{"id":122249,"date":"2026-04-16T10:33:05","date_gmt":"2026-04-16T10:33:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains"},"modified":"2026-04-16T11:22:08","modified_gmt":"2026-04-16T11:22:08","slug":"global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains","title":{"rendered":"Global Coffee Market Sees Record Surplus Amid Uganda Gains"},"content":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Uganda. <\/strong><\/span>The global coffee market is heading into a pivotal \u201ctransition year\u201d in 2026, marked by expectations of record supply that could reshape global price dynamics and trade flows.<\/b><\/p>\n

According to industry projections for the 2026\/27 season, global coffee production is expected to reach about 182.5 million bags, the highest level on record.<\/p>\n

The surge is largely driven by a strong recovery in Brazil, where favourable weather conditions are expected to deliver more than 75 million bags of output.<\/p>\n

The increased supply is projected to create a global surplus of around 10 million bags, a development that typically signals downward pressure on international coffee prices.<\/p>\n

However, analysts say immediate price relief for consumers and roasters remains constrained by persistent logistical challenges in global trade routes.<\/p>\n

Disruptions and rerouting of shipments have increased freight and insurance costs, keeping market volatility high despite the surplus outlook.<\/p>\n

Arabica futures have remained sensitive, trading in a relatively tight range of 280 to 300 US cents per pound, as supply expectations are offset by continued transport inefficiencies.<\/p>\n

At the same time, regulatory uncertainty has eased slightly after the European Union postponed the implementation of its Deforestation-Free Products Regulation (EUDR).<\/p>\n

Large operators now have until December 30, 2026, to fully comply with the new traceability requirements.<\/p>\n

The delay is seen as particularly significant for producing countries like Uganda, where smallholder farmers dominate the sector and full traceability systems are still being rolled out.<\/p>\n

Despite global uncertainty, Uganda\u2019s coffee sector has recorded a historic performance, cementing its position as one of Africa\u2019s leading exporters.<\/p>\n

Over the past 12 months, the country exported 8.8 million bags of coffee, generating approximately $ 2.5 billion (about Shs9 trillion) in export earnings\u2014a record high for the sector.<\/p>\n

Robusta coffee continues to dominate Uganda\u2019s export mix, but the country\u2019s Arabica varieties are increasingly attracting premium prices on the international market, contributing to improved earnings.<\/p>\n

The strong performance comes at a time when global markets are preparing for increased supply competition, particularly from major producers like Brazil.<\/p>\n

Risks Ahead<\/b><\/p>\n

Despite the record earnings, sector analysts caution that Uganda still faces two major risks that could affect long-term competitiveness.<\/p>\n

The first is traceability compliance. With the EUDR deadline now extended to late 2026, Uganda has additional time to strengthen farmer registration systems.<\/p>\n

However, current estimates indicate that only about 10 percent of the country\u2019s approximately 1.8 million coffee farming households are fully mapped.<\/p>\n

The second risk is climate variability. While production has remained relatively strong, parts of western Uganda have recently experienced dry spells affecting Arabica-growing regions, although early indicators for the next flowering season remain cautiously positive.<\/p>\n

As the global market shifts into a surplus-driven cycle, Uganda\u2019s challenge will be to maintain quality premiums, strengthen traceability systems, and safeguard production against increasingly unpredictable weather patterns.<\/p>\n

