{"id":60552,"date":"2024-02-05T16:46:59","date_gmt":"2024-02-05T16:46:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/a-window-into-how-south-africa-could-be-run-after-the-2024-elections"},"modified":"2024-02-05T17:35:57","modified_gmt":"2024-02-05T17:35:57","slug":"a-window-into-how-south-africa-could-be-run-after-the-2024-elections","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/a-window-into-how-south-africa-could-be-run-after-the-2024-elections","title":{"rendered":"A window into how South Africa could be run after the 2024 elections"},"content":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – South-Africa. <\/strong><\/span>The recent outcome of the no-confidence vote in the eThekwini council may serve as a precursor for what can play out after the 2024 general elections \u2013 and what the ANC\u2019s strategy may be.<\/p>\n

On Wednesday, 31 January 2024, ANC eThekwini metropolitan mayor Mxolisi Kaunda narrowly survived a no-confidence vote levelled against him by the IFP, 109 to 98.<\/p>\n

The ANC, which makes up roughly 43% of the council, saw what it has long dubbed \u201csmaller parties\u201d, carry its mayor over the line as \u2018bigger\u2019 coalition partners turned their backs.<\/p>\n

The EFF, which currently governs eThekwini in a coalition with the ANC, voted alongside the DA, IFP, ActionSA and others to support the motion to remove the councillor that it had earlier helped elect.South Africa has seen an increase in coalition governments at a local government level \u2013 with the last municipal elections seeing approximately 80 councils having no single party win a majority, needing a coalition to govern.<\/p>\n

These trends could manifest at a national and\/or provincial level after the general elections in 2024.<\/p>\n

Polling done by the Social Research Foundation (SRF), IPSOS, and the Brenthurst Foundation, predicts that the ANC could get between 40 \u2013 45% of the national vote.<\/p>\n

At a provincial level, the ANC is also predicted to have a tough time achieving an outright majority \u2013 particularly in ANC-run Gauteng and KwaZulu-Natal.<\/p>\n

In 2019, the ANC received 50.19% and 54.2% in Gauteng and KwaZulu-Natal, respectively. Polling from the Brenthurst Foundation shows that the ANC sits at 37% in Gauteng and 32% in KwaZulu-Natal.<\/p>\n

There have been discussions around the possibility of coalitions between the ANC and \u2018larger\u2019 parties post-general election, but what has been shown at the local government level is that the ANC often opts for partnerships between many \u2018smaller\u2019 parties, before turning to \u2018larger\u2019 parties.<\/p>\n

This working relationship between the ANC and \u2018smaller\u2019 parties in eThekwini kept it from receiving the boot yesterday. The National Freedom Party\u2019s (NFP) Zandile Myeni, the sole NFP councillor in the city supported the ANC mayor, and was recently endorsed to take over the position of deputy mayorship, the Mail & Guardian reported.<\/p>\n

ANC KwaZulu-Natal provincial secretary Bheki Mtolo said that the party had decided to give the position to the block of small parties backing its coalition government (who helped it retain control of the city) as it would be \u201carrogant\u201d and \u201cstupid\u201d of the ANC not to do so.<\/p>\n

\u201c[The ANC are] unlikely to absolutely plummet [in the national elections], they\u2019re not going to get 35 or 40% [of the vote]\u201d said futurist Graeme Codrington in an interview with Newzroom Afrika. \u201cI don\u2019t see the ANC looking at the at, the DA or at the EFF for partnerships; they might look at one or even two of the very small parties if they only [around 4%] to get to that to that 50% mark,\u201d he said<\/p>\n

If the ANC does not \u201cplummet\u201d in the votes, the very likely scenario would be the party looking to make a grouping of \u2018smaller\u2019 parties.<\/p>\n

The ANC are currently in numerous coalitions, including with the EFF \u2013 leaving its own party officials divided. Some in the NEC have repeatedly called for the severing of ties with the EFF in coalitions, while others, like ANC Veterans\u2019 League and its leader, Snuki Zikalala, expressed a preference for the DA as a possible coalition partner over the EFF.<\/p>\n

And whilst the ideological divide on coalitions ensues within the ruling party, local government politics has shown that working with a block of \u2018smaller\u2019 parties, when \u2018bigger\u2019 partners turn against it, may be up the ANC\u2019s sleeve.<\/p>\n

A strategy (which has seen the rise of kingmakers) that could mean the ANC stays in the driving seat. This was touted upon when ANC secretary general Fikile Mbalula recently said at a media briefing following the party\u2019s 2024 NEC meeting that a stance supporting an ANC and EFF coalition is \u201cvery dangerous because it is the ANC that seems to be begging with the cap in the hand to the EFF in these coalitions \u2013 there\u2019s no principle, there is no honesty, there is no loyalty in terms of the agreement.\u201d<\/p>\n

With over 350 parties registered with the IEC for the 2024 elections, the incumbent is not short of options of working partners (given they make the threshold to legislature) \u2013 and as shown by what happened in eThekwini, may be what it would opt for.<\/p>\n

For More News And Analysis About South-Africa<\/a> Follow Africa-Press<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – South-Africa. The recent outcome of the no-confidence vote in the eThekwini council may serve as a precursor for what can play out after the 2024 general elections \u2013 and what the ANC\u2019s strategy may be. On Wednesday, 31 January 2024, ANC eThekwini metropolitan mayor Mxolisi Kaunda narrowly survived a no-confidence vote levelled against […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":84,"featured_media":60551,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,6],"tags":[274,315,275],"class_list":["post-60552","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-all-news","category-files","tag-africa-press","tag-africa-press-south-africa","tag-south-africa-2"],"yoast_head":"\nA window into how South Africa could be run after the 2024 elections - South Africa<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The recent outcome of the no-confidence vote in the eThekwini council may serve as a precursor for what can play out aft ...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/a-window-into-how-south-africa-could-be-run-after-the-2024-elections\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"A window into how South Africa could be run after the 2024 elections\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The recent outcome of the no-confidence vote in the eThekwini council may serve as a precursor for what can play out aft ...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/a-window-into-how-south-africa-could-be-run-after-the-2024-elections\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"South Africa\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/AfricaPressTunisiaa\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-02-05T16:46:59+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-02-05T17:35:57+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/sites\/31\/2024\/02\/sm_1707141814.489069.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"640\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"426\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"cfeditoren\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"cfeditoren\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/a-window-into-how-south-africa-could-be-run-after-the-2024-elections#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/a-window-into-how-south-africa-could-be-run-after-the-2024-elections\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"cfeditoren\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/#\/schema\/person\/068c7ab4e9634ae78ec5d54ec46598bb\"},\"headline\":\"A window into how South Africa could be run after the 2024 elections\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-02-05T16:46:59+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-02-05T17:35:57+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/a-window-into-how-south-africa-could-be-run-after-the-2024-elections\"},\"wordCount\":743,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/a-window-into-how-south-africa-could-be-run-after-the-2024-elections#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/sites\/31\/2024\/02\/sm_1707141814.489069.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Africa Press\",\"Africa Press-South-Africa\",\"South-Africa\"],\"articleSection\":[\"all news\",\"files\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/a-window-into-how-south-africa-could-be-run-after-the-2024-elections#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/a-window-into-how-south-africa-could-be-run-after-the-2024-elections\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/a-window-into-how-south-africa-could-be-run-after-the-2024-elections\",\"name\":\"A window into how South Africa could be run after the 2024 elections - 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