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An unexpected war in Europe strikes the spirits as the pandemic runs its course and continues to claim victims around the world. In addition to the health situation, the economic situation is becoming increasingly worrying, in particular because of soaring food prices.
Historian Jocelyn Chan Low sheds light on the causes leading to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and the global and regional implications of such a clash.
A new situation has developed with the war in Ukraine, the consequences of which are felt throughout the world. Nothing is certain as to the duration and outcome of this war, which has already brought about its share of destruction and loss of human life.
How do you see things looking? Jocelyn Chan Low: The reasons leading to the outbreak of this conflict are currently and will be controversial for a long time.
And how could it be otherwise when we note that even after the opening of all the archives of the First World War, more than a hundred years later, historians are still debating the causes of this war.
However, it is true that a number of analysts, and not the least, like Georges Kennan, stressed that the enlargement of NATO to the former republics of the former Soviet Union, more particularly to Ukraine , would inevitably lead to a conflict with Russia.
The whole history of Russian diplomacy and of the Soviet Union is marked by a real pathology of security, the country having repeatedly experienced invasions putting it in existential danger – among other things , those of the Tartars, of the French under Napoleon I, and of Nazi Germany under Hitler.
However, since the beginning of the Russian invasion, we have witnessed a real propaganda war through the media between the pro-Russians and the pro-Westerns. Note that historically this has always been the case during major international conflicts.
At the start of the 20th century, an English diplomat, Arthur Ponsonby, even established a framework for reading war propaganda speeches – demonization of the enemy on whom all blame is laid as to the origin of the conflict, exaggeration of his military losses, the annexation of morality and artists on our side, inventions of war crimes when our blunders are accidental, use of prohibited weapons by the enemy, etc. In short, everything that we find if we analyze the speeches of the main press and television channels of the protagonists
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