{"id":2804,"date":"2021-01-23T18:43:05","date_gmt":"2021-01-23T18:43:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/?p=2804"},"modified":"2021-01-23T17:29:19","modified_gmt":"2021-01-23T17:29:19","slug":"what-are-musevenis-options-as-buganda-busoga-revolt","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\/all-news\/what-are-musevenis-options-as-buganda-busoga-revolt","title":{"rendered":"What are Museveni\u2019s options as Buganda, Busoga revolt?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"color: #ff6600\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/\">Africa-Press<\/a> &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.africa-press.net\/uganda\">Uganda<\/a>. <\/strong><\/span>This was an election of firsts. It was the first time in Uganda\u2019s history that a sitting vice president lost a parliamentary seat.<\/p>\n<p>It was also the first time that almost 32 per cent of the Cabinet suffered reversals in bids to either retain or take seats in Parliament.<\/p>\n<p>It was also the first time since the first direct elections of 1996 and the return to political pluralism in 2006, that Mr Museveni was beaten in Buganda Sub-region. He lost to National Unity Platform (NUP) candidate Robert Kyagulanyi with a margin of 614,677 votes, having garnered 838,858 votes against Mr Kyagulanyi\u2019s 1,453,535.<\/p>\n<p>The NRM lost the seat of Vice President Edward Kiwanuka Ssekandi and nine others within Buganda alone, and 24 other members of Cabinet lost their seats in Buganda and other areas.<\/p>\n<p>In his address to the nation shortly after being declared winner, Mr Museveni seemed to suggest that the abysmal performance of the NRM in Buganda was down to people voting along tribal lines.\u201cIn some of the voting, the pattern which we saw, very interesting, you can see some of that. Where now instead of people looking to solve the social economic issues of the people, they now bring back sectarianism. Like you saw the voting, for instance in Buganda,\u201d Mr Museveni said.<\/p>\n<p>But Prof Julius Kiiza, who teaches Political Science at Makerere University, argues that those looking at the outcome of the presidential and parliamentary elections results from Buganda region with ethnic lenses are missing a very big point.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe ethnicisation of voter behaviour misses one critical fact; that not all those that registered to vote in Buganda are Baganda. As the highest number of Uganda\u2019s urban population, citizens in the central Uganda voted for change. Theirs was a protest against the incumbent, not necessarily a block vote for Mr Kyagulanyi,\u201d Dr Kiiza argues.He argues that urban-based voters, who are more politically conscious, predominantly voted the Opposition because their desire was to see a change in the governance.<\/p>\n<p><b>What about Busoga?<\/b><\/p>\n<p>If Mr Museveni thinks he lost Buganda because of tribal sentiments, how would he explain his defeat in Busoga sub-region, where the voters chose not to vote for their own \u2013 Ms Nancy Kalembe \u2013 and settled for Mr Kyagulanyi?<\/p>\n<p>NUP presidential candidate Robert Kyagulanyi, alias Bobi Wine, is blocked by security operatives from campaigning in Jinja District on November 30 last year. PHOTO\/ABUBAKER LUBOWA.<\/p>\n<p>Mr Museveni had previously enjoyed immense support in Busoga. He had never lost the Busoga vote since 1996, but lost it this time round.<\/p>\n<p>Mr Kyagulanyi got 437,059 votes against Mr Museveni\u2019s 404,862 votes to take Busoga, with a margin of 32,197 votes. Mr Kyagulanyi won in eight out of the region\u2019s 11 districts. He took Kamuli, Luuka, Iganga, Jinja, Bugweri, Bugiri, Namayingo and Mayuge districts, leaving Mr Museveni with only Buyende, Kaliro and Namutumba.Whereas the NRM retained most of the parliamentary seats in Busoga, the Opposition made some major gains in the region.<\/p>\n<p>FDC took the Jinja West seat from the NRM and also won in the newly created Jinja North Constituency. NUP, on the other hand, took the newly-formed Jinja City Woman MP seat.<\/p>\n<p>Mr Magode Ikuya, an NRM historical and former director for mass mobilisation at the Movement Secretariat, also argues that the new voting patterns come down to failures in the politics of the NRM.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe (NRM) wanted to hoist a political line that would be rallying people around structural issues, but that collapsed. Politics is now about what people think about themselves and false politicking. That is a failure of the politics,\u201d Mr Ikuya argues.<\/p>\n<p><b>How does Museveni proceed?<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Whatever the cause of the new voting pattern, the biggest question now is how Mr Museveni will proceed given that two of his biggest bastions of support have gravitated to the Opposition.