{"id":812,"date":"2020-12-28T01:50:49","date_gmt":"2020-12-28T01:50:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.com\/togo\/?p=812"},"modified":"2020-12-28T00:19:05","modified_gmt":"2020-12-28T00:19:05","slug":"du-pib-rebase-au-pnd-reajuste","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/togo\/economie\/du-pib-rebase-au-pnd-reajuste","title":{"rendered":"du PIB \u00ab rebas\u00e9 \u00bb au PND r\u00e9ajust\u00e9"},"content":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press<\/a> – Togo<\/a>. <\/strong><\/span>Le 22 septembre dernier, le Togo annon\u00e7ait le rebasage de son PIB, lequel a bondi du m\u00eame coup de plus de 36,5 %. Une op\u00e9ration qui permet au pays d\u2019adapter son plan de d\u00e9veloppement \u00e0 la r\u00e9alit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique et sociale, et d\u2019accro\u00eetre ses capacit\u00e9s d\u2019endettement.<\/p>\n

Avec \u00e0 peine plus de 3 100 cas d\u00e9clar\u00e9s, dont 65 d\u00e9c\u00e8s au 8 d\u00e9cembre, soit 4 cas pour 100 000 habitants, le Togo a \u00e9t\u00e9 jusqu\u2019\u00e0 pr\u00e9sent relativement \u00e9pargn\u00e9 par la pand\u00e9mie de Covid-19. Un miracle qui ne s\u2019est pas produit sur le plan \u00e9conomique. Le gouvernement togolais a d\u00fb revoir le taux de croissance de son PIB \u00e0 la baisse pour l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2020, \u00e0 \u00ab seulement \u00bb 0,7 %, voire 0 % selon les projections publi\u00e9es par le FMI en octobre. Pas si mal, certes, au regard de la r\u00e9cession qui frappe la plupart des \u00e9conomies du continent et de la plan\u00e8te. Mais les pr\u00e9visions du Plan national de d\u00e9veloppement (PND) 2018-2022 en sont totalement boulevers\u00e9es.<\/p>\n

Aussi, \u00e0 deux ans de l\u2019\u00e9ch\u00e9ance de ce document strat\u00e9gique destin\u00e9 \u00e0 transformer structurellement l\u2019\u00e9conomie togolaise pour \u00ab une croissance forte, durable, r\u00e9siliente, inclusive, cr\u00e9atrice d\u2019emplois d\u00e9cents pour tous, etc. \u00bb, ses r\u00e9dacteurs vont devoir d\u00e9ployer de nouveaux tr\u00e9sors de mod\u00e9lisation.<\/p>\n

Moins de d\u00e9pendance<\/strong>
\nCe plan de d\u00e9veloppement r\u00e9dig\u00e9, notamment, avec l\u2019expertise du socialiste fran\u00e7ais Dominique Strauss-Khan, s\u2019articulait autour de trois axes majeurs : faire du Togo une plateforme logistique et un hub financier d\u2019excellence ; d\u00e9velopper des p\u00f4les de transformation agricole, manufacturiers et d\u2019industries extractives ; consolider le d\u00e9veloppement social et l\u2019inclusion.<\/p>\n

Sous l\u2019effet de la pand\u00e9mie de Covid-19, l\u2019\u00e9quilibre entre ces trois volets est \u00e9videmment rompu, le gouvernement \u00e9tant contraint de proc\u00e9der \u00e0 une r\u00e9allocation des ressources, en particulier en faveur du troisi\u00e8me axe relatif au social. Une op\u00e9ration qui contribuera sans doute \u00e0 rench\u00e9rir la faramineuse enveloppe de 4 622 milliards de F CFA (plus de 7 milliards d\u2019euros) pr\u00e9vus pour financer le PND.<\/p>\n

