{"id":67221,"date":"2024-05-29T14:57:21","date_gmt":"2024-05-29T14:57:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/load-shedding-warning-for-winter"},"modified":"2024-05-29T15:54:33","modified_gmt":"2024-05-29T15:54:33","slug":"load-shedding-warning-for-winter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/load-shedding-warning-for-winter","title":{"rendered":"Load shedding warning for winter"},"content":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – South-Africa. <\/strong><\/span>Numerous energy experts have warned that while the current load shedding reprieve is welcomed, it will not last throughout the winter season.<\/p>\n

South Africa has enjoyed two months of no load shedding in April and May. This is the longest period without power cuts since 2021.<\/p>\n

Eskom highlighted that the last time South Africa had more than 51 days without load shedding was between 5 December 2021 and 2 February 2022.<\/p>\n

The power utility credited its Generation Operational Recovery Plan, which commenced in March 2023, for its generation fleet\u2019s improved performance and reliability.<\/p>\n

The plan included accelerating planned maintenance, increased preventative maintenance, major plant refurbishments, and life extension projects.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe results are increasingly now being seen in the reduction of Unplanned Capacity Loss Factor (UCLF) or unplanned maintenance,\u201d Eskom said.<\/p>\n

This has resulted in a big improvement in Eskom\u2019s energy available factor (EAF), which helped it to stop load shedding for two months.<\/p>\n

However, head of energy at the South African National Energy Development Institute (SANEDI), Professor Sampson Mamphweli, said load shedding is not a thing of the past.<\/p>\n

He warned that power cuts would return as winter progresses and electricity demand ramps up, putting Eskom\u2019s generation fleet under pressure.<\/p>\n

He highlighted that Eskom benefitted from improved performance, more solar PV installations, and a warmer-than-expected winter.<\/p>\n

The warm winter resulted in lower electricity demand. This is set to change as it gets colder in June and July.<\/p>\n

The colder weather will put pressure on Eskom\u2019s grid. This, in turn, is likely to result in the return of load shedding.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe are looking at stage two load shedding at least if the situation deteriorates and demand rises as winter gets colder,\u201d Mamphweli said.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe might see days where we do not have load shedding, but there could be days where, at worst, it would be stage five load shedding.\u201dMamphweli\u2019s views align with Professor Hartmut Winkler\u2019s from the University of Johannesburg, who said load shedding will return despite lower demand.<\/p>\n

Winkler explained that the load shedding reprieve over the last few weeks is due to South Africans using less power.<\/p>\n

Electricity demand is 6% less in 2024 than in 2023. This is partly because many businesses and households have installed rooftop solar.<\/p>\n

During winter, the electricity demand in South Africa is around 6,000 MW higher than during summer.<\/p>\n

During its Winter 2024 Outlook presentation, Eskom said South Africans may see load shedding this winter, but it will likely be limited to stage 2.<\/p>\n

Eskom CEO Dan Marokane said their likely risk scenario indicates load shedding will remain at stage 2 and below.<\/p>\n

Marokane said their likely scenario, which assumes an average of 15,500MW of breakdowns, indicates that load shedding will be limited to stage 2.<\/p>\n

Should the worst-case scenario be realised, where breakdowns hit 17,000MW, load shedding could hit stage 5.<\/p>\n

Winkler said this is an optimistic view, adding that he expects South Africa to oscillate between stage 1 and 3 during winter.<\/p>\n

Electricity Minister Kgosientsho Ramokgopa also warned that load shedding was not a thing of the past and that Eskom will experience setbacks in the future.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe are still working on the reliability of Eskom\u2019s generating units, and that\u2019s why you can\u2019t speak with great confidence that load shedding is behind us,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n

For More News And Analysis About South-Africa<\/a> Follow Africa-Press<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – South-Africa. Numerous energy experts have warned that while the current load shedding reprieve is welcomed, it will not last throughout the winter season. South Africa has enjoyed two months of no load shedding in April and May. This is the longest period without power cuts since 2021. Eskom highlighted that the last time […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":84,"featured_media":67220,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,5],"tags":[274,315,275],"class_list":["post-67221","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-all-news","category-economy","tag-africa-press","tag-africa-press-south-africa","tag-south-africa-2"],"yoast_head":"\nLoad shedding warning for winter - South Africa<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Numerous energy experts have warned that while the current load shedding reprieve is welcomed, it will not last througho ...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/load-shedding-warning-for-winter\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Load shedding warning for winter\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Numerous energy experts have warned that while the current load shedding reprieve is welcomed, it will not last througho ...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/load-shedding-warning-for-winter\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"South Africa\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/AfricaPressTunisiaa\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-05-29T14:57:21+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-05-29T15:54:33+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/sites\/31\/2024\/05\/sm_1716984736.885852.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"cfeditoren\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"cfeditoren\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/load-shedding-warning-for-winter#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/load-shedding-warning-for-winter\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"cfeditoren\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/#\/schema\/person\/068c7ab4e9634ae78ec5d54ec46598bb\"},\"headline\":\"Load shedding warning for winter\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-05-29T14:57:21+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-05-29T15:54:33+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/load-shedding-warning-for-winter\"},\"wordCount\":553,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/load-shedding-warning-for-winter#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/sites\/31\/2024\/05\/sm_1716984736.885852.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Africa Press\",\"Africa Press-South-Africa\",\"South-Africa\"],\"articleSection\":[\"all news\",\"economy\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/load-shedding-warning-for-winter#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/load-shedding-warning-for-winter\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/south-africa\/all-news\/load-shedding-warning-for-winter\",\"name\":\"Load shedding warning for winter - 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