For More News And Analysis About Uganda<\/span> Follow Africa-Press<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Africa-Press – Uganda. The global coffee market is heading into a pivotal \u201ctransition year\u201d in 2026, marked by expectations of record supply that could reshape global price dynamics and trade flows. According to industry projections for the 2026\/27 season, global coffee production is expected to reach about 182.5 million bags, the highest level on record. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":84,"featured_media":122247,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,5],"tags":[234],"class_list":["post-122249","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-all-news","category-economy","tag-uganda"],"yoast_head":"\nGlobal Coffee Market Sees Record Surplus Amid Uganda Gains - Uganda<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The global coffee market is heading into a pivotal \u201ctransition year\u201d in 2026, marked by expectations of record supply ...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Global Coffee Market Sees Record Surplus Amid Uganda Gains\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The global coffee market is heading into a pivotal \u201ctransition year\u201d in 2026, marked by expectations of record supply ...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Uganda\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/AfricaPressTunisiaa\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-04-16T10:33:05+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-04-16T11:22:08+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/uganda\/sites\/34\/2026\/04\/sm_1776325825.362288.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1026\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"585\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"cfeditoren\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"cfeditoren\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"cfeditoren\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/#\/schema\/person\/068c7ab4e9634ae78ec5d54ec46598bb\"},\"headline\":\"Global Coffee Market Sees Record Surplus Amid Uganda Gains\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-04-16T10:33:05+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-04-16T11:22:08+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains\"},\"wordCount\":473,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/uganda\/sites\/34\/2026\/04\/sm_1776325825.362288.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"uganda\"],\"articleSection\":[\"all news\",\"economy\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains\",\"name\":\"Global Coffee Market Sees Record Surplus Amid Uganda Gains - Uganda\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/uganda\/sites\/34\/2026\/04\/sm_1776325825.362288.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-04-16T10:33:05+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-04-16T11:22:08+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/#\/schema\/person\/068c7ab4e9634ae78ec5d54ec46598bb\"},\"description\":\"The global coffee market is heading into a pivotal \u201ctransition year\u201d in 2026, marked by expectations of record supply ...\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/uganda\/sites\/34\/2026\/04\/sm_1776325825.362288.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/uganda\/sites\/34\/2026\/04\/sm_1776325825.362288.jpg\",\"width\":1026,\"height\":585,\"caption\":\"Global Coffee Market Sees Record Surplus Amid Uganda Gains\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Global Coffee Market Sees Record Surplus Amid Uganda Gains\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/\",\"name\":\"Uganda\",\"description\":\"Just another Africa News Agency Sites site\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/#\/schema\/person\/068c7ab4e9634ae78ec5d54ec46598bb\",\"name\":\"cfeditoren\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/7417380fa9e23b5c57fdbfdaf3fdf92ee478f759a084addda5faa3732853e74a?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/7417380fa9e23b5c57fdbfdaf3fdf92ee478f759a084addda5faa3732853e74a?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"cfeditoren\"}}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Global Coffee Market Sees Record Surplus Amid Uganda Gains - Uganda","description":"The global coffee market is heading into a pivotal \u201ctransition year\u201d in 2026, marked by expectations of record supply ...","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Global Coffee Market Sees Record Surplus Amid Uganda Gains","og_description":"The global coffee market is heading into a pivotal \u201ctransition year\u201d in 2026, marked by expectations of record supply ...","og_url":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains","og_site_name":"Uganda","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/AfricaPressTunisiaa","article_published_time":"2026-04-16T10:33:05+00:00","article_modified_time":"2026-04-16T11:22:08+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1026,"height":585,"url":"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/uganda\/sites\/34\/2026\/04\/sm_1776325825.362288.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"cfeditoren","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"cfeditoren","Est. reading time":"3 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains"},"author":{"name":"cfeditoren","@id":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/#\/schema\/person\/068c7ab4e9634ae78ec5d54ec46598bb"},"headline":"Global Coffee Market Sees Record Surplus Amid Uganda Gains","datePublished":"2026-04-16T10:33:05+00:00","dateModified":"2026-04-16T11:22:08+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains"},"wordCount":473,"commentCount":0,"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/uganda\/sites\/34\/2026\/04\/sm_1776325825.362288.jpg","keywords":["uganda"],"articleSection":["all news","economy"],"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains","url":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains","name":"Global Coffee Market Sees Record Surplus Amid Uganda Gains - Uganda","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/uganda\/sites\/34\/2026\/04\/sm_1776325825.362288.jpg","datePublished":"2026-04-16T10:33:05+00:00","dateModified":"2026-04-16T11:22:08+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/#\/schema\/person\/068c7ab4e9634ae78ec5d54ec46598bb"},"description":"The global coffee market is heading into a pivotal \u201ctransition year\u201d in 2026, marked by expectations of record supply ...","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/uganda\/sites\/34\/2026\/04\/sm_1776325825.362288.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/static.africa-press.net\/uganda\/sites\/34\/2026\/04\/sm_1776325825.362288.jpg","width":1026,"height":585,"caption":"Global Coffee Market Sees Record Surplus Amid Uganda Gains"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/global-coffee-market-sees-record-surplus-amid-uganda-gains#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Global Coffee Market Sees Record Surplus Amid Uganda Gains"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/","name":"Uganda","description":"Just another Africa News Agency Sites site","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/#\/schema\/person\/068c7ab4e9634ae78ec5d54ec46598bb","name":"cfeditoren","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/7417380fa9e23b5c57fdbfdaf3fdf92ee478f759a084addda5faa3732853e74a?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/7417380fa9e23b5c57fdbfdaf3fdf92ee478f759a084addda5faa3732853e74a?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"cfeditoren"}}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/122249","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/84"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=122249"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/122249\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":122252,"href":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/122249\/revisions\/122252"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/122247"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=122249"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=122249"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=122249"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}