D\u2019ores et d\u00e9j\u00e0, dans un contexte de r\u00e9cession \u00e9conomique mondiale et d\u2019incertitudes pour les entreprises, la strat\u00e9gie de mobilisation de ces ressources, initialement bas\u00e9e sur l\u2019appui du secteur priv\u00e9 national, \u00e0 hauteur de 65 %, et la contribution d\u2019investisseurs \u00e9trangers, \u00e0 hauteur de 35 %, sera in\u00e9vitablement revue. Comme l\u2019a reconnu Sani Yaya, le ministre de l\u2019\u00c9conomie et des Finances, d\u00e8s le 25 ao\u00fbt, lors de la revue de la performance des r\u00e9formes, c\u2019est tout le mod\u00e8le \u00e9conomique du pays qu\u2019il faut repenser pour le rendre moins d\u00e9pendant de l\u2019ext\u00e9rieur et plus r\u00e9silient face aux chocs exog\u00e8nes.<\/p>\n

Nouvelle feuille de route 2020-2025<\/strong>
\nOn attend donc du processus de r\u00e9vision du PND une nouvelle feuille de route 2020-2025. Si les trois axes strat\u00e9giques initiaux demeurent, ils devraient \u00eatre compl\u00e9t\u00e9s par de nouvelles priorit\u00e9s : il va s\u2019agir d\u2019am\u00e9liorer, d\u2019une part, l\u2019efficacit\u00e9 de l\u2019action publique \u00e0 travers la modernisation et la digitalisation de l\u2019administration et de l\u2019\u00e9conomie, d\u2019autre part, la productivit\u00e9 des acteurs priv\u00e9s et, enfin, d\u2019assurer une meilleure r\u00e9silience des syst\u00e8mes sanitaires, \u00e9ducatifs et sociaux pour faire face aux crises futures.<\/p>\n

Pour soutenir la croissance, les \u00e9conomistes qui travaillent sur le projet pr\u00e9voient des investissements cumul\u00e9s de 2 800 milliards \u00e0 3 400 milliards de F CFA sur les cinq prochaines ann\u00e9es, ce qui, selon le meilleur sc\u00e9nario, devrait porter le taux de croissance \u00e0 7,8 % en 2025, alors que le PND initial tablait sur l\u2019atteinte d\u2019un taux de croissance de 7,6 % d\u00e8s 2022.<\/p>\n

Op\u00e9ration de r\u00e9\u00e9valuation<\/strong>
\nMalgr\u00e9 la pand\u00e9mie de Covid-19 et ses cons\u00e9quences \u00e9conomiques et sociales, le Togo ne r\u00e9duit pas ses ambitions, il augmente juste quelque peu la longueur du chemin pour parvenir \u00e0 ses fins. L\u2019op\u00e9ration de rebasage r\u00e9alis\u00e9e en septembre dernier afin de mettre \u00e0 jour le syst\u00e8me de calcul des comptes nationaux a sans nul doute contribu\u00e9 \u00e0 garder l\u2019optimisme du pays intact.<\/p>\n

Gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 cette r\u00e9\u00e9valuation, pour 2019, le PIB du Togo a \u00e9t\u00e9 revu \u00e0 la hausse de 36,5 % et le taux d\u2019endettement r\u00e9ajust\u00e9 \u00e0 51,9 %, le pays retrouve donc des marges de man\u0153uvre pour accro\u00eetre les investissements publics et mener des actions \u00e0 fort impact social, lesquelles devraient, on l\u2019esp\u00e8re, aider les acteurs \u00e9conomiques priv\u00e9s \u00e0 faire face au coronavirus et \u00e0 ses cons\u00e9quences.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Togo. Le 22 septembre dernier, le Togo annon\u00e7ait le rebasage de son PIB, lequel a bondi du m\u00eame coup de plus de 36,5 %. Une op\u00e9ration qui permet au pays d\u2019adapter son plan de d\u00e9veloppement \u00e0 la r\u00e9alit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique et sociale, et d\u2019accro\u00eetre ses capacit\u00e9s d\u2019endettement. Avec \u00e0 peine plus de 3 100 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":82,"featured_media":811,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,3,11,20,10],"tags":[36,49,50],"class_list":["post-812","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-dossiers","category-economie","category-homepage-french","category-top-nouvelles","category-toutes-les-actualites","tag-africa-press","tag-africa-press-togo","tag-togo"],"yoast_head":"\ndu PIB \u00ab rebas\u00e9 \u00bb au PND r\u00e9ajust\u00e9 - Togo<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Le 22 septembre dernier, le Togo annon\u00e7ait le rebasage de son PIB, lequel a bondi du m\u00eame coup de plus de 36,5 %. 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