<\/p>\n<p>Mr Museveni has often criticised members of his Cabinet for, among other things, being \u2018useless\u2019. During the 6th presidential investors roundtable at State House Entebbe in February 2019, for instance, Mr Museveni described his current crop of ministers as \u2018selfish people\u2019 who had failed to subordinate their interests to those of the nation.<\/p>\n<p>Whereas he had previously encouraged the electorate to vote NRM MPs \u2013 saying even if they were \u201csick and sleeping\u201d, they would be better than active Opposition MPs \u2013 he lambasted the ministers for sleeping on the job.\u201cMany of my ministers are sleeping. They are selfish and only think about themselves,\u201d Mr Museveni said.Did the electorate read into his frustration with the ministers and chose to help him retire them? What is he going to do with his vanquished cadres? Will he retain most of them? Or will he take advantage of what transpired in the constituencies to show them the exit and create room for the injection of new blood into what has been coming across, even to himself, as a lethargic and ineffective team?<\/p>\n<p>Mr Onapito Ekomoloit, a former presidential press secretary, who was also MP for Amuria County, believes Mr Museveni still has so many options if he chooses to have a big number of people from Buganda in his Cabinet.\u201cMr Museveni can pick on some people from around Mengo (the seat of the Buganda Kingdom) and others closely associated with the Kabaka to work with,\u201d Mr Ekomoloit says.Mr Ikuya believes it is time for Mr Museveni to go back to the drawing board and carry out wide consultations.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe problem is that they no longer convene political meetings. But this should happen very fast because what happened in Buganda might happen in Bunyoro. There is need to understand the underlying issues. If we do not, someone will come up and claim to have solutions and before you know it, he will have overwhelmed you. (Idi) Amin came up with 18 points (when he captured power in 1971). How long did it take to get rid of him?\u201d Mr Ikuya quips.Mr Ikuya believes it is time for Mr Museveni and the NRM to do things a bit differently.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe Baganda have said certain things. So how do you govern in Buganda when the political thinking is the way it is? If we are not able to persuade, then it means the politics has either collapsed or the idea. So there is need for a change in either the message or the idea. The message is either not there or it is packaged wrongly,\u201d Mr Ikuya, also a member of the NRM Veterans League, says.<\/p>\n<p><b>Defeated ministers<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Other ministers defeated include: Judith Nabakooba (Left) and Prof Ephraim Kamuntu. PHOTO\/COMBO\/NMG.<\/p>\n<p><b>Name and Docket<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Edward K. Ssekandi-Vice President Amelia Anne Kyambadde-Trade, Industry and Cooperatives Vincent Ssempijja-Agriculture, Animal Industry and Fisheries Beti Kamya-Lands, Housing and Urban Development Prof Ephraim Kamuntu-Justice and Constitutional Affairs Judith Nabakooba-Information, Com Tech and National Guidance Dr Elioda Tumwesigye-Minister for Science, Technology and InnovationRuth Nankabirwa-Government Chief Whip<\/p>\n<p><b>Ministers of state<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Some of the ministers defeated in the January 2021 election; (Left to right) Ms Beatrice Anywar and Mr John Chrystom Muyingo. PHOTO\/COMBO\/NMG.<\/p>\n<p>Molly Kamukama-Office of the President (Economic Monitoring) Simon Lokodo-Office of the President (Ethics and Integrity)Dr Atwooki Kasirivu-Office of the Vice President Dennis Ssozi Galabuzi-Office of the Prime Minister (Luweero Triangle) Julius Wandera Maganda-East African Community Affairs Agnes Akiror Office of the Prime Minister (Teso Affairs)Ernest Kiiza-Office of the Prime Minister (Bunyoro Affairs)Christopher Kibazanga-Defence and Veteran Affairs (Veteran Affairs) Dr John C. Muyingo-Education and Sports (Higher Education)Rosemary Seninde-Education and Sports (Primary Education) Joy Kabatsi -TransportRonald Kibuule-WaterBeatrice Atim Anywar-Environment Isaac Musumba-Urban Development Benny Namugwanya-Kampala Capital City Florence Nakiwala Kiyingi-Youth and Children Affairs Mwesigwa Rukutana-Labour, Employment and Industrial Relations<\/p>\n<p><b>Background<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>The Vice-Presidency<\/b><\/p>\n<p>The position of vice president has been held by a Catholic since 1994. PHOTO\/COMBO\/NMG.<\/p>\n<p>One of the biggest talking points has been around how Mr Museveni will deal with the issue of the vice presidency. The position of vice president has been held by a Catholic since 1994 when Mr Museveni appointed Dr Speciosa Wandira Kazibwe to the Number Two job.