{"id":10026,"date":"2021-05-10T16:41:40","date_gmt":"2021-05-10T16:41:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/?p=10026"},"modified":"2021-05-10T15:14:53","modified_gmt":"2021-05-10T15:14:53","slug":"will-museveni-6th-term-deliver-after-35-years","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/will-museveni-6th-term-deliver-after-35-years","title":{"rendered":"Will Museveni 6th term deliver after 35 years?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press<\/a> – Uganda<\/a>. <\/strong><\/span>For the 35 years President Museveni has so far been in charge of Uganda, his manifestos have been underpinned by attention-grabbing catchlines but they don\u2019t differ much in substance.<\/p>\n

In 1996, when he organised elections for the first time, having ruled for an initial 10 years, Mr Museveni\u2019s manifesto had \u201cTackling the Tasks Ahead\u201d as the theme. The one of 2001 was \u201cConsolidating the achievements\u201d; 2006 had \u201cProsperity for All\u201d; whereas that of 2011 had \u201cProsperity for All: Better Service Delivery and Job-Creation\u201d.<\/p>\n

Whereas his 2016 manifesto, which saw Mr Museveni get this ending term, had the principal theme and message as \u201cTaking Uganda to Modernity through Job Creation and Inclusive Development\u201d, it is the Swahili slogan of kisanja hakuna mchezo (term for no nonsense) that Mr Museveni adopted after taking an oath that captured people\u2019s imagination, thinking things will be different from the previous terms. Mr Museveni has always been obsessed with dragging Uganda from a principally low-income society to a competitive middle-income country, and the 2016 manifesto captured that ambition.<\/p>\n

The World Bank classifies the world\u2019s economies into four groupings \u2013 low, lower-middle, upper-middle, and high. For a country to at least qualify to the lower middle-income bracket, which Mr Museveni says is his target, its Gross National Income (GNI) per capita should not only exceed the threshold of $1,036 (Shs3.7m), it should have high quality livelihoods with peace, stability, good governance, a well-educated and learning society and a competitive economy capable of sustaining growth.<\/p>\n

READ:<\/b><\/p>\n

Museveni\u2019s road to 40 years in power: The challenges ahead<\/p>\n

In 2020, for example, the World Bank declared that Tanzania, Uganda\u2019s southern neighbour, had been elevated from the low-income bracket to lower-middle income status after the country\u2018s GNI per capita increased from $ 1,020 (Shs3.6m) in 2018 to $1,080 (Shs3.8m) in 2019. Tanzania\u2019s elevation was a product of the country\u2019s solid economic performance of more than six per cent real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) average growth for the past 10 years.<\/p>\n

In 2019, while Tanzania was taking baby steps to get out of the low-income bracket in which Uganda is still stuck, Mr Matia Kasaija, Uganda\u2019s Minister for Finance, was asked about the consequences of Uganda\u2019s surging foreign debt and its implications on the economy.Mr Kasaija said: \u201cI would like to assure this country, and everyone, that our debt is sustainable in the medium to the long-term.\u201d<\/p>\n

READ:<\/b><\/p>\n

Thirty five years later, has Museveni shaped the destiny of our country?<\/p>\n

Mr Kasaija dumped English and turned to Luganda, saying \u201c\u2026 amabanja tegajja kutuziika nga bwemuwulira nti gajja kututuulira gatuzikke\u201d (Uganda won\u2019t be entrapped by debt like many doomsayers are predicting). His ministry, Mr Kasaija went on to brag, is full of competent technocrats who are steering Uganda\u2019s economy in the right direction. \u201cWe are very serious people in the ministry; we watch, we watch,\u201d he said. \u201cEvery time a borrowing proposal is brought to me, there are certain things I must ask that officer, say \u2018show me this, show me this!\u2019 When the economy expands, businesses expand, you people earn more money; so because I tax you more, I get more money. Now I don\u2019t need to borrow.\u201d<\/p>\n

Two years later, Uganda\u2019s total public debt has swelled to $18b (Shs64 trillion) as of late 2020, prompting Mr Kasaija to admit that he has no option but to ask Uganda\u2019s major creditors such as the World Bank and China to halt loan repayments amidst a growing default risk. Yet when he was recently speaking to the National Resistance Movement (NRM) party\u2019s retreat for the newly elected MPs at the National Leadership Institute (NALI) in Kyankwanzi District, Mr Museveni seemed to blame the failure to transform the livelihoods of peasants on MPs.<\/p>\n

