe\u0301licite d’une “re\u0301colte exceptionnelle” et envisage d’augmenter les semis.<\/p>\n

Mais la se\u0301cheresse qui accompagne El Nino pourrait menacer les re\u0301coltes, s’inquie\u0300te Elyssa Kaur Ludher, du programme sur le changement climatique en Asie du Sud-Est de l’Institut ISEAS-Yusof Ishak.<\/p>\n

“Je pense que la fin de cette anne\u0301e et surtout le de\u0301but de l’anne\u0301e prochaine seront tre\u0300s, tre\u0300s difficiles”, pre\u0301vient-elle.<\/p>\n

El Nino, un phe\u0301nome\u0300ne me\u0301te\u0301orologique naturel, dure ge\u0301ne\u0301ralement de neuf a\u0300 douze mois et devrait se renforcer a\u0300 la fin de cette anne\u0301e.<\/p>\n

Avant me\u0302me les restrictions impose\u0301es par l’Inde, son effet faisait grimper les prix a\u0300 l’exportation du riz, selon BMI.<\/p>\n

En Thai\u0308lande, les pre\u0301cipitations sont actuellement 18% infe\u0301rieures aux pre\u0301visions pour la pe\u0301riode, a indique\u0301 en septembre l’Office des ressources nationales en eau. Des pluies tardives pourraient encore compenser le de\u0301ficit, mais l’agence se dit “pre\u0301occupe\u0301e” par une se\u0301cheresse provoque\u0301e par El Nino.<\/p>\n

– “Nouvelle norme” –<\/p>\n

L’impact porte pluto\u0302t sur les prix que sur l’offre, rele\u0300ve Charles Hart, analyste des matie\u0300res premie\u0300res agricoles chez Fitch Solutions. “On n’assiste pas a\u0300 une pe\u0301riode de pe\u0301nurie de riz”.<\/p>\n

Cette situation est susceptible de ponctionner les stocks reconstitue\u0301s apre\u0300s la pande\u0301mie de Covid et d\u2019inciter les importateurs a\u0300 obtenir de nouveaux accords et a\u0300 imposer des limites localement.<\/p>\n

Les Philippines, important importateur, viennent de signer un accord avec le Vietnam pour stabiliser l’offre, quelques jours apre\u0300s avoir annonce\u0301 un plafonnement des prix.<\/p>\n

Mais pour les plus pauvres, des prix e\u0301leve\u0301s signifient moins de nourriture. “C’est aussi une question de stabilite\u0301 sociale, c’est une question politique” a\u0300 laquelle les dirigeants doivent e\u0302tre attentifs, note Elyssa Kaur Ludher.<\/p>\n

Le changement climatique peut faire baisser la productivite\u0301, avec une baisse des rendements agricoles a\u0300 mesure que les tempe\u0301ratures augmentent, mais il augmente e\u0301galement la probabilite\u0301 d\u2019e\u0301ve\u0301nements extre\u0302mes comme les inondations de 2022 au Pakistan.<\/p>\n

“Les marche\u0301s mondiaux d’exportation de ce\u0301re\u0301ales sont relativement concentre\u0301s, de sorte que ce type de risque climatique extre\u0302me se concentre sur quelques marche\u0301s”, ajoute Charles Hart.<\/p>\n

En Inde, les autorite\u0301s doivent de\u0301velopper de meilleurs syste\u0300mes d’alerte et de nouveaux mode\u0300les de semis, souligne Avantika Goswami, chercheuse sur le changement climatique au Centre pour la Science et l’Environnement.<\/p>\n

“Les conditions me\u0301te\u0301orologiques irre\u0301gulie\u0300res sont la nouvelle norme”, avertit-elle.The price of rice, which soared to its highest level in 15 years, after restrictions imposed by India on exports of this cereal, foreshadows how climate change will disrupt food supplies worldwide, according to experts.<\/p>\n

Rice prices jumped 9.8% in August, offsetting declines in other commodities, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) said last week.<\/p>\n

It was the announcement in July by India, which represents 40% of world rice exports, of a ban on sales of non-basmati rice abroad, which ignited the powder.<\/p>\n

New Delhi justified this measure by a surge in rice prices on its domestic market caused by geopolitics, the El Nino weather phenomenon and \u201cextreme weather conditions\u201d.<\/p>\n

This year is expected to be the hottest ever experienced by humanity and the impact of the seasonal El Nino phenomenon could make the situation even worse.<\/p>\n

Despite severe flooding in parts of northern India, this August was the hottest and driest on record in the country. The monsoon, which brings up to 80% of the country’s annual rainfall, was well below normal.<\/p>\n

The restrictions imposed by India in July follow an embargo last September on exports of another variety of rice, an essential food in parts of Africa.<\/p>\n

Up to 8% of global rice exports for 2023\/24 could now be taken off the market, according to an analysis by BMI, part of the Fitch ratings agency.<\/p>\n

