Africa-Press – Mozambique. Risk Analysis
Tropical Storm Filipo is expected to make landfall by early morning 12 March, between Govuro and Vilankulos (Sofala & Inhambane Provinces).
The forecast trajectory of TS Filipo is expected to go down Inhanbane, through Gaza, and out through Maputo province on March 13th. TS Filipo may bring windspeeds of 85Km/h up to a max of 120km/h in some locations.
The main concern with TS Filipo is the potential flooding across most of the central/southern country due to increased rainfall. It is expected that there will be destruction of crops, flooding of roads & collapse of bridges, flooding of low-lying areas, and flooding of areas near rivers.
Areas of concern: Inhambane: Govuro, Vilankulo, Massinga, Inhassoro, Mabote,Panda, Homoine, Morrumbene, Inhambane city and Maxixe Sofala: Machanga, Chibabava and Buzi Gaza: Massingir, Chokwe, Chongoene, Bilene, Limpopo, Mandlakazi, Chicualacuala, Mapai,Mabalane, Chigubo, Chibuto, Guija and Cidade de Xai-Xai Maputo: Flood prone area along Incomati, Umbeluzi and Maputo basins
Overall, up to 12.7 Million people (worst case scenario) could be affected indirectly by flooding.
Specifically in Sofala only, government forecasts 136,583 people will be affected overall, with the most affected in southern districts (16,846 people). Government has not yet released potential impacts for other provinces.
Request For Assistance
Government Requests International Assistance
No
NS Requests International Assistance
No
Information Bulletin Published
No
Actions taken by National Society
General
Public Awareness Raising & Sensitization
Activation / Mobilization of Volunteers
Summary
CVM volunteers activated in Sofala and Inhambane to do awareness messaging of the potential floods. CVM currently developing a response plan to be shared with partners by March 13th, in alignment with interagency response plans (HCT coordination meeting on March 13th scheduled)
Actions taken by Federation
General
Monitor Situation
Interagency Coordination
Summary
IFRC Maputo Delegation, and IFRC shelter cluster coordinator have been closely monitoring the situation and setting up shelter cluster meetings and participating in government update meetings. IFRC is supporting NS in crafting a response plan.
Actions taken by others
HCT update meeting and shelter cluster meetings have taken place. Response plans are being developed and will be socialized on March 13th. Government activated local DRR teams and is stocktaking in the provinces.
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