\u201cOur MPs are busy in Parliament raising points of order, wasting time with points of information, etc,\u201d Mr Museveni said. \u201cThen after a few days in Parliament, they start flying abroad apparently to benchmark but they have sisters carrying firewood and water on their heads; they have mothers getting red eyes while cooking in too much smoke.\u201d The President asked: \u201cWhen will the people in your villages get good houses? When will people in your villages get safe water? What are you benchmarking? I am not happy with how MPs are conducting business in that House.\u201d When he was introducing the kisanja hakuna muchezo chant in mid-2016, Mr Museveni, who was speaking to a group of his NRM cadres, ministers and technocrats, sketched a 16-point plan essentially aimed at \u201cfast-tracking industrialisation and socio-economic transformation\u201d.Notwithstanding how strong-willed the label seemed, the points themselves were not new. Mr Museveni talked about the overbearing need for industrial expansion through foreign investment, which he claimed could be invigorated through special tax breaks, the installation of industrial parks, and the clampdown of wages. During this term, Mr Museveni has commissioned operations of several small-medium manufacturing and assembly plants across the country, saying they will curb unemployment among the young people. However, this has not stemmed the number of Ugandans who are pouring into the Middle East to work as housemaids, security guards and the like.<\/p>\n

In 2019, data from the Bank of Uganda indicated that remittances had grown to $1.21b (Shs4.2 trillion), boosted by proceeds from labour exports to the Middle East countries, which over the years have grown to obscure some of the traditional remittance sources. But during this year\u2019s Labour Day celebrations at State House on May 1, Mr Museveni scolded the practice of labour exportation, claiming his government has what it takes to create 70 million jobs but on condition that his message of commercial agriculture is heeded.<\/p>\n

\u201cFor me, I don\u2019t believe in labour export. Countries that externalise labour are countries that have missed something. I have proof,\u201d Mr Museveni said. That be as it is, the Ministry of Gender, Labour and Social Development instituted a Labour externalisation policy in 2015, moved in a bid to regularise the movement of labour that has seen the movement of more than 70,000 Ugandans to the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Bahrain, Oman, Iraq, Qatar and Afghanistan.<\/p>\n

President Museveni. PHOTO\/FILE<\/p>\n

The President added: \u201cI have never seen South Koreans exporting labour. The only South Korean I have seen (exported) is (former United Nations secretary-general) Ban Ki-moon. Their country is half the size of Uganda but you don\u2019t see them (exported). I am now for the South Korean approach.\u201d<\/p>\n

Mr Museveni, as a solution, flew into the future. \u201cWe are going to create the jobs; the problem is the reluctance to take our advice, which has worked (elsewhere). The jobs are there but they will only come in big numbers if we listen to NRM\u2019s principle of social-economic transformation,\u201d Mr Museveni, who has been in power since January 1986, said. \u201cLet us take it that seven million homesteads have access to at least an acre [of land] because even calculative agriculture can blossom on an acre. I have proof from a man called Nyakana in Fort Portal, who is doing wonders on an acre.<\/p>\n

Problems come when you have no kibalo [mathematics],\u201d the President said, adding: \u201cSo if these can be supported to do commercial agriculture and employ at least 10 people each either directly or indirectly, that would be 70 million jobs. We would have jobs here to even give other people [foreigners] some. Here in central [Uganda], most of the people who run around as Baganda, are Banyarwanda who came because there were jobs here with no one to do them locally during the colonial times because Uganda is so rich.\u201d<\/p>\n

Cost of labour<\/b><\/p>\n

As the kisanja hakuna mchezo term is ending, Mr Museveni still believes having cheap labour will attract investors to Uganda and lead to an industrialisation boom.\u201cWhen labour costs in China started going up, factories started coming here. Before coronavirus, factories were running out of China because salaries in China has now gone up. I am ready to discuss the issue of minimum wage. Let us study this matter seriously,\u201d Mr Museveni said during the Labour Day function, in response to an impassioned plea by Workers MP Sam Lyomoki for the government to address the issue of Ugandan workers being paid more as a strategy for economic emancipation.<\/p>\n

Mr Museveni then gave a dizzying blow to a higher minimum wage crusaders: \u201cIn the last 43 years since China opened up, it was able to attract a lot of investment because of lower labour costs. There\u2019s no doubt that if you address the issue of minimum wage carelessly, that\u2019s how industries leave.\u201dWith three days left to another swearing-in \u2013 for a term that gives him the chance to be in charge of Uganda for two generations \u2013 Mr Museveni appears to speak with a sense of urgency about the things his government has promised for many years but has not done.<\/p>\n