<\/p>\n<p>The job has been held by Catholics from Buganda region since Dr Kazibwe\u2019s resignation in May 2003, following what is believed to have been a gentleman\u2019s agreement between Mr Museveni and Emmanuel Cardinal Wamala.The two principals are said to have reached the agreement after Dr Kizza Besigye declared in October 2000, his intention to challenge Mr Museveni for the presidency.<\/p>\n<p>Worried that Dr Besigye would, through his wife, Winnie Byanyima, a Catholic, swing the Catholic vote towards Dr Besigye, Mr Museveni is said to have met the Cardinal and asked him to help secure the Catholic vote for him.<\/p>\n<p>Sources close to both the presidency and some former members of the Rubaga Foundation, which brought together Catholics from all walks of life, indicated that Mr Museveni promised that he would in return appoint a Catholic to the vice presidency and also appoint many more to the Cabinet.<\/p>\n<p>The appointment of a Muganda Catholic would serve two purposes. It would please both the populous Buganda region and the Catholic Church and keep their political support coming. That set the stage for the appointment of Prof Gilbert Bukenya, who served between May 2003 and 2011 before he was succeeded by Mr Ssekandi.<\/p>\n<p>The political landscape has, however, changed. Mr Museveni has lost Buganda and his vice president was rejected by the people of Bukoto Central, Masaka District. Does he retain Mr Ssekandi as VP? What would be his options if he chose to bring the curtain down on Mr Ssekandi\u2019s tenure as Vice President?<\/p>\n<p>Prof Mwambutsya Ndebesa, a lecturer at Makerere University, told Saturday Monitor in a previous interview that Mr Museveni does not like having vibrant personalities as his vice presidents.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMr Museveni appoints a vice president who, in his (Museveni\u2019s) calculations, cannot think of having designs on the presidency. If a vice president shows any designs on the big job, he is fired,\u201d Prof Ndebesa says.\u201cBuganda will most likely play second fiddle. He (Mr Museveni) does not want to show that he is disturbed or unsettled by what happened even if he internally is. He will try to take them (Buganda) through some political purgatory. It (Buganda) will take a while to get back into the fold,\u201d Mr Ekomoloit argues.<\/p>\n<p>Dr Kiiza, however, points out that Mr Museveni should not sacrifice competence at the altar of political expedience, especially given that neither the Constitution nor any other legislation ring-fences the office of Vice President to the Baganda.\u201cRather than appointing a sleeping and incompetent vice president to supposedly appease the Baganda, what our people need are competent leaders, irrespective of their real or perceived ethnic identity,\u201d argues Dr Kiiza.<\/p>\n<p><b>Factoring in other regions into play<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Mr Ekomoloit believes the next Vice President will be picked from another region.\u201cThe vice presidency might for the first time come from northern Uganda. The NRM and Mr Museveni did quite well in Acholi, West Nile and even Lango, where they have an alliance with the UPC faction loyal to Mr Jimmay Akena. Mr Akena could as well be the next Vice President,\u201d Mr Ekomoloit says.<\/p>\n<p>During his speech last Saturday, Mr Museveni indicated that he was open to dialogue with the Opposition. \u201cThe important thing is to maintain peace so that any dialogue is peaceful and meaningful. Actually, we have contacts with some of these groups, we can talk. Whatever divisions we have, we shall talk,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>Will the next Vice President and Cabinet be a product of such talks if ever they take place? Or will it be informed by voting patterns in last week\u2019s general elections? That we wait to see.<\/p>\n<p><b>editorial@ug.nationmedia.com<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Africa-Press &#8211; Uganda. This was an election of firsts. It was the first time in Uganda\u2019s history that a sitting vice president lost a parliamentary seat. It was also the first time that almost 32 per cent of the Cabinet suffered reversals in bids to either retain or take seats in Parliament. It was also [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":84,"featured_media":2803,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,6,8],"tags":[233,240,234],"class_list":["post-2804","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-all-news","category-files","category-homepage-english","tag-africa-press","tag-africa-press-uganda","tag-uganda"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.1 (Yoast SEO v27.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>What are Museveni\u2019s options as Buganda, Busoga revolt? - Uganda<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"This was an election of firsts. 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