– Fears of drought –<\/p>\n

For now, the crisis has offered an opportunity for Thailand and Vietnam, the world’s second and third largest exporters, to increase their exports.<\/p>\n

Nguyen Nhu Cuong, an official at Vietnam’s Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development, welcomes a “bumper harvest” and plans to increase plantings.<\/p>\n

But the drought that accompanies El Nino could threaten harvests, worries Elyssa Kaur Ludher of the Southeast Asia Climate Change Program at the ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute.<\/p>\n

\u201cI think the end of this year and especially the beginning of next year will be very, very difficult,\u201d she warns.<\/p>\n

El Nino, a natural weather phenomenon, typically lasts nine to 12 months and is expected to strengthen late this year.<\/p>\n

Even before India’s restrictions, its effect was driving up rice export prices, according to BMI.<\/p>\n

In Thailand, rainfall is currently 18% lower than forecast for the period, the National Water Resources Authority said in September. Late rains could still offset the deficit, but the agency says it is “concerned” about an El Nino-induced drought.<\/p>\n

– “New normal” –<\/p>\n

The impact is more on prices than on supply, notes Charles Hart, agricultural commodities analyst at Fitch Solutions. \u201cWe are not witnessing a period of rice shortage.\u201d<\/p>\n

This situation is likely to drain stocks replenished after the Covid pandemic and to encourage importers to obtain new agreements and impose limits locally.<\/p>\n

The Philippines, a major importer, has just signed an agreement with Vietnam to stabilize supply, a few days after announcing a price cap.<\/p>\n

But for the poorest, high prices mean less food. \u201cIt is also a question of social stability, it is a political question\u201d to which leaders must be attentive, notes Elyssa Kaur Ludher.<\/p>\n

Climate change can lower productivity, with agricultural yields falling as temperatures rise, but it also increases the likelihood of extreme events like the 2022 floods in Pakistan.<\/p>\n

\u201cGlobal grain export markets are relatively concentrated, so this type of extreme weather risk is concentrated in a few markets,\u201d adds Charles Hart.<\/p>\n

In India, authorities need to develop better warning systems and new seeding models, underlines Avantika Goswami, climate change researcher at the Center for Science and Environment.<\/p>\n

Source: nation<\/b><\/p>\n

For More News And Analysis About Seychelles<\/a> Follow Africa-Press<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Seychelles. The price of rice, which soared to its highest level in 15 years, after restrictions imposed by India on exports of this cereal, foreshadows how climate change will disrupt food supplies worldwide, according to experts. Rice prices jumped 9.8% in August, offsetting declines in other commodities, the Food and Agriculture Organization of […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":84,"featured_media":35302,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,6],"tags":[234,268,233],"class_list":["post-35303","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-all-news","category-files","tag-africa-press","tag-africa-press-seychelles","tag-seychelles"],"yoast_head":"\nSoaring rice prices foreshadow climate-related food risks - Seychelles<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The price of rice, which soared to its highest level in 15 years, after restrictions imposed by India on exports of t ...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/seychelles\/all-news\/soaring-rice-prices-foreshadow-climate-related-food-risks\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Soaring rice prices foreshadow climate-related food risks\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The price of rice, which soared to its highest level in 15 years, after restrictions imposed by India on exports of t ...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/seychelles\/all-news\/soaring-rice-prices-foreshadow-climate-related-food-risks\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Seychelles\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/AfricaPressTunisiaa\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-09-15T08:11:16+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-09-15T08:35:59+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/seychelles\/sites\/30\/2023\/09\/sm_1694753250.444784.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"675\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"cfeditoren\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"cfeditoren\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/seychelles\/all-news\/soaring-rice-prices-foreshadow-climate-related-food-risks#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/seychelles\/all-news\/soaring-rice-prices-foreshadow-climate-related-food-risks\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"cfeditoren\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/seychelles\/#\/schema\/person\/068c7ab4e9634ae78ec5d54ec46598bb\"},\"headline\":\"Soaring rice prices foreshadow climate-related food risks\",\"datePublished\":\"2023-09-15T08:11:16+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-09-15T08:35:59+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/seychelles\/all-news\/soaring-rice-prices-foreshadow-climate-related-food-risks\"},\"wordCount\":1332,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/seychelles\/all-news\/soaring-rice-prices-foreshadow-climate-related-food-risks#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/seychelles\/sites\/30\/2023\/09\/sm_1694753250.444784.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Africa Press\",\"Africa Press-Seychelles\",\"Seychelles\"],\"articleSection\":[\"all news\",\"files\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/seychelles\/all-news\/soaring-rice-prices-foreshadow-climate-related-food-risks#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/seychelles\/all-news\/soaring-rice-prices-foreshadow-climate-related-food-risks\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/seychelles\/all-news\/soaring-rice-prices-foreshadow-climate-related-food-risks\",\"name\":\"Soaring rice prices foreshadow climate-related food risks - 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