{"id":60951,"date":"2024-02-13T17:33:07","date_gmt":"2024-02-13T17:33:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/2024-budget-predictions-tax-hikes-medical-aid-credit-changes-and-more"},"modified":"2024-02-13T19:17:20","modified_gmt":"2024-02-13T19:17:20","slug":"2024-budget-predictions-tax-hikes-medical-aid-credit-changes-and-more","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/2024-budget-predictions-tax-hikes-medical-aid-credit-changes-and-more","title":{"rendered":"2024 Budget predictions: Tax hikes, medical aid credit changes and more"},"content":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – South-Africa. <\/strong><\/span>The upcoming 2024 budget speech requires the Minister of Finance to prioritise disciplined budgeting, efficient tax collection, responsible spending, and sustainable economic growth promotion by promoting a balance between promoting economic development and easing the burden on South African households.<\/p>\n

This is the view presented by law firm ENS Africa\u2019s tax experts.<\/p>\n

The firm outlined that the minister, Enoch Godongwana, has already warned that Budget 2024 \u2013 taking place on 21 February \u2013 will need to propose tax measures to raise additional revenue of R15 billion in the 2024\/2025 financial year, starting in April 2024.<\/p>\n

Predictions<\/p>\n

The firm has predicted possible elements in the speech to do with:<\/p>\n

The energy crisis;<\/p>\n

Personal income and marginal tax rates;<\/p>\n

Wealth tax;<\/p>\n

Medical credits;<\/p>\n

Corporate income tax;<\/p>\n

Value-added tax (VAT);<\/p>\n

Excise (sin tax);<\/p>\n

Fuel levy and the road accident fund (RAF);<\/p>\n

Incentives;<\/p>\n

Carbon taxes; and<\/p>\n

Retirement funds.<\/p>\n

The energy crisis<\/p>\n

Last year, there was an announcement that government would assist households and businesses in installing alternative energy and energy savings devices. This was aimed at fast-tracking private investment in renewable energy to help ease South Africa\u2019s energy crisis.<\/p>\n

\u201cThese incentives continue to apply and it is unlikely that any additional incentives will be announced,\u201d said the firm.<\/p>\n

Personal Income Tax and Marginal Tax rates<\/p>\n

\u201cIt is expected that no announcement on an increase in personal income tax will be made with the highest marginal tax rate for individual taxpayers remaining unchanged at 45%,\u201d said ENS.<\/p>\n

However, at the World Economic Forum in Davos, the minister reiterated that hiking personal or corporate tax had not been ruled out \u2013 but it would prove to be difficult.<\/p>\n

\u201cIt is however worth noting that any increase in the highest rates would not yield significant revenue given that only a relatively small number of taxpayers fall into these tax brackets,\u201d added the firm.<\/p>\n

As such, there could be a fiscal drag adjustment to counteract the impact of inflation on taxable income, to achieve a balancing of the budget.<\/p>\n

Wealth Tax<\/p>\n

It is possible that there will be a call for an increase in the maximum marginal tax rate for 2024. However, it is worth noting that raising the rate for individuals from 45% to 50% may not necessarily lead to the substantial increase in revenue that they would be looking for.<\/p>\n

This brings up the question of whether such a significant change would be warranted.<\/p>\n

ENS said that \u201cthere are complexities in introducing such a wealth tax, especially when assets are held by trusts… any increases in these rates or the introduction of special levies to tax wealth are thus unlikely.\u201d<\/p>\n

Medical Credits<\/p>\n

Individuals who belong to medical aid schemes have the right to receive a medical tax credit. Additionally, there exists an extra medical tax credit for expenses that have been paid out-of-pocket.<\/p>\n

It was approximated that the total cost of this credit was R28 billion for the year 2020\/2021, with an additional R7.5 billion for out-of-pocket expenses.<\/p>\n

ENS believes that an announcement of an adjustment to these credits is plausible as \u201cmechanisms must be considered to fund the National Health Insurance plan which has now been approved by Parliament and the National Council of Provinces.\u201d<\/p>\n

Corporate Income Tax rate<\/p>\n

During the 2022 budget speech, the minister announced that the corporate income tax rate (which decreased from 28% to 27%) would continue to decline over time \u2013 however it is unlikely that any changes in corporate rates will be announced.<\/p>\n

\u201cHigh global commodity prices assisted in generating additional revenue, however, collections are substantially down from last year,\u201d said ENS. \u201cIt may be appropriate to further reduce the rate to make South Africa more competitive in global terms and also encourage foreign investment.\u201d<\/p>\n

