Africa-Press – Mauritius. Funny mood “recently said Paul Bérenger referring to the general mood. We can only agree with him. Starting with the vagueness around the positioning of his own party, the MMM.
The other teams are also not left out in a game of alliances that promises to be incredible, and where we play cat and mouse. The “liar poker” of the MMM? Paul Bérenger keeps proclaiming loud and clear that his party will go to the elections alone.
Obviously, this time around, we have every reason to believe it because for the first time the MMM does not have this dread of seeing in front of it a PTr-MSM alliance.
Here is a situation of three-way struggle that Bérenger dreamed of in 2010, especially since the MSM in power – after having siphoned off a large part of the traditional Labor electorate – can prove to be a sufficient “nuisance value” to hamper the PTr, and therefore promote MMM.
Moreover, given the hostility of the purple electoral base to any alliance, some fear that this option would mean political suicide for the MMM. Thus, bringing together the three mainstream ’parties, the configuration therefore appears more likely.
However, a certain vagueness on the MMM side has sown doubt. Indeed, the MMM does not seem to have taken advantage of the favorable context represented by the fight between the two other major parties “fishing in the same pond”.
This party which had collected, it should be noted, 40% in 2010 is practically absent from the field, apart from the soporific weekly press conferences.
Moreover, the party lets its cadres slip away without trying to retain them, and is unable – or does not seek – to recruit new members. All this on the eve of the elections. It’s weird. So there seems to be a “wolf” around, or rather behind the scenes of the “koze kozé”.
I had already written in these same columns that the MMM-MSM alliance negotiations are still “on” but for now would stumble over the question of Berenger’s role in a “Remake 2000” style government.
The sharing of tickets, and the blacklist ’having been settled, still remains the big thorn: the hostility of the electoral base to any alliance. And there is nothing better than showing that their party cannot come to power without the contribution of another big ’party, in this case the MSM.
The rhetoric of “reuniting the great militant family” can help. Thus, the hypothesis of a new MMM-MSM alliance cannot be ruled out entirely. The artistic vagueness among the Reds
The Labor leader is also making no mistake in insisting on his firm intention to go to the elections alone, despite the crazy rumors of an alliance and with in support of a shock argument: an alliance would hamper his program of “rupture”.
It should be noted all the same that within the framework of our parliamentary system such a pitfall can be avoided if the Prime Minister’s party alone has the parliamentary majority, with or without an alliance, as was the case in 2005.
Continued vagueness? In all cases, if there is a “Remake 2000” opposite, the PTr has no other option than an alliance with parties and especially personalities who have a real base of their own in such and such.
such constituency. However, the real trouble, in my opinion, is the flow of the nomination process. Admittedly, it is a good idea, moreover very democratic, to send the candidates “to a ticket” to work the field, and then to carry out an assessment of their eligibility.
However, the stewardship does not seem to follow properly. It must be said that our electoral map includes “tri-nominal” constituencies – with three seats – which complicates the conduct of this unprecedented procedure, on the eve of the elections.
We are thus witnessing, in an atmosphere of often cruel competition aggravated by the absence of “anchors” in certain constituencies, often amusing scenes relayed by the inevitable Facebook.
The latter are sometimes even pathetic with these young novices and these old ghosts wandering like souls in pain, sometimes in a humiliating situation, without any real hope of being able to win the Grail.
Some have given up on their own, realizing that it’s not their thing, while others are just thrown out. Democracy has enormous virtues but also weaknesses.
That said, the impressive number of candidates for a red ticket is a welcome sign for the PTr, which has become attractive again. The ordeal of dissidents MMM It cannot be said that the MMM dissent really took off. They too are in the fog.
The first great dissent led by Alan Ganoo had nevertheless started well with the rallying around the new “Patriotic Movement” (MP) of nearly half of the MMM deputies of 2014.
But, very quickly, this party itself suffered a dissent the weakening input. Subsequently, other MMM dissidents created their own formation including “La Plateforme Militante” now in collaboration with the MP.
The vagueness surrounding their real intention to have a united structure to solve the problem of fragmentation penalizes them further. Moreover, they suggest that they are not positioning themselves as an alternative force, hoping to “form part of the next government”, which in my opinion is a political communication error.
In other words, they want to be part of an electoral alliance with a ‘mainstream’ party. The major difficulty, however, is that the electorate they can count on is essentially the one that shunned the MMM in 2014, mainly because of the MMM’s alliance with Labor.
This partly explains their small audience, apart from Alan Ganoo who has own capital but limited to one constituency. As a reminder, during the partial at No. 18 of 2017, the MMM voters who changed sides in 2014 had overwhelmingly chosen to abstain despite an MP candidacy and the help of an independent MMM dissident granted to the Labor candidate.
They are therefore in an impasse such as to plunge them into a certain existential crisis. Ultimately, a stone’s throw from the legislative elections, the ocean of uncertainties in which the politico-electoral landscape is plunged – more and more fragmented and where visibility is almost zero – analytical caution remains in order, until … ‘Nomination Day’.
