Africa-Press – Zambia. <\/strong> <\/span>The Israeli-American war on Iran is creating a new maritime reality, gradually redrawing the maps of global maritime trade, known as the geopolitical landscape of waters.<\/p>\nAmid increasing risks associated with passage through the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most vital energy arteries, and the transformation of the Gulf region into a direct confrontation zone, international shipping companies have begun seeking safer alternatives, with African ports emerging as a growing strategic option, reviving the Cape of Good Hope route as an alternative artery.<\/p>\n
Mauritius: The Alternative Supply Hub in the Indian Ocean<\/b><\/p>\n
Due to the Israeli-American aggression against Iran and its direct effects on navigation in the Gulf, commercial vessels and fuel tankers have started redirecting their routes towards Africa, which is now offering flexible logistical solutions and safe options for refueling and maritime services. Mauritius is leading this regional shift, as this small nation has emerged as a vital hub providing services to ships in the Indian Ocean.<\/p>\n
In a tangible indication of this shift, the Port Louis harbor has witnessed a significant increase in ship traffic, with the number of vessels docking for services rising by 42% during March, reaching 294 ships compared to 207 in the previous month. According to official data, the demand for marine fuel has increased in parallel with this activity from about 69,000 to 109,000 tons, reflecting the accelerating reliance of shipping companies on African ports as a practical alternative to traditional routes.<\/p>\n
Warnings and Potential Restrictions<\/b><\/p>\n
The shift towards African ports faces its own challenges, as a spokesperson for the Port Louis harbor warned of the potential for special restrictions on marine fuel supplies depending on developments in the conflict in West Asia, emphasizing that ongoing tensions could directly impact the activities of some marine fuel suppliers.<\/p>\n
This warning reflects the fragility of the global logistical landscape and its susceptibility to military confrontations in this region, prompting companies to seek alternative ports and consider integrating them with land and rail routes to reduce total reliance on maritime choke points.<\/p>\n
The Phenomenon Extends to Namibia and Togo<\/b><\/p>\n
This trend is not limited to East Africa, as Namibia is also witnessing a notable increase in ship traffic heading to the Walvis Bay port for refueling and obtaining other maritime services, indicating a clear repositioning of global trade routes in line with maritime security considerations.<\/p>\n
In West Africa, Togo is seeking to capitalize on these strategic shifts by developing the capabilities of the Lome port, which enjoys a strategic location on the Gulf of Guinea and deep waters that qualify it to become an alternative hub. The Togolese Minister of Maritime Economy has confirmed that the port is now capable of providing an alternative route for goods heading to Asia or various parts of the continent, away from the risks associated with passage through the Strait of Hormuz, stressing the need to connect these ports with land transport networks to enhance supply chains.<\/p>\n
A Fragile Ceasefire and Comprehensive American Blockade<\/b><\/p>\n
Before the announcement of the American blockade on the Strait of Hormuz, the maritime scene was witnessing a fragile ceasefire between the aggressor states and Iran. The blockade has further weakened this ceasefire, as maritime traffic remained significantly below its normal levels.<\/p>\n
However, ships linked to Africa were among the first to cautiously resume transit, such as tankers flying the flags of Gabon and Liberia, while other vessels, like a gas tanker flying the flag of Botswana, faced field obstacles that forced them to change their entire course.<\/p>\n
With Washington’s announcement of its comprehensive blockade on the Strait of Hormuz and Iranian ports, the scene has entered a completely different phase within the geopolitical landscape of the waters.<\/p>\n
This blockade, which has closed the waterway through which about 20% of total oil shipments pass, has negatively impacted shipping costs and insurance premiums, which have begun to rise. This situation encourages shipping companies to turn towards alternative African ports and the route around the Cape of Good Hope, thereby redrawing the global maritime trade map anew.<\/p>\n
Closing the Bab el-Mandeb<\/b><\/p>\n
If the conflict escalates, Yemen will play an important role in the resistance front, and its role will not be limited to participating in military operations; it will also close the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.<\/p>\n
Should this occur, ships from the East heading to the West will have no choice but to navigate around the Cape of Good Hope. This will present a golden opportunity for African ports, which will become mandatory transshipment and distribution centers, in addition to serving as supply stations for ships needing services.<\/p>\n
Thus, the cost of navigating around the Cape of Good Hope shifts from being an obstacle to becoming an economic necessity, positioning Africa at the center of the new global trade weight.<\/p>\n
Africa: A Strategic Alternative or a Temporary Escape from Hormuz?<\/b><\/p>\n
In light of these developments, Africa appears well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing transformations, but sustainability remains contingent on the development of continental infrastructure.<\/p>\n
Escaping from Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb may be temporary unless African ports evolve into integrated logistical centers supported by strong land and rail networks connecting the coasts to the interior.<\/p>\n
But are ports alone sufficient? Or is there a deeper need that transcends maritime alternatives to radical continental solutions?<\/p>\n
Trans-Africa Pipeline Project<\/b><\/p>\n
The Trans-Africa Pipeline (TAP) is a giant energy project that crosses the African continent from east to west, starting from the Red Sea coast with a maritime line connecting the Saudi and Sudanese coasts, extending to Atlantic ports such as Douala in Cameroon, Luanda in Angola, and Pointe-Noire in Congo, with an alternative route to the Mediterranean Sea. The project aims to bypass critical maritime chokepoints: the Strait of Hormuz, Bab el-Mandeb, and the Suez Canal, providing a safe alternative for energy supplies.<\/p>\n
The project was proposed during peace negotiations between the Sudanese government and the Sudan People’s Liberation Movement led by John Garang in Kenya in 2005. It was presented to Sudan “as an encouragement to forge a quick path to peace,” according to Dr. Amin Hassan Omar, a member of the government team in the negotiations. However, it remained trapped in planning tables due to reservations from Egypt and the U.S., security concerns in Sudan and the Congo Basin, and investment costs and difficult terrains. Nevertheless, the current situation in the Strait of Hormuz and the threats to Bab el-Mandeb and the Suez Canal, which is linked to Bab el-Mandeb, may provide an incentive for its revival.<\/p>\n
Dr. Amin Hassan Omar states: “The idea of the project seems brilliant from an engineering and strategic perspective, and it could contribute to altering the geopolitical landscape in Africa from a geography of crises to a geography that supports the global economy, benefiting all parties involved.”<\/p>\n
Open Questions Amid Major Transformations<\/b><\/p>\n
With this qualitative change in the geopolitical landscape of the waters and the revival of ambitious strategic projects like the Trans-Africa Pipeline, pressing questions remain: How can Africa and the Global South benefit from this change? How can sustainability be ensured through massive investments in infrastructure that surpass security challenges and high costs?<\/p>\n
Most importantly: Can the Trans-Africa Pipeline (TAP) project serve as a strategic alternative that redraws the geopolitical landscape in Africa from a geography of crises to a geography that supports its economy and the global economy, solidifying the continent’s role in the cosmic space?<\/p>\n
Find more news and analyses on Zambia<\/span> on the Africa Press<\/span> website<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Mohamed Hassab Al-Rasoul, researcher in regional affairs Africa-Press – Zambia. The Israeli-American war on Iran is creating a new maritime reality, gradually redrawing the maps of global maritime trade, known as the geopolitical landscape of waters. Amid increasing risks associated with passage through the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most vital energy arteries, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":84,"featured_media":82733,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,6],"tags":[233],"class_list":["post-82734","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-all-news","category-files","tag-zambia"],"yoast_head":"\n
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