Value-Added Tax<\/p>\n

A widely spoken about topic is the possibility of the minister amending VAT.<\/p>\n

A 1% increase in the VAT rate generates approximately R24 billion of additional revenue, more than the R15 billion that the minister indicated is required, \u201cbut any increase in the rate is linked to demands for further zero-ratings to assist poorer households,\u201d said ENS.<\/p>\n

South Africa\u2019s VAT rate is lower than the average for African countries and other countries around the globe. ENS predicts that \u201cno VAT increase will be announced this year.\u201d<\/p>\n

The current threshold is R1 million and this was last increased in 2008. Additionally, it is predicted that threshold for compulsory VAT registration will be increased to at least R2 million (from R1 million).<\/p>\n

Carbon taxes<\/p>\n

Since the Climate Change Bill has been passed by the National Assembly and transmitted to the National Council of Provinces for concurrence, a higher rate of carbon tax at R640 per ton of carbon dioxide equivalent emissions will be introduced into the Carbon Tax Act for emissions which exceed a taxpayer\u2019s carbon budget.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe anticipate that an announcement will be made that this higher rate will come into effect for the carbon tax period which will commence on 1 January 2025,\u201d said ENS.<\/p>\n

Retirement funds<\/p>\n

The implementation date for the new two-pot retirement system has been confirmed as September 1, 2024, and it is not expected that there will be any further changes in this regard.<\/p>\n

This new system will allow taxpayers to withdraw a portion of their retirement savings, which could potentially affect personal income tax collections.<\/p>\n

Sin taxes<\/p>\n

ENS predicts that all excise rates for beer, alcohol and tobacco will increase \u2013 at least in line with core inflation.<\/p>\n

Fuel Levy and Road Accident Fund<\/p>\n

\u201cExpect an inflationary increase as this remains a significant contributor to revenue collected and is a tax that is easy to collect, especially as consumers are already used to high fuel prices,\u201d said the experts.<\/p>\n

For More News And Analysis About South-Africa<\/a> Follow Africa-Press<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – South-Africa. The upcoming 2024 budget speech requires the Minister of Finance to prioritise disciplined budgeting, efficient tax collection, responsible spending, and sustainable economic growth promotion by promoting a balance between promoting economic development and easing the burden on South African households. This is the view presented by law firm ENS Africa\u2019s tax experts. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":84,"featured_media":60949,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,12],"tags":[274,315,275],"class_list":["post-60951","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-all-news","category-policy","tag-africa-press","tag-africa-press-south-africa","tag-south-africa-2"],"yoast_head":"\n2024 Budget predictions: Tax hikes, medical aid credit changes and more - South Africa<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The upcoming 2024 budget speech requires the Minister of Finance to prioritise disciplined budgeting, efficient tax coll ...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/2024-budget-predictions-tax-hikes-medical-aid-credit-changes-and-more\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"2024 Budget predictions: Tax hikes, medical aid credit changes and more\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The upcoming 2024 budget speech requires the Minister of Finance to prioritise disciplined budgeting, efficient tax coll ...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/2024-budget-predictions-tax-hikes-medical-aid-credit-changes-and-more\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"South Africa\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/AfricaPressTunisiaa\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-02-13T17:33:07+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-02-13T19:17:20+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/sites\/31\/2024\/02\/sm_1707839159.414842.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1024\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"683\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"cfeditoren\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"cfeditoren\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/2024-budget-predictions-tax-hikes-medical-aid-credit-changes-and-more#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/2024-budget-predictions-tax-hikes-medical-aid-credit-changes-and-more\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"cfeditoren\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/#\/schema\/person\/068c7ab4e9634ae78ec5d54ec46598bb\"},\"headline\":\"2024 Budget predictions: Tax hikes, medical aid credit changes and more\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-02-13T17:33:07+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-02-13T19:17:20+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/2024-budget-predictions-tax-hikes-medical-aid-credit-changes-and-more\"},\"wordCount\":944,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/2024-budget-predictions-tax-hikes-medical-aid-credit-changes-and-more#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/sites\/31\/2024\/02\/sm_1707839159.414842.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Africa Press\",\"Africa Press-South-Africa\",\"South-Africa\"],\"articleSection\":[\"all news\",\"policy\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/2024-budget-predictions-tax-hikes-medical-aid-credit-changes-and-more#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/2024-budget-predictions-tax-hikes-medical-aid-credit-changes-and-more\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/2024-budget-predictions-tax-hikes-medical-aid-credit-changes-and-more\",\"name\":\"2024 Budget predictions: Tax hikes, medical aid credit changes and more - 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