Africa-Press – Botswana. The Institute for Strategic Studies (ISS) estimates that Africa will only achieve the ambitions inscribed in the African Union’s Agenda 2063 for development, if the scenario of a “Sustainable World”, increasingly threatened, prevails in the coming years.
The South African think tank launched the public discussion of a paper in which it envisages four scenarios – a Sustainable World, a Divided World, a World at War and a Growing World – in which the former “is the most difficult to achieve”. “, depending on the ability of the international community to balance “growth and distribution, reducing global consumption and limiting greenhouse gas emissions”.
The project, launched by the ISS African Futures and Innovation programme, looks at recent geostrategic developments, namely the war in Ukraine and the increase in tensions between China and the United States over Taiwan, and considers that “Africa is rapidly emerging as a battleground” between Beijing, Washington and the European Union (EU), while “the impact of climate change accelerates year by year” and isolated the four aforementioned scenarios.
In the last 15 years, the ISS maintains, the Covid-19 pandemic hit the world as it was recovering from the 2008/9 financial crisis and, when the pandemic began to subside, Russia invaded Ukraine and increased energy insecurity in Europe and food insecurity in Africa, which is now facing a famine and fertilizer emergency, adding to the debt crisis.
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