Africa-Press – Tanzania. THE Tanzania Meteorological Authority (TMA) has released the official seasonal outlook for the October–December 2025 Vuli rains, cautioning that the season will be marked by normal to below normal rainfall in many areas, prolonged dry spells, poor distribution and unusually warm temperatures.
Speaking in Dar es Salaam on Thursday, TMA Director General Dr Ladislaus Chang’a said the rains will commence in the first and second week of October in Kagera, Geita, Mwanza, Mara and northern Kigoma.
They will reach Simiyu and Shinyanga in the fourth week of October before extending to the north-eastern highlands and northern coast in early November.
The season is forecast to end in January 2026, with enhanced rainfall expected in December.
According to Dr Chang’a, Kagera, Geita and northern Kigoma will likely experience normal to above normal rainfall, while Mara, Simiyu, Mwanza, Shinyanga, the north-eastern highlands and northern coast are expected to receive normal to below normal levels.
He stressed, however, that extreme weather events such as heavy downpours could still occur despite the outlook.
The forecast has wideranging implications for key sectors including agriculture, livestock, fisheries, tourism, transport, energy, mining, water and health.
Farmers may face soil moisture deficits, crop water-logging, pest infestations and disease outbreaks. Pastoralists could experience shortages of pasture and water, fuelling possible conflicts over resources.
He said wetter zones may also face outbreaks of animal diseases such as Rift Valley Fever.
Tourism and wildlife management could be affected by water scarcity in some parks, driving wild animals into communities, while heavy rains may increase migration and escalate human–wildlife conflicts.
Dr Chang’a said the transport sector faces risks of flooded roads and railways, while energy and water supply systems could suffer reduced reservoir levels or flood-related damage.
Health concerns include waterborne diseases such as cholera in wetter areas and increased risks of disease outbreaks from unsafe water sources in drier locations.
Dr Chang’a urged communities to heed official advisories, conserve water, practise safe hygiene and take preventive health measures. “It is an offence to disseminate weather information from unofficial sources,” he cautioned.
The TMA outlook underscores the urgent need for preparedness at both household and institutional levels to mitigate the potential socio-economic disruptions from the Vuli rains.
For More News And Analysis About Tanzania Follow Africa-Press