The rules for the suppression of Covid-19 that his own government set are to be violated \u2013 with the government saying more than 4,000 guests are expected, way higher than the 200 maximum limit set for public gatherings during this period \u2013 because of the import of the occasion. And when Mr Museveni finally takes the Bible to take the oaths on May 12, he will likely feel the weight of duty that he has to discharge into his 80s. Other challengesCost of powerAnother issue that Mr Museveni\u2019s kisanja hakuna mchezo has not solved is the cost of power, which might inhibit the so-called industrialisation process of the NRM government. In 2005, Mr Museveni\u2019s government signed a 20-year concession with Umeme, a power distribution company, but the company has come under fire from the public for hiking power tariffs and charges, which users say are unexplained. The President has previously threatened to terminate the concession for Umeme, only to walk back on that threat, saying Umeme might sue. With the concession ending in four years\u2019 time, earlier this year, Ms Goretti Kitutu, the Minister of Energy and Mineral Development, intimated that the government is in talks with Umeme to see that the contract is renewed, and that Mr Museveni was taking the lead. \u201cThese negotiations are going on at the high level of His Excellency and we will get you informed when an agreement is reached,\u201d the minister said.<\/p>\n

But during the Labour Day event, Mr Museveni said he had no idea how Umeme got the 20-year concession in the first place. \u201cGovernment officials went behind my back to sign a very expensive deal for construction of Bujagali hydropower plant, as well as the 2005 concession that allowed Umeme- a private company- to take over power distribution from Uganda Electricity Distribution Company Limited [UEDCL],\u201d Mr Museveni said.<\/p>\n

READ:<\/b><\/p>\n

Will Museveni finally \u2018walk\u2019 corruption out of Uganda?<\/p>\n

He added: \u201cI need you to listen to this and take notes, for industrial parks, the power will go straight from generation to the industrial parks, not through Umeme. If Umeme collapses, my mother died and I buried her. Mzee Kaguta died\u2026 people die and societies move on.\u201d The President repeated the vow on directly supplying power to industrial parks when he visited select factories at Namanve during the week, seeming to emit new energy and looking the country in the eye to make yet another promise to transform Uganda.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Uganda. For the 35 years President Museveni has so far been in charge of Uganda, his manifestos have been underpinned by attention-grabbing catchlines but they don\u2019t differ much in substance. In 1996, when he organised elections for the first time, having ruled for an initial 10 years, Mr Museveni\u2019s manifesto had \u201cTackling the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":84,"featured_media":10025,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,8,12],"tags":[233,240,234],"class_list":["post-10026","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-all-news","category-homepage-english","category-policy","tag-africa-press","tag-africa-press-uganda","tag-uganda"],"yoast_head":"\nWill Museveni 6th term deliver after 35 years? - Uganda<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"For the 35 years President Museveni has so far been in charge of Uganda, his manifestos have been underpinned by attenti ...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/will-museveni-6th-term-deliver-after-35-years\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Will Museveni 6th term deliver after 35 years?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"For the 35 years President Museveni has so far been in charge of Uganda, his manifestos have been underpinned by attenti ...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/will-museveni-6th-term-deliver-after-35-years\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Uganda\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/AfricaPressTunisiaa\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2021-05-10T16:41:40+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/uganda\/sites\/34\/2021\/05\/img-60994dd405977.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"720\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"480\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"cfeditoren\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"cfeditoren\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"9 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/will-museveni-6th-term-deliver-after-35-years#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/will-museveni-6th-term-deliver-after-35-years\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"cfeditoren\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/#\/schema\/person\/068c7ab4e9634ae78ec5d54ec46598bb\"},\"headline\":\"Will Museveni 6th term deliver after 35 years?\",\"datePublished\":\"2021-05-10T16:41:40+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/will-museveni-6th-term-deliver-after-35-years\"},\"wordCount\":1879,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/will-museveni-6th-term-deliver-after-35-years#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/uganda\/sites\/34\/2021\/05\/img-60994dd405977.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Africa Press\",\"Africa Press-Uganda\",\"uganda\"],\"articleSection\":[\"all news\",\"homepage-english\",\"policy\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/will-museveni-6th-term-deliver-after-35-years#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/will-museveni-6th-term-deliver-after-35-years\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/will-museveni-6th-term-deliver-after-35-years\",\"name\":\"Will Museveni 6th term deliver after 